Monday evening into Tuesday afternoon update
.
For more frequent updates check out the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
.
This page is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer
.
.
Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
.
Monday night: Mostly cloudy with a period of showers and possibly thunderstorms - late tonight (after midnight).
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 40s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 28 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southerly winds at 10-20 mph and gusty
Precipitation probability - 60% | Rainfall totals: 0.10"-0.25"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds. Windy at times.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 37-41 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 48 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southwest winds at 10-20 mph with gusts above 25 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy skies.
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 30s and lower 40s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 28 degrees.
Wind: West at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: West at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
.
Wednesday: Partly sunny and very mild - a slight chance for a shower - windy at times.
Much above normal temperatures
Highs: around 65 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 45 degrees.Wind: Southwest winds at 10-20 mph with gusts above 25 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.10"
Confidence in this forecast is high
.
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
.
.
.
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
.
.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
.
..
Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here.
.
---
The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 48 hours
.
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
.
Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
.
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
.
Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? A rumble possible.
.
.
Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? A rumble possible.
.
Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Tuesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
.
.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
.
Tonight - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
.
Tonight - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - Unlikely
Friday - No
Saturday - No
Sunday - No
Monday - No
Tuesday - Possible
Monday - No
Tuesday - Possible
.
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
.
The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
.
To view the interactive map - click here.
.
To view the interactive map - click here.
.
.
This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
.
HEADLINE: Weak disturbance moves through the region tonight with a period of showers and possibly a thunderstorm - after midnight.
.
Very mild weather for February - will continue into this week.
.
Spring fever will arrive soon :)
.
We will have to watch Thursday for a small risk of severe thunderstorms in or near our region - perhaps the eastern or southeastern counties - some uncertainty. Models are showing quite a bit of instability over portions of the Tennessee Valley - this creeps into parts of our region, as well. Moisture may be a limiting factor for severe storms. Check back for updates.
.
It will be windy at times over the next few days - boaters use care.
.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
.
HEADLINE: Weak disturbance moves through the region tonight with a period of showers and possibly a thunderstorm - after midnight.
.
Very mild weather for February - will continue into this week.
.
Spring fever will arrive soon :)
.
We will have to watch Thursday for a small risk of severe thunderstorms in or near our region - perhaps the eastern or southeastern counties - some uncertainty. Models are showing quite a bit of instability over portions of the Tennessee Valley - this creeps into parts of our region, as well. Moisture may be a limiting factor for severe storms. Check back for updates.
.
It will be windy at times over the next few days - boaters use care.
.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
.
I have also added a few new interactive city radars - including the Memphis, Tennessee area and the rest of the State of Kentucky.
.
.
-----------------------------
.
.
Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 24 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
.
Rainfall totals should not be significant
.
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
.
Rainfall totals should not be significant
.
.
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
.
.
.
No significant snow in our forecast...
.
No significant snow in our forecast...
.
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
.
Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
.
Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
.
If you are looking for wintry precipitation - click here.
.
.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
---
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
.
Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
.
.
.
.
---
.
.
Date Range: February 13th-25th
Event: A more active weather pattern with several chances for precipitation.
Severe Risk: Possibly - potential for a significant event somewhere in the TN Valley region
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Uncertain - potential for a winter storm or two - will need to monitor
Details: Several shots of cold air - with warm air - battle zone likely near our region.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
.
.
.
Date Range: February 13th-25th
Event: A more active weather pattern with several chances for precipitation.
Severe Risk: Possibly - potential for a significant event somewhere in the TN Valley region
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Uncertain - potential for a winter storm or two - will need to monitor
Details: Several shots of cold air - with warm air - battle zone likely near our region.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
.
.
.
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
.
-----------------------------
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
.
-----------------------------
.
What are the chances for a winter weather event (see definition below - over southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, northeast Arkansas, or northwest Tennessee?
.
Winter weather event would be the potential for snow - icy travel conditions with enough sleet or freezing rain to cause advisories and/or winter storm watches/warnings to be issued by the National Weather Service.
Winter STORM outlook...
.
.
Winter weather event would be the potential for snow - icy travel conditions with enough sleet or freezing rain to cause advisories and/or winter storm watches/warnings to be issued by the National Weather Service.
.
Tuesday - 0%
Wednesday - 0% Thursday - 0%
Friday - 0%
Saturday - 0%
Friday - 0%
Saturday - 0%
Sunday - 0%
.
.
1. Nothing dramatic to talk about in today's update. VERY mild weather this week - highs into the 60s by mid-week.
.
A system will move through our region on Thursday - this will spark some showers and thunderstorms
.
The GFS model is showing an active 2-3 week period ahead of us (starting next week into the following week). This will have to be monitored as stronger/deeper storm systems seem to be in the cards.
.
.
A system will move through our region on Thursday - this will spark some showers and thunderstorms
.
The GFS model is showing an active 2-3 week period ahead of us (starting next week into the following week). This will have to be monitored as stronger/deeper storm systems seem to be in the cards.
.
Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
.
Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
.
.
Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
.
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
.
All other states- Click Here
.
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
.
.
No comments:
Post a Comment