Sunday night - Monday Evening forecast
.
For more frequent updates check out the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
.
This page is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer
.
Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
.Sunday night: Mostly cloudy - light rain - scattered showers - drizzle and some fog. Watch for a few slick spots on bridges if temperatures drop a little lower than expected .
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 20s and lower 30s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 25 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: North winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 60% | Rainfall totals: 0.10"-0.20"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Monday: A mix of sun and clouds.
Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 52 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 45 degrees.Above normal temperatures.
Wind: Northwest winds at 10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Monday night: Just a few clouds.
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 30s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 25 degrees.
Wind: West at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: West at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny skies - mild for February.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 52-54 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 45 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Westerly winds at 5-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
.
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
.
.
.
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
.
.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
.
Click Here.
.
---
The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 48 hours
.
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
.
Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
.
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
.
Sunday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
.
Sunday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Monday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Tuesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. Small chance for a snow/rain mix.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. Small chance for a rain/snow mix
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
.
.
.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
.
Monday - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
Saturday - No
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
.
.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
.
Monday - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
Saturday - No
.
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
.
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
.
The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
.
To view the interactive map - click here.
.
To view the interactive map - click here.
.
.
This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
.
HEADLINE: Short update today :) - quiet weather = a bit of a break!
.
High pressure will move into the region tonight and will last into Tuesday - this means mostly dry weather for Monday and Tuesday - there will still be a little bit of drizzle and fog tonight (Sunday night). Watch for a few slick spots on bridges if the temperature drops lower than expected (for Monday morning).
.
A weak disturbance will move through our region on Tuesday night into Wednesday - this may bring some light rain or drizzle. Can't rule out some light snow mixed with the rain - this does not look like a major precipitation event. Light amounts.
.
Otherwise - colder air will move in on Wednesday and Thursday - lasting into the weekend. A fairly calm week ahead of us.
.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
.
.
HEADLINE: Short update today :) - quiet weather = a bit of a break!
.
High pressure will move into the region tonight and will last into Tuesday - this means mostly dry weather for Monday and Tuesday - there will still be a little bit of drizzle and fog tonight (Sunday night). Watch for a few slick spots on bridges if the temperature drops lower than expected (for Monday morning).
.
A weak disturbance will move through our region on Tuesday night into Wednesday - this may bring some light rain or drizzle. Can't rule out some light snow mixed with the rain - this does not look like a major precipitation event. Light amounts.
.
Otherwise - colder air will move in on Wednesday and Thursday - lasting into the weekend. A fairly calm week ahead of us.
.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
.
-----------------------------
.
.
Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 24 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
.
No major rainfall for the next 24 hours - no graphic today
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
.
No major rainfall for the next 24 hours - no graphic today
.
.
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
.
.
.
No significant snow in our forecast...
.
No significant snow in our forecast...
.
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
.
Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
.
Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
.
If you are looking for wintry precipitation - click here.
.
.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
---
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
.
Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
.
.
.
.
---
.
.
Date Range: February 5th-15th
Event: Semi-active period of weather - several shots at colder weather will be possible. A couple of precipitation events.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possibly some light events - see short range forecast
Details: Potential for some significant swings in the temperature pattern.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium .
.
.
Date Range: February 5th-15th
Event: Semi-active period of weather - several shots at colder weather will be possible. A couple of precipitation events.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possibly some light events - see short range forecast
Details: Potential for some significant swings in the temperature pattern.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium .
.
.
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
.
-----------------------------
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
.
-----------------------------
.
What are the chances for a winter STORM event (see definition below - this DOES NOT include chances for light winter precipitation - this is for winter STORMS) over southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, northeast Arkansas, or northwest Tennessee?
.
Winter STORM would be the potential for snow accumulating to 2" or more - icy travel conditions with enough sleet or freezing rain to cause advisories and/or winter storm watches/warnings to be issued by the National Weather Service.
I am adding an extended Winter STORM outlook...
.
.
Winter STORM would be the potential for snow accumulating to 2" or more - icy travel conditions with enough sleet or freezing rain to cause advisories and/or winter storm watches/warnings to be issued by the National Weather Service.
.
Keep in mind that the percentages DO NOT mean that is what will actually fall from the sky. It is the potential of a winter storm developing and impacting our region. The ACTUAL forecast snowfall or ice totals are only issued in the SHORT range discussion (top of the blog page).
. Monday - 0%
Tuesday - 0%
Wednesday - less than 5% Thursday - 0%
Friday - 0%Saturday - 0%
Sunday - 0%
.
Sunday - 0%
.
1. The weather will be mostly quiet during the week ahead into next weekend. Some light/weak disturbances may move through the flow as colder air arrives towards the middle of this week - might be some light rain or snow mix on Tuesday night and Wednesday.
.
The next storm system to watch will likely be next week - perhaps around Tuesday or Wednesday. Plenty of time to monitor that system - right now it appears like rain (for around the 14th or so).
.
Otherwise - the week ahead will mostly bring above normal temperatures early and then perhaps more normal temperatures middle and end of the week into the weekend (might feel cold after all of our mild weather).
.
No major snowstorms during the next seven days and no major severe weather outbreaks during the next seven days! Enjoy the quiet weather.
.
Beyond the seven day period it appears we remain in the swing pattern with intrusions of cold air mixed in with much above normal temperature days. Several storms to monitor as we push into week 3 and 4 of February - appears we have 3-5 systems to watch.
.
The next storm system to watch will likely be next week - perhaps around Tuesday or Wednesday. Plenty of time to monitor that system - right now it appears like rain (for around the 14th or so).
.
Otherwise - the week ahead will mostly bring above normal temperatures early and then perhaps more normal temperatures middle and end of the week into the weekend (might feel cold after all of our mild weather).
.
No major snowstorms during the next seven days and no major severe weather outbreaks during the next seven days! Enjoy the quiet weather.
.
Beyond the seven day period it appears we remain in the swing pattern with intrusions of cold air mixed in with much above normal temperature days. Several storms to monitor as we push into week 3 and 4 of February - appears we have 3-5 systems to watch.
.
Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
.
Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
.
.
Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
.
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
.
All other states- Click Here
.
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
.
Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
.
.
No comments:
Post a Comment