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For more frequent updates check out the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
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Wind: Easterly winds at 5-10 mph - gusts to 15 mph.
Precipitation probability - 70% | Rainfall totals: 0.30"-0.60" locally higher amounts possible
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Southerly at 10-15 mph.
Precipitation probability - 80% | Rainfall totals: 0.40"-1.00" - locally higher amounts likely
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Wind: Southerly winds at 10-20 mph with gusts above 25 mph. Winds turning to the west late.
Precipitation probability - 90% | Rainfall totals: 0.40"-1.00" locally higher amounts possible
Confidence in this forecast is moderate
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Thanksgiving will be dry and cool. Thanksgiving weekend could be stormy. Stay tuned.
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Rain and quite a bit of it over the coming days. Can't rule out some low land flooding or poor drainage areas. Also carefully monitoring Tuesday for strong thunderstorms - isolated severe storms. Dense fog.
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Avoided roadways with water over them. Also dense fog is a concern.
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The wild card in this forecast will be when the rain ends on Tuesday. Right now it appears there will be some thunderstorm chances into the late morning or early afternoon hours over far southern IL and western KY - then coming to an end from west to east during the afternoon.
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Click Here.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 24 hours
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
Monday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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This page is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Sunday night: Foggy at times. A chance for some showers and thunderstorms. More widespread after midnight and into the morning hours.
Lows: in the 48-55 degree range with colder temperatures the further north and west you go in the region | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 39 degrees.Above normal temperatures.
Wind: Easterly winds at 5-10 mph - gusts to 15 mph.
Precipitation probability - 70% | Rainfall totals: 0.30"-0.60" locally higher amounts possible
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Monday: Dense fog. Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms from time to time. Mild.
Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 65-68 degrees over the southern counties and in the upper 50s to lower 60s over the far western and northern counties. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 59 degrees.Above normal temperatures.
Wind: Southerly at 10-15 mph.
Precipitation probability - 80% | Rainfall totals: 0.40"-1.00" - locally higher amounts likely
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Monday night: Dense fog early in the night. Showers and thunderstorms becoming likely. Windy at times. Locally heavy rain possible.
Above normal temperatures.
Above normal temperatures.
Lows: in the upper 50s and lower 60s then rising after midnight | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 39 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds at 10-20 mph with higher gusts at times - especially late
Precipitation probability - 80% | Rainfall totals: 0.50"-1.00" with locally higher amounts likely
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Southerly winds at 10-20 mph with higher gusts at times - especially late
Precipitation probability - 80% | Rainfall totals: 0.50"-1.00" with locally higher amounts likely
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely - locally heavy rain.
Highs: around 73 degrees with falling temperatures towards evening. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 59 degrees.Above normal temperatures.
Wind: Southerly winds at 10-20 mph with gusts above 25 mph. Winds turning to the west late.
Precipitation probability - 90% | Rainfall totals: 0.40"-1.00" locally higher amounts possible
Confidence in this forecast is moderate
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Thanksgiving will be dry and cool. Thanksgiving weekend could be stormy. Stay tuned.
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Rain and quite a bit of it over the coming days. Can't rule out some low land flooding or poor drainage areas. Also carefully monitoring Tuesday for strong thunderstorms - isolated severe storms. Dense fog.
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Avoided roadways with water over them. Also dense fog is a concern.
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The wild card in this forecast will be when the rain ends on Tuesday. Right now it appears there will be some thunderstorm chances into the late morning or early afternoon hours over far southern IL and western KY - then coming to an end from west to east during the afternoon.
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Tweaked rainfall totals and temperatures.
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 24 hours
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
.
Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Sunday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. Isolated hail can't be ruled out from the strongest cells. No snow or ice.
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - some heavy with lightning and small hail possible.
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Sunday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. Isolated hail can't be ruled out from the strongest cells. No snow or ice.
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - some heavy with lightning and small hail possible.
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Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
.Monday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Monday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Tuesday: We will need to monitor Tuesday for severe thunderstorms. No snow or ice.
Tuesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Tuesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE: Don't forget WINTER WEATHER PREPAREDNESS WEEK HAS ARRIVED - CLICK HERE FOR MORE INFORMATION!
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Rain spread over the region on Saturday night and Sunday morning. Rainfall totals of 0.30-3.00" have been reported over the area.
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The heaviest rainfall fell over parts of the southwest Kentucky towards Kentucky Lake and then east/northeast of there. 2-3" of rain was reported by spotters. Some flooded creeks have been observed.
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Rain will continue on and off until the entire system moves east later on Tuesday.
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There could be a few severe thunderstorms on Tuesday - there is some question on instability. There are also questions on timing. If the system pushes east during the morning hours then the threat for severe weather will be diminished. If it slows by six to eight hours then the risk is a bit greater. This will need to be monitored.
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Thanksgiving will be DRY and cool. Black Friday will be DRY and cool. RAIN enters the forecast later on Friday night into Saturday night.
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Have YOU liked the Facebook page for the National Weather Service Forecast Office out of Paducah, Kentucky? These are the people that issue our winter storm watches and warnings - ice storm warnings - tornado warnings - flood information: Here is their page - click here and hit LIKE at the top of their pages
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
HEADLINE: Don't forget WINTER WEATHER PREPAREDNESS WEEK HAS ARRIVED - CLICK HERE FOR MORE INFORMATION!
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Rain spread over the region on Saturday night and Sunday morning. Rainfall totals of 0.30-3.00" have been reported over the area.
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The heaviest rainfall fell over parts of the southwest Kentucky towards Kentucky Lake and then east/northeast of there. 2-3" of rain was reported by spotters. Some flooded creeks have been observed.
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Rain will continue on and off until the entire system moves east later on Tuesday.
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There could be a few severe thunderstorms on Tuesday - there is some question on instability. There are also questions on timing. If the system pushes east during the morning hours then the threat for severe weather will be diminished. If it slows by six to eight hours then the risk is a bit greater. This will need to be monitored.
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Thanksgiving will be DRY and cool. Black Friday will be DRY and cool. RAIN enters the forecast later on Friday night into Saturday night.
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Have YOU liked the Facebook page for the National Weather Service Forecast Office out of Paducah, Kentucky? These are the people that issue our winter storm watches and warnings - ice storm warnings - tornado warnings - flood information: Here is their page - click here and hit LIKE at the top of their pages
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 72 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Snow is not in our local forecast.
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Snow is not in our local forecast.
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Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
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If you are looking for wintry precipitation - click here.
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Date Range: November 26th
Event: Showers and some thunderstorms - locally heavy rain possible.
Severe Risk: Too soon to make a forecast on severe weather - locally heavy rain is possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk:
Details: Another in a series of storm systems will impact our region. Cold front with showers and thunderstorms - colder air behind the system. Rain may start as early as Friday night.
Confidence in my forecast: Very high
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Date Range: November 27th -November 31st
Event: Below normal temperatures.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possible event towards the very end of the month - highly uncertain
Details: Colder air arrives behind our holiday weekend storm.
Confidence in my forecast: High
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Date Range: November 26th
Event: Showers and some thunderstorms - locally heavy rain possible.
Severe Risk: Too soon to make a forecast on severe weather - locally heavy rain is possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk:
Details: Another in a series of storm systems will impact our region. Cold front with showers and thunderstorms - colder air behind the system. Rain may start as early as Friday night.
Confidence in my forecast: Very high
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Date Range: November 27th -November 31st
Event: Below normal temperatures.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possible event towards the very end of the month - highly uncertain
Details: Colder air arrives behind our holiday weekend storm.
Confidence in my forecast: High
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Date Range: December 1st - December 12th
Event: Mostly below normal temperatures. Active pattern.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possible the first few days of the month
Details: Cold air - several shots of below normal temperatures.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
Event: Mostly below normal temperatures. Active pattern.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possible the first few days of the month
Details: Cold air - several shots of below normal temperatures.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
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Date Range: December 7th-10th
Event: Near normal to below normal temperatures.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possible
Details: Potential precipitation event.
Confidence in my forecast: Low
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Event: Near normal to below normal temperatures.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possible
Details: Potential precipitation event.
Confidence in my forecast: Low
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Date Range: December 27th-30th
Event: Significant storm system in the Missouri/Ohio/Tennessee Valley
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk:
Details: Potential precipitation event.
Confidence in my forecast: Low
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Event: Significant storm system in the Missouri/Ohio/Tennessee Valley
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk:
Details: Potential precipitation event.
Confidence in my forecast: Low
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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1. Long range is unfolding about as expected. The last half of the month was supposed to bring well above normal rainfall with an active pattern. Also cold air was forecast to arrive towards the end of the month and into December - with the potential for below normal temperatures.
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I will be watching several precipitation chances the first 2 weeks of December and a possible significant storm system towards the end of December. Lot of cold air is building - this will likely be a dramatic switch from Novembers weather.
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Our next widespread rain event is still on schedule for the holiday weekend - most likely late Friday night into Saturday/Saturday night. Rainfall totals of 1-2" will be possible with this system. Some thunderstorms are also possible. Colder air behind the storm for Sunday into the following week.
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I will be watching several precipitation chances the first 2 weeks of December and a possible significant storm system towards the end of December. Lot of cold air is building - this will likely be a dramatic switch from Novembers weather.
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Our next widespread rain event is still on schedule for the holiday weekend - most likely late Friday night into Saturday/Saturday night. Rainfall totals of 1-2" will be possible with this system. Some thunderstorms are also possible. Colder air behind the storm for Sunday into the following week.
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November is looking as if it will be a bit of a roller coaster in the temperature department - if we do end up with several deep storm systems then we would experience warm air moving up ahead of the storms and then cold air behind the systems. Analogs are showing a cold to very cold December into February - with a cooler than average spring and stormy/wet spring. The cold air this winter will depend on the blocking - more blocking = colder weather.
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
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