Monday night into Tuesday evening forecast
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Monday night: A few clouds - otherwise mostly clear skies.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 20s and lower 30s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 26 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds. Clouds will be on the increase during the afternoon hours.
Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 53-57 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 43 degrees.Above normal temperatures.
Wind: West winds at 10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy with a few light showers possible.
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 30s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 26 degrees.
Wind: North winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.10" or less
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: North winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.10" or less
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Wednesday: Mostly cloudy - colder - a few flurries possible.
Below normal temperatures
Highs: upper 30s and lower 40s | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 43 degrees.Below normal temperatures
Wind: Easterly winds at 5-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.05" or less
Confidence in this forecast is medium
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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No major concerns.
No
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No significant wild cards in this forecast!
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Some light snow flurries possible late Tuesday night or Wednesday morning - insignificant...
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No major changes in this forecast package!
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 48 hours
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Tuesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. Flurry possible late.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. Flurry possible.
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
Saturday - No
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
Saturday - No
Sunday - No
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
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HEADLINE: Another nice day across the region - some early morning fog greeted early risers - otherwise mostly sunny skies for most areas - few patches of clouds here and there. Nothing to complain about - not seeing as how it is February! Can't beat this weather.
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Tuesday will see an increase in clouds as high pressure pulls away and a weak disturbance moves into the region. This disturbance could spark some light rain or a light rain/flurry mix late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Precipitation amounts will be light - if they occur.
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Colder weather will greet us on Wednesday into the weekend - more typical of February - finally. No significant precipitation is expected with the cold weather. Sorry snow bunnies - this isn't your year. At least it hasn't been so far.
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See the long range for further discussion on the next precipitation chances...
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
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HEADLINE: Another nice day across the region - some early morning fog greeted early risers - otherwise mostly sunny skies for most areas - few patches of clouds here and there. Nothing to complain about - not seeing as how it is February! Can't beat this weather.
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Tuesday will see an increase in clouds as high pressure pulls away and a weak disturbance moves into the region. This disturbance could spark some light rain or a light rain/flurry mix late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Precipitation amounts will be light - if they occur.
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Colder weather will greet us on Wednesday into the weekend - more typical of February - finally. No significant precipitation is expected with the cold weather. Sorry snow bunnies - this isn't your year. At least it hasn't been so far.
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See the long range for further discussion on the next precipitation chances...
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 24 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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No major precipitation forecast -
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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No major precipitation forecast -
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Just some light snow or flurries possible Tuesday night or Wednesday morning - should not be a big deal...
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Just some light snow or flurries possible Tuesday night or Wednesday morning - should not be a big deal...
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Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
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If you are looking for wintry precipitation - click here.
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Date Range: February 5th-14th
Event: Semi-active period of weather - several shots at colder weather will be possible. A couple of precipitation events.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possibly some light events - see short range forecast
Details: Potential for some significant swings in the temperature pattern.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium .
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Date Range: February 13th-25th
Event: A more active weather pattern with several chances for precipitation.
Severe Risk: Possibly - potential for a significant event somewhere in the TN Valley region
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Uncertain - potential for a significant winter storm - will need to monitor
Details: Several shots of cold air - with warm air - battle zone likely near our region.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
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Date Range: February 5th-14th
Event: Semi-active period of weather - several shots at colder weather will be possible. A couple of precipitation events.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possibly some light events - see short range forecast
Details: Potential for some significant swings in the temperature pattern.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium .
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Date Range: February 13th-25th
Event: A more active weather pattern with several chances for precipitation.
Severe Risk: Possibly - potential for a significant event somewhere in the TN Valley region
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Uncertain - potential for a significant winter storm - will need to monitor
Details: Several shots of cold air - with warm air - battle zone likely near our region.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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What are the chances for a winter STORM event (see definition below - this DOES NOT include chances for light winter precipitation - this is for winter STORMS) over southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, northeast Arkansas, or northwest Tennessee?
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Winter STORM would be the potential for snow accumulating to 2" or more - icy travel conditions with enough sleet or freezing rain to cause advisories and/or winter storm watches/warnings to be issued by the National Weather Service.
I am adding an extended Winter STORM outlook...
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Winter STORM would be the potential for snow accumulating to 2" or more - icy travel conditions with enough sleet or freezing rain to cause advisories and/or winter storm watches/warnings to be issued by the National Weather Service.
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Keep in mind that the percentages DO NOT mean that is what will actually fall from the sky. It is the potential of a winter storm developing and impacting our region. The ACTUAL forecast snowfall or ice totals are only issued in the SHORT range discussion (top of the blog page).
. Tuesday - 0%
Wednesday - 0% Thursday - 0%
Friday - 0% Saturday - 0%
Sunday - 0%
Monday - 0%
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Sunday - 0%
Monday - 0%
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1. I suppose the biggest story of the long range will be the cold air intrusion - a couple of shots of cold air over the next 7-10 day period.
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The GFS and EC both show a storm system for next week - several actually. We will have to monitor to see if precipitation will be accompanied by warm air or cold air. We are seeing a bit more of a pattern shift towards colder air. Who knows - perhaps winter will still make an appearance before spring arrives.
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For the rest of this week - temperatures will trend towards normal to even perhaps below normal as we move into Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. Have to wait and see if we see some moderation by late in the weekend into early next week - especially if the next system winds itself up to our southwest and west.
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Bottom line for the long range is the potential for a more active pattern.
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The GFS and EC both show a storm system for next week - several actually. We will have to monitor to see if precipitation will be accompanied by warm air or cold air. We are seeing a bit more of a pattern shift towards colder air. Who knows - perhaps winter will still make an appearance before spring arrives.
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For the rest of this week - temperatures will trend towards normal to even perhaps below normal as we move into Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. Have to wait and see if we see some moderation by late in the weekend into early next week - especially if the next system winds itself up to our southwest and west.
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Bottom line for the long range is the potential for a more active pattern.
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
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