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For more frequent updates check out the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Tuesday night: Cloudy early and windy - a few flurries possible - clearing later this evening from the west. Cooler.
Near normal to below normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle to upper 20s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 27 degrees.Near normal to below normal temperatures
Wind: Northwest winds at 10-25 mph early and then diminishing to 10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Wednesday: A few clouds - mix of sun/clouds.
Below normal temperatures
Highs: around 44 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 46 degrees.Below normal temperatures
Wind: West winds at 5-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Wednesday night: Mostly clear
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 30s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 27 degrees.
Wind: Southwest at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: Southwest at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Thursday: Mostly sunny and pleasant - mild.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 54 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 46 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southerly winds at 5-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 24 hours
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Wednesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Wednesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Thursday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE: Snow fell this morning over much of the area - this was especially true in southeast Missouri and southern Illinois - the northern parts of western KY (along the Ohio River) also saw a skiff of snow.
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Snowfall totals were in the trace to 3" range - the heaviest totals were around the Carbondale area.
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I picked up around 1/2-1" here at my place. Most of the snow had melted by afternoon.
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Couple of photos I took this morning as the snow was falling
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The next few days should be calm. I will be watching a weak disturbance for Friday or Friday night and another one towards the weekend. Both of these may deliver a little bit of rain - more iffy on the Friday system vs the one early next week.
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The longer range discussion is below (bottom of page). HINT - WINTER is about to arrive :) - first week of January appears quite cold - then a mix of above/below before another push of cold air.
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I will be away for a few days - however I will update the blog each day (perhaps a bit more brief than usual).
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Rivers will remain high - see the latest lake and river stage forecasts - here.
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HEADLINE: Snow fell this morning over much of the area - this was especially true in southeast Missouri and southern Illinois - the northern parts of western KY (along the Ohio River) also saw a skiff of snow.
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Snowfall totals were in the trace to 3" range - the heaviest totals were around the Carbondale area.
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I picked up around 1/2-1" here at my place. Most of the snow had melted by afternoon.
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Couple of photos I took this morning as the snow was falling
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The next few days should be calm. I will be watching a weak disturbance for Friday or Friday night and another one towards the weekend. Both of these may deliver a little bit of rain - more iffy on the Friday system vs the one early next week.
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The longer range discussion is below (bottom of page). HINT - WINTER is about to arrive :) - first week of January appears quite cold - then a mix of above/below before another push of cold air.
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I will be away for a few days - however I will update the blog each day (perhaps a bit more brief than usual).
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Rivers will remain high - see the latest lake and river stage forecasts - here.
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 24 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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No rain is forecast in our region - no graphic today.
No rain is forecast in our region - no graphic today.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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No snow in our forecast...
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No snow in our forecast...
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Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
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If you are looking for wintry precipitation - click here.
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Date Range: December 31st-January 7th
Event: Strong cold front with rain ahead of it - pushes through on Sunday/Monday with rain perhaps ending as snow. Then colder air.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk:
Details: Strong cold front followed by below normal temperatures - below normal temperatures may last into the first week of January
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
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Date Range: January 6th-20th
Event: Swing pattern with potential of arctic outbreaks mixed with above normal temperatures - boundary near our region - uncertainty on the exact placement of the warm vs cold. Trends are towards several cold outbreaks - centered on the northern Plains into the Ohio Valley/Great Lakes.
Severe Risk: Uncertain
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Yes
Details: Potential for some swings in the weather pattern - temperatures. Quite a bit of dry weather the first part of January.
Confidence in my forecast: Low
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Date Range: December 31st-January 7th
Event: Strong cold front with rain ahead of it - pushes through on Sunday/Monday with rain perhaps ending as snow. Then colder air.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk:
Details: Strong cold front followed by below normal temperatures - below normal temperatures may last into the first week of January
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
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Date Range: January 6th-20th
Event: Swing pattern with potential of arctic outbreaks mixed with above normal temperatures - boundary near our region - uncertainty on the exact placement of the warm vs cold. Trends are towards several cold outbreaks - centered on the northern Plains into the Ohio Valley/Great Lakes.
Severe Risk: Uncertain
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Yes
Details: Potential for some swings in the weather pattern - temperatures. Quite a bit of dry weather the first part of January.
Confidence in my forecast: Low
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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1. I am away for a few days - shorter updates today into the weekend - it is holiday you know!
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There are trends in the models to take us colder and colder as we push into January. There are enough trends that it leads me to believe there is going to be a push or two of deep arctic air - it may take a little bit before it arrives - we may have to get past the first week in January - but the indications for colder are there. We will see how it goes. So far this winter has not delivered in the cold department.
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I will be watching one weak system for around Friday and another towards next Sunday or Monday. The Sunday and Monday storm may be a bit bigger to our east - this could help unlock a bit of cold air and push it southward. We may be in a transition period coming up over the next 8-10 days.
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There are trends in the models to take us colder and colder as we push into January. There are enough trends that it leads me to believe there is going to be a push or two of deep arctic air - it may take a little bit before it arrives - we may have to get past the first week in January - but the indications for colder are there. We will see how it goes. So far this winter has not delivered in the cold department.
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I will be watching one weak system for around Friday and another towards next Sunday or Monday. The Sunday and Monday storm may be a bit bigger to our east - this could help unlock a bit of cold air and push it southward. We may be in a transition period coming up over the next 8-10 days.
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
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