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For more frequent updates check out the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
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This page is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Thursday night: Cloudy with light rain showers - ending from west to east. Possible flurry late tonight.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 30s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 28 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Northwest winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 60% early then 30% late | Rainfall totals: 0.05-0.10"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Friday: Mostly cloudy - cooler. Patchy drizzle.
Below normal temperatures.
Highs: around 42-45 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 46 degrees.Below normal temperatures.
Wind: Northerly winds at 10 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: Trace
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Friday night: Partly cloudy and colder.
Below normal temperatures
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 20s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 28 degrees.
Wind: North winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: North winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds. Cool temperatures.
Near normal temperatures.
Highs: around 44-46 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 46 degrees.Wind: Northerly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
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Don't forget that you can enter your city or zip code on the main Weather Observatory page for the most up to date forecasts and radar - satellite - current temperatures - other - click here for that page
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Sample of that page shown below
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 24 hours
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Thursday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Thursday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Friday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Friday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Friday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Saturday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Saturday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE: Another in a series of rain makers moved through the area on Wednesday - unbelievable amount of rain this month across the region - on top of the 8"-15" last month - we now have had anywhere from 5"-8" this month. This just adds to the record amount of rainfall so far this year.
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Rain will finally come to an end tonight - possibly ending as a flurry. Not a big deal.
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Clouds will linger into Friday but some sun is expected over parts of the region on Saturday. Sunday will likely bring an increase in clouds and even a slight chance of precipitation on both Saturday night late and Sunday - Sunday night - this as a storm system passes just to our south. VERY close call on the northern and southern jet phasing - almost too close to call. However, most of the data indicates the best chance for rain or precipitation would be down in Tennessee and southward. Will continue to monitor to see just how far north the precipitation moves.
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Here are the precipitation maps for the next few days...
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The time stamps are at the top of the images (this first one is for Thursday night - rain ends after midnight)
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You can see how close the precipitation gets to us on Sunday into Monday - even if the storm would nudge northward it appears temperatures would be warm enough for rain. Will continue to monitor the track of the southern storm system in case it has any surprises. Models have done POORLY over the last few weeks - entirely missing some storm systems until a day or two in advance.
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High temperatures the next few days will be near to below normal...
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Let's take a look at the cloud forecast maps for Saturday and Sunday - the purple is where sun can be expected and the blue area is where some clouds are likely - you can see the clouds to our south as they attempt to edge into our counties on both Saturday and Sunday. Again - will need to see just how far north the precipitation moves on Sunday and possibly even into Monday - there is some debate on how long the main vort max stays to our west.
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Click images for full view size - images are from www.wright-weather.com - my favorite source for model data - TIME STAMPS ARE AT THE TOP OF THE IMAGE
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The GFS model FINALLY has a clue about the southern storm system on Saturday night and Sunday - it does indicate some lift near our region - this is something that will have to be monitored - the exact track of the Saturday/Sunday/Monday storm system is still in question - some lift would indicate clouds and even small precipitation chances - will monitor and update accordingly.
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Click images for real view size - again this is from www.wright-weather.com
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Another rain maker may arrive on Monday or Tuesday - again from the south.
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If you would like to check out the TOP TEN WEATHER EVENTS in our region during 2011 then go to the National Weather Service - Paducah, Kentucky's web-site - click here
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Here is a screen shot of the page
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Rivers will remain high - see the latest lake and river stage forecasts - here.
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HEADLINE: Another in a series of rain makers moved through the area on Wednesday - unbelievable amount of rain this month across the region - on top of the 8"-15" last month - we now have had anywhere from 5"-8" this month. This just adds to the record amount of rainfall so far this year.
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Rain will finally come to an end tonight - possibly ending as a flurry. Not a big deal.
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Clouds will linger into Friday but some sun is expected over parts of the region on Saturday. Sunday will likely bring an increase in clouds and even a slight chance of precipitation on both Saturday night late and Sunday - Sunday night - this as a storm system passes just to our south. VERY close call on the northern and southern jet phasing - almost too close to call. However, most of the data indicates the best chance for rain or precipitation would be down in Tennessee and southward. Will continue to monitor to see just how far north the precipitation moves.
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Here are the precipitation maps for the next few days...
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The time stamps are at the top of the images (this first one is for Thursday night - rain ends after midnight)
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You can see how close the precipitation gets to us on Sunday into Monday - even if the storm would nudge northward it appears temperatures would be warm enough for rain. Will continue to monitor the track of the southern storm system in case it has any surprises. Models have done POORLY over the last few weeks - entirely missing some storm systems until a day or two in advance.
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High temperatures the next few days will be near to below normal...
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Let's take a look at the cloud forecast maps for Saturday and Sunday - the purple is where sun can be expected and the blue area is where some clouds are likely - you can see the clouds to our south as they attempt to edge into our counties on both Saturday and Sunday. Again - will need to see just how far north the precipitation moves on Sunday and possibly even into Monday - there is some debate on how long the main vort max stays to our west.
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Click images for full view size - images are from www.wright-weather.com - my favorite source for model data - TIME STAMPS ARE AT THE TOP OF THE IMAGE
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The GFS model FINALLY has a clue about the southern storm system on Saturday night and Sunday - it does indicate some lift near our region - this is something that will have to be monitored - the exact track of the Saturday/Sunday/Monday storm system is still in question - some lift would indicate clouds and even small precipitation chances - will monitor and update accordingly.
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Click images for real view size - again this is from www.wright-weather.com
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Another rain maker may arrive on Monday or Tuesday - again from the south.
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If you would like to check out the TOP TEN WEATHER EVENTS in our region during 2011 then go to the National Weather Service - Paducah, Kentucky's web-site - click here
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Here is a screen shot of the page
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Rivers will remain high - see the latest lake and river stage forecasts - here.
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 24 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Significant snow is not in our forecast - couple of flurries could fall late tonight (Thursday night)
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Significant snow is not in our forecast - couple of flurries could fall late tonight (Thursday night)
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Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
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If you are looking for wintry precipitation - click here.
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Date Range: December 25th-27th
Event: Precipitation event - Ohio/Missouri/Tennessee Valley - track still uncertain
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk:
Details: Potential precipitation events.
Confidence in my forecast: Very High
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Date Range: December 26th-January 15th
Event: A mix of below and above normal temperatures - no strong signal for persistent cold
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: 3-5 potential precipitation events
Details: Potential precipitation event and perhaps below normal temperatures. Uncertainty surrounds the NAO going negative - some blocking in the Atlantic.
Confidence in my forecast: Low
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Date Range: December 25th-27th
Event: Precipitation event - Ohio/Missouri/Tennessee Valley - track still uncertain
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk:
Details: Potential precipitation events.
Confidence in my forecast: Very High
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Date Range: December 26th-January 15th
Event: A mix of below and above normal temperatures - no strong signal for persistent cold
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: 3-5 potential precipitation events
Details: Potential precipitation event and perhaps below normal temperatures. Uncertainty surrounds the NAO going negative - some blocking in the Atlantic.
Confidence in my forecast: Low
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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1. No major concerns in the extended forecast - our Christmas storm will likely pass to our south providing a good chance for rain in the Tennessee Valley and southward - snow across portions of Texas. Will continue to monitor the track of this storm - jet streams are very close to phasing near our region.
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Precipitation chances are more likely on Monday/Tuesday as the storm stalls and perhaps moves north. Too soon to make a call on rain vs snow. This has been a tricky storm to track.
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No persistent signals for cold weather - seasonably cool weather this weekend into next week with near normal temperatures to below normal over the weekend - then a mix of below and above normal.
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Here is the official six to ten day outlook from the National Weather Service.
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The first image is the temperature outlook - you can see we are near the normal probabilities - the second image is precipitation which they have as below normal for the six to ten day outlook (Tuesday the 27th through Saturday the 31st)
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Precipitation chances are more likely on Monday/Tuesday as the storm stalls and perhaps moves north. Too soon to make a call on rain vs snow. This has been a tricky storm to track.
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No persistent signals for cold weather - seasonably cool weather this weekend into next week with near normal temperatures to below normal over the weekend - then a mix of below and above normal.
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Here is the official six to ten day outlook from the National Weather Service.
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The first image is the temperature outlook - you can see we are near the normal probabilities - the second image is precipitation which they have as below normal for the six to ten day outlook (Tuesday the 27th through Saturday the 31st)
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
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