.
For more frequent updates check out the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
.
This page is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer
.
.
This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
.
Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
.
Thursday night: A few clouds.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 40s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 28 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph - gusts to 15 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Friday: A mix of sun and clouds
Well above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 54-58 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 46 degrees.Well above normal temperatures.
Wind: Southwest to west winds winds at 10-20 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Friday night: Partly cloudy skies.
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 30s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 28 degrees.
Wind: West at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: West at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Saturday: Unseasonably mild weather - nice/pleasant - partly cloudy skies
Well above normal temperatures
Highs: around 58-60 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 48 degrees.Wind: Southerly winds at 10-20 mph with gusts over 20 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
.
.
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
.
.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
.
..
Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here.
.
---
The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 24 hours
.
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
.
Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
.
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
.
Thursday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
.
Thursday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
Friday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Friday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Friday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
Saturday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
Saturday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
.
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
.
The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
.
To view the interactive map - click here.
.
To view the interactive map - click here.
.
.
.
.
HEADLINE: Nice weather into the weekend - some clouds at times and wind - out of town for a few days so this is a short update. See the long range discussion for whats down the road a bit.
.
Rivers will remain high - see the latest lake and river stage forecasts - here.
.
HEADLINE: Nice weather into the weekend - some clouds at times and wind - out of town for a few days so this is a short update. See the long range discussion for whats down the road a bit.
.
Rivers will remain high - see the latest lake and river stage forecasts - here.
.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
.
.
-----------------------------
.
.
Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 24 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
.
No rain is in our local forecast
.
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
.
.
.
No snow in our forecast...
.
No snow in our forecast...
.
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
.
Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
.
Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
.
If you are looking for wintry precipitation - click here.
.
.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
---
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
.
Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
.
.
.
.
---
.
.
Date Range: December 29th-January 7th
Event: Strong cold front - pushes through on Sunday/Monday with rain perhaps ending as snow. Then colder air. Above normal temperatures weekend into the 1st - then below normal temperatures following the 1st. Front on Sunday/Monday has a low chance for producing precipitation - overall first week of January appears to be leaning towards BELOW normal precipitation.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk:
Details: Strong cold front followed by below normal temperatures - below normal temperatures may last into the first week of January - data indicates our region may ride the warmer vs colder air masses - will have to monitor for timing of both. Could be swings in temperature averages from below to above normal.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
.
.
Date Range: January 6th-20th
Event: Swing pattern with potential of arctic outbreaks mixed with above normal temperatures - boundary near our region - uncertainty on the exact placement of the warm vs cold. Trends are towards several cold outbreaks - centered on the northern Plains into the Ohio Valley/Great Lakes. Possibly 2-3 precipitation events. Potential for 1 or 2 deep low pressure areas in the central U.S. into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region.
Severe Risk: Uncertain
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possibly
Details: Potential for some swings in the weather.
Confidence in my forecast: Low
.
.
.
Date Range: December 29th-January 7th
Event: Strong cold front - pushes through on Sunday/Monday with rain perhaps ending as snow. Then colder air. Above normal temperatures weekend into the 1st - then below normal temperatures following the 1st. Front on Sunday/Monday has a low chance for producing precipitation - overall first week of January appears to be leaning towards BELOW normal precipitation.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk:
Details: Strong cold front followed by below normal temperatures - below normal temperatures may last into the first week of January - data indicates our region may ride the warmer vs colder air masses - will have to monitor for timing of both. Could be swings in temperature averages from below to above normal.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
.
.
Date Range: January 6th-20th
Event: Swing pattern with potential of arctic outbreaks mixed with above normal temperatures - boundary near our region - uncertainty on the exact placement of the warm vs cold. Trends are towards several cold outbreaks - centered on the northern Plains into the Ohio Valley/Great Lakes. Possibly 2-3 precipitation events. Potential for 1 or 2 deep low pressure areas in the central U.S. into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region.
Severe Risk: Uncertain
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possibly
Details: Potential for some swings in the weather.
Confidence in my forecast: Low
.
.
.
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
.
-----------------------------
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
.
-----------------------------
.
1. The long range is made up of a lot of swings from warm to cold - persistent cold is attempting to build and hold across the northern Plains into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley - however, there is still some concern about the lack of true blocking. However, with that said - this is the best set-up we have seen in awhile for colder temperatures.
.
Now for you snow fans...
.
The long range appears more dry than anything else. With the cold - northwest flow will come drier air. Shutting off our rain systems that have been impacting the region every 2-4 days for the last month or two.
.
The EC continues to be my model of choice and has been for the last month.
.
We may have to push further into January in order to start seeing another train or parade of storm systems - the first week of the month may be mostly dry. That is how it appears right now. Not saying we can't pick up a light precipitation event over the next 10 days - but it would be more likely, in my opinion, as we push further and deeper into January when the pattern reloads a bit. However, one thing to keep in mind is that there are a lot of indications that we may SWING between the above and below normal temperatures - snow is not a given in this type of set-up. Time will tell.
.
Our hyper-active pattern has finally come to an end. At least for now.
.
Now for you snow fans...
.
The long range appears more dry than anything else. With the cold - northwest flow will come drier air. Shutting off our rain systems that have been impacting the region every 2-4 days for the last month or two.
.
The EC continues to be my model of choice and has been for the last month.
.
We may have to push further into January in order to start seeing another train or parade of storm systems - the first week of the month may be mostly dry. That is how it appears right now. Not saying we can't pick up a light precipitation event over the next 10 days - but it would be more likely, in my opinion, as we push further and deeper into January when the pattern reloads a bit. However, one thing to keep in mind is that there are a lot of indications that we may SWING between the above and below normal temperatures - snow is not a given in this type of set-up. Time will tell.
.
Our hyper-active pattern has finally come to an end. At least for now.
.
Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
.
Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
.
.
Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
.
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
.
All other states- Click Here
.
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
.
Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
.
.
No comments:
Post a Comment