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For more frequent updates check out the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy - a sprinkle or flurry possible early - then a chance for light snow
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 20s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 31 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Northwest winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0" or less.
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Wednesday: A chance for light snow - esp near the KY/TN line - Missouri Bootheel. Otherwise the rest of the area may see some flurries and light snow showers - mainly before 1 pm. Accumulation of snow is expected to be light - less than 1" See the probabilities forecast below
Below normal temperatures.
Highs: around 41 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 49 degrees.Below normal temperatures.
Wind: Northwest winds at 10 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.10" or less
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Wednesday night: Mostly clear and cold
Below normal temperatures
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 20s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 31 degrees.
Wind: Calm winds
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: Calm winds
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Thursday: Mostly sunny skies.
Below normal temperatures.
Highs: around 44 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 49 degrees.Wind: West winds at 5-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Please avoid flooded roadways. Some snow showers will be possible Wednesday morning over the region - the further south you travel the better chance of snow showers. Can not rule out a light dusting in some areas. Perhaps as much as 1" or so in the Missouri Bootheel, northeast AR, and western Tennessee.
Please avoid flooded roadways. If snow does fall then watch for a slick spot.
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No wild cards in this forecast.
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No major changes in the forecast.
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 24 hours
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. Light snow possible.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. Light snow possible.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. A chance for some snow showers - especially over the southern half of the region. Accumulations would be light if they occur at all - less than 1".
Wednesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Wednesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Wednesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Thursday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE: Calm weather - chilly with below normal temperatures into the weekend. The next decent shot at precipitation will be around the 14th or 15th - see long range discussion.
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There will be a chance for some snow showers over the southern half of the region late tonight and on Wednesday morning. The further south you go the better chance for precipitation. Flurries or light snow may occur north of that area - but should not be as widespread.
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Accumulations should be light - the best chance for a dusting or snow of snow would be over our southern counties. Further south you go the better chance you will see some snowflakes.
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Bottom line - some light snow possible late tonight and tomorrow morning - don't be surprised to see some photos of a dusting here or there.
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Probabilities for accumulating snow...
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Snow flurries to light snow in the air - 50%
A dusting to 1 inch of snow - 30% of this occurring
1-2" of snow - 10% - low chance
2"-4" of snow - less than a 5% chance of this occurring
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The best chance for a dusting or so of snow would be the KY/TN border counties - Missouri Bootheel - eastern Arkansas - western Tennessee
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Here is the HRRR model showing the dusting of snow - to higher amounts to our south. This gives you a rough idea of where it is thinking it might snow. Temperatures are marginal for snow.
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River will be on the rise - see the latest lake and river stage forecasts - here.
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HEADLINE: Calm weather - chilly with below normal temperatures into the weekend. The next decent shot at precipitation will be around the 14th or 15th - see long range discussion.
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There will be a chance for some snow showers over the southern half of the region late tonight and on Wednesday morning. The further south you go the better chance for precipitation. Flurries or light snow may occur north of that area - but should not be as widespread.
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Accumulations should be light - the best chance for a dusting or snow of snow would be over our southern counties. Further south you go the better chance you will see some snowflakes.
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Bottom line - some light snow possible late tonight and tomorrow morning - don't be surprised to see some photos of a dusting here or there.
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Probabilities for accumulating snow...
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Snow flurries to light snow in the air - 50%
A dusting to 1 inch of snow - 30% of this occurring
1-2" of snow - 10% - low chance
2"-4" of snow - less than a 5% chance of this occurring
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The best chance for a dusting or so of snow would be the KY/TN border counties - Missouri Bootheel - eastern Arkansas - western Tennessee
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Here is the HRRR model showing the dusting of snow - to higher amounts to our south. This gives you a rough idea of where it is thinking it might snow. Temperatures are marginal for snow.
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River will be on the rise - see the latest lake and river stage forecasts - here.
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 24 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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Significant precipitation not expected.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Flurries possible tonight (Tuesday night) - light snow is possible on Wednesday morning - especially over the southern half of the region. A light dusting can't be ruled out in some counties - further south you go the better shot at snow.
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Flurries possible tonight (Tuesday night) - light snow is possible on Wednesday morning - especially over the southern half of the region. A light dusting can't be ruled out in some counties - further south you go the better shot at snow.
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Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
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If you are looking for wintry precipitation - click here.
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Date Range: December 1st - December 11th
Event: Mostly below normal to much below normal temperatures. Active pattern.
Severe Risk: Not expecting severe weather.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Watching the 10th or 11th for a precip event.
Details: Cold air - several shots of below normal temperatures. Several chances for precipitation during this time frame.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
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Date Range: December 11th - December 18th
Event: Swings in temperatures.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: One or two precipitation events possible
Details: Transition period with swings from above to well below normal temperatures. A chance for one or two precipitation events - too soon to make a call on precip type. Arctic outbreak possible - with very cold temperatures.
Confidence in my forecast. Medium
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Date Range: December 17th - December 21st
Event: Precipitation event - larger storm system.
Severe Risk: Unknown
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Unknown
Details: A more significant storm system possible in or near our region.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
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Date Range: December 24th-29th
Event: Significant storm system in the Missouri/Ohio/Tennessee Valley
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk:
Details: Potential precipitation event.
Confidence in my forecast: Low
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Date Range: December 1st - December 11th
Event: Mostly below normal to much below normal temperatures. Active pattern.
Severe Risk: Not expecting severe weather.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Watching the 10th or 11th for a precip event.
Details: Cold air - several shots of below normal temperatures. Several chances for precipitation during this time frame.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
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Date Range: December 11th - December 18th
Event: Swings in temperatures.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: One or two precipitation events possible
Details: Transition period with swings from above to well below normal temperatures. A chance for one or two precipitation events - too soon to make a call on precip type. Arctic outbreak possible - with very cold temperatures.
Confidence in my forecast. Medium
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Date Range: December 17th - December 21st
Event: Precipitation event - larger storm system.
Severe Risk: Unknown
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Unknown
Details: A more significant storm system possible in or near our region.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
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Date Range: December 24th-29th
Event: Significant storm system in the Missouri/Ohio/Tennessee Valley
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk:
Details: Potential precipitation event.
Confidence in my forecast: Low
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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1. Nothing new to add to the long range - still watching the 14th or 15th - see above. Next precipitation event - still too far out to make a call on rain vs snow.
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Otherwise cold weather will continue!
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Otherwise cold weather will continue!
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
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