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For more frequent updates check out the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
For more frequent updates check out the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
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Video update is best viewed in full screen mode - for higher resolution.
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Video update is best viewed in full screen mode - for higher resolution.
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Monday night: Stormy! Showers and thunderstorms - locally heavy rain in pockets. Above normal temperatures.
Lows: in the 54-58 degree range | Wind: South at 10-20 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 41 degrees. Precipitation probability - 100% | Rainfall totals: 0.40-0.80" - locally higher My confidence in this forecast is very high
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Tuesday: Wet! Showers and thunderstorms likely. A few pockets of heavy downpours. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 68 degrees. | Wind: South/southwest winds at 10-20 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 63 degrees. Precipitation probability - 100% | Rainfall totals: 0.40-0.80" Locally higher amounts My confidence in this forecast is very high
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Tuesday night: Showers and a few thunderstorms possible - some heavy downpours possible. Near normal temperatures.
Lows: around 45 degrees | Wind: Southwesterly winds at 10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 41 degrees. Precipitation probability - 90% | Rainfall totals: 0.20-0.60"
My confidence in this forecast is very high
My confidence in this forecast is very high
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Wednesday: Chance for showers - especially over the eastern and southeastern half of the region. Below normal temperatures.
Highs: around 50 degrees. | Wind: Westerly at 15-25 mph with gusts above 30 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 63 degrees. Precipitation probability - 70% | Rainfall totals: 0.20-0.40" My confidence in this forecast is high
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Rain - some heavy. Some rumbles of thunder possible right on into Tuesday night. Widespread rainfall totals of 1-2" over the region - locally heavier. A risk for some severe storms this afternoon and tonight (Monday afternoon/night). High winds, hail, and isolated tornadoes possible.
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Severe storms can't be ruled out - monitor local media.
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The wild card in this forecast is the timing of the rain coming to an end on Wednesday.
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Rain - some heavy. Some rumbles of thunder possible right on into Tuesday night. Widespread rainfall totals of 1-2" over the region - locally heavier. A risk for some severe storms this afternoon and tonight (Monday afternoon/night). High winds, hail, and isolated tornadoes possible.
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Severe storms can't be ruled out - monitor local media.
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The wild card in this forecast is the timing of the rain coming to an end on Wednesday.
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Tweaked temperatures and rainfall chances.
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 24 hours
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Monday night: A few thunderstorms could produce severe weather. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - thunderstorms possible.
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Monday night: A few thunderstorms could produce severe weather. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - thunderstorms possible.
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Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Can't rule out a clap of thunder with a few storms.
.Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Can't rule out a clap of thunder with a few storms.
Tuesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE: Don't forget WINTER WEATHER PREPAREDNESS WEEK HAS ARRIVED - CLICK HERE FOR MORE INFORMATION!
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HEADLINE: Don't forget WINTER WEATHER PREPAREDNESS WEEK HAS ARRIVED - CLICK HERE FOR MORE INFORMATION!
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Rain and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon and evening. A few of the storms could produce hail, high winds, and isolated tornadoes - most likely over southern Indiana into southern Illinois and northern Kentucky. However, isolated severe weather is possible in any of our counties.
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Widespread rain develops this evening and overnight - this will continue right on into Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Rain could be heavy at times.
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Widespread 1-2" of rain will fall between tonight (Monday night) and Wednesday morning. Pockets or 2-4" in some counties. WET will be the word.
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Cooler temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday - we may see temperatures down into the 20s on Thursday morning. Most likely in the 28-32 degree range for southern Illinois and western Kentucky.
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Fog will be possible on Wednesday night.
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Widespread rain develops this evening and overnight - this will continue right on into Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Rain could be heavy at times.
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Widespread 1-2" of rain will fall between tonight (Monday night) and Wednesday morning. Pockets or 2-4" in some counties. WET will be the word.
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Cooler temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday - we may see temperatures down into the 20s on Thursday morning. Most likely in the 28-32 degree range for southern Illinois and western Kentucky.
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Fog will be possible on Wednesday night.
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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Here is the high resolution WRF model - from www.wright-weather.com - it gives you an idea of expected rainfall totals, as well - click image for real view size
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Here is the high resolution WRF model - from www.wright-weather.com - it gives you an idea of expected rainfall totals, as well - click image for real view size
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here
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Snow is not in our local forecast.
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Snow is not in our local forecast.
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Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
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If you are looking for wintry precipitation - click here.
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Date Range: November 20th -November 23rd
Event: Unsettled with several periods of showers and thunderstorms - locally heavy rain
Severe Risk: Too soon to forecast severe weather.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: n/a
Details: Appears wet with several low pressure areas in the central United States
Confidence: Medium
Event: Unsettled with several periods of showers and thunderstorms - locally heavy rain
Severe Risk: Too soon to forecast severe weather.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: n/a
Details: Appears wet with several low pressure areas in the central United States
Confidence: Medium
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Date Range: November 25th -November 28th
Event: Active weather pattern - we will be between the cold air to the north and warm air to the south - multiple storm systems may bring several chances for showers and thunderstorms - occasional shots of cold air - cold air is building in Canada. Expect several significant cold waves towards the end of the month into first part of December.
Severe Risk: Too soon to make a forecast on severe weather
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Unknown
Details: Potential for occasional shots of cold air with an active pattern - will be near the boundary of cold/warm air - plenty of chances for rain and possible thunderstorms.
Confidence: Low
Event: Active weather pattern - we will be between the cold air to the north and warm air to the south - multiple storm systems may bring several chances for showers and thunderstorms - occasional shots of cold air - cold air is building in Canada. Expect several significant cold waves towards the end of the month into first part of December.
Severe Risk: Too soon to make a forecast on severe weather
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Unknown
Details: Potential for occasional shots of cold air with an active pattern - will be near the boundary of cold/warm air - plenty of chances for rain and possible thunderstorms.
Confidence: Low
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Date Range: November 28th -December 8th
Event: Below normal temperatures.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Unknown
Details: I continue to watch the cold air building up north - the pattern favors a dump of cold air towards the end of the month and into the beginning of December. Unsettled pattern overall for the next three weeks.
Confidence: Low
Event: Below normal temperatures.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Unknown
Details: I continue to watch the cold air building up north - the pattern favors a dump of cold air towards the end of the month and into the beginning of December. Unsettled pattern overall for the next three weeks.
Confidence: Low
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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1. I have made no significant changes in the long range outlook. Promised you an active middle and end of November and that is what you will have.
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Next system arrives late next weekend with more shower chances. Active pattern should continue for the next several weeks. That probably means more above normal temperatures with brief spells of colder weather.
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Timing of the bigger push of colder air is still in question - thinking towards the end of the month into the first week of December.
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Check out the cold air from Canada - these graphics are available on our web-site, as well - click here
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Next system arrives late next weekend with more shower chances. Active pattern should continue for the next several weeks. That probably means more above normal temperatures with brief spells of colder weather.
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Timing of the bigger push of colder air is still in question - thinking towards the end of the month into the first week of December.
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Check out the cold air from Canada - these graphics are available on our web-site, as well - click here
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November is looking as if it will be a bit of a roller coaster in the temperature department - if we do end up with several deep storm systems then we would experience warm air moving up ahead of the storms and then cold air behind the systems. Analogs are showing a cold to very cold December into January and then perhaps more normal in February - with a cooler than average spring and stormy/wet spring.
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
. For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-sitehttp://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
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