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For more frequent updates check out the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
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Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph - gusts to 15 mph.
Precipitation probability - 90% | Rainfall totals: 0.30-0.60" with locally higher amounts likely
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: Southerly at 10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 80% | Rainfall totals: 0.40-1.00" - locally higher amounts likely
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Wind: Southerly winds at 10-20 mph with gusts above 25 mph.
Precipitation probability - 80% | Rainfall totals: 0.70-1.00" locally heavier amounts likely
Confidence in this forecast is medium
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Thanksgiving will be dry and cool. Thanksgiving weekend could be stormy. Stay tuned.
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Rain is the concern. Some heavy rain over the coming days. Watch for ponding of water on roadways. A flash flood watch has been issued for some of our counties - see below.
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Avoided roadways with water over them
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The wild card in this forecast will be how much rain falls between now and Tuesday night. Right now thinking most counties pick up 1.5-3" with locally heavier amounts. Some counties may pick up more than 5 inches of rain.
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Click Here.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 24 hours
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
Sunday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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This page is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Saturday night: Mostly cloudy with showers and a few thunderstorms - especially late.
Lows: in the 54-58 degree range | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 39 degrees.Above normal temperatures.
Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph - gusts to 15 mph.
Precipitation probability - 90% | Rainfall totals: 0.30-0.60" with locally higher amounts likely
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Sunday: Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms from time to time. Mild early and then turning colder from northeast to southeast.
Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 62-65 degrees. Temperatures falling into the 40s behind the cold front | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 59 degrees.Above normal temperatures.
Wind: Southerly at 10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 80% | Rainfall totals: 0.40-1.00" - locally higher amounts likely
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Sunday night: A chance for showers and thunderstorms.
Above normal temperatures.
Above normal temperatures.
Lows: in the middle 50s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 39 degrees.
Wind: Northeast/easterly winds early then becoming southerly late - 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% early and then 70% late | Rainfall totals: 0.20-0.40" locally heavier amounts likely
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Northeast/easterly winds early then becoming southerly late - 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% early and then 70% late | Rainfall totals: 0.20-0.40" locally heavier amounts likely
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Monday: Showers and thunderstorms from time to time. Warmer.
Highs: around 65-70 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 59 degrees.Above normal temperatures.
Wind: Southerly winds at 10-20 mph with gusts above 25 mph.
Precipitation probability - 80% | Rainfall totals: 0.70-1.00" locally heavier amounts likely
Confidence in this forecast is medium
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Thanksgiving will be dry and cool. Thanksgiving weekend could be stormy. Stay tuned.
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Rain is the concern. Some heavy rain over the coming days. Watch for ponding of water on roadways. A flash flood watch has been issued for some of our counties - see below.
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Avoided roadways with water over them
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The wild card in this forecast will be how much rain falls between now and Tuesday night. Right now thinking most counties pick up 1.5-3" with locally heavier amounts. Some counties may pick up more than 5 inches of rain.
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Tweaked rainfall totals and temperatures.
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 24 hours
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
.
Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Saturday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Saturday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Sunday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
.Sunday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Sunday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Monday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE: Don't forget WINTER WEATHER PREPAREDNESS WEEK HAS ARRIVED - CLICK HERE FOR MORE INFORMATION!
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Here comes the rain again.
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Periods of showers and thunderstorms will be possible - beginning tonight (Saturday night) and continuing right on into Tuesday afternoon.
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The rain will arrive in waves. It won't rain all of the time. There is a flash flood watch for portions of southern Missouri, northeast Arkansas, and western Tennessee.
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Here is the graphical outline of the flood watch - in green
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Most areas are going to pick up between 1.5-3" of rain between now and Tuesday afternoon. There will be pockets of 3-6" of rain. The exact placement of the heavier rain bands is still a bit uncertain. Part of this depends on the track of the area of low pressure - which has been shifting northward over the last 24 hours.
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There will be a chance for lightning and thunder. Severe weather risk appears very low. Will monitor for any changes. If severe weather were to pop up then it would likely be late Monday night and Tuesday. Watch for updates.
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Bottom line - rain and plenty of it in the coming days. Some ponding of water will be possible on roadways - flash flooding could occur in a few counties. More concern will be low lying areas that are prone to flooding - poor drainage areas - areas where leaves are clogging up drains. Significant rises are possible are small streams and creeks.
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Rises on the Ohio River will likely be in the 6'-10' range. However, this will still be below flood stage.
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Have YOU liked the Facebook page for the National Weather Service Forecast Office out of Paducah, Kentucky? These are the people that issue our winter storm watches and warnings - ice storm warnings - tornado warnings - flood information: Here is their page - click here and hit LIKE at the top of their pages
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
HEADLINE: Don't forget WINTER WEATHER PREPAREDNESS WEEK HAS ARRIVED - CLICK HERE FOR MORE INFORMATION!
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Here comes the rain again.
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Periods of showers and thunderstorms will be possible - beginning tonight (Saturday night) and continuing right on into Tuesday afternoon.
.
The rain will arrive in waves. It won't rain all of the time. There is a flash flood watch for portions of southern Missouri, northeast Arkansas, and western Tennessee.
.
Here is the graphical outline of the flood watch - in green
.
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Most areas are going to pick up between 1.5-3" of rain between now and Tuesday afternoon. There will be pockets of 3-6" of rain. The exact placement of the heavier rain bands is still a bit uncertain. Part of this depends on the track of the area of low pressure - which has been shifting northward over the last 24 hours.
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There will be a chance for lightning and thunder. Severe weather risk appears very low. Will monitor for any changes. If severe weather were to pop up then it would likely be late Monday night and Tuesday. Watch for updates.
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Bottom line - rain and plenty of it in the coming days. Some ponding of water will be possible on roadways - flash flooding could occur in a few counties. More concern will be low lying areas that are prone to flooding - poor drainage areas - areas where leaves are clogging up drains. Significant rises are possible are small streams and creeks.
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Rises on the Ohio River will likely be in the 6'-10' range. However, this will still be below flood stage.
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Have YOU liked the Facebook page for the National Weather Service Forecast Office out of Paducah, Kentucky? These are the people that issue our winter storm watches and warnings - ice storm warnings - tornado warnings - flood information: Here is their page - click here and hit LIKE at the top of their pages
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 72 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Snow is not in our local forecast.
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Snow is not in our local forecast.
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Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
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If you are looking for wintry precipitation - click here.
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Date Range: November 26th
Event: Showers and some thunderstorms - locally heavy rain possible.
Severe Risk: Too soon to make a forecast on severe weather - locally heavy rain is possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk:
Details: Another in a series of storm systems will impact our region. Cold front with showers and thunderstorms - colder air behind the system. Rain may start as early as Friday night.
Confidence in my forecast: Very high
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Date Range: November 27th -November 31st
Event: Below normal temperatures.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possible event towards the very end of the month - highly uncertain
Details: Colder air arrives behind our holiday weekend storm.
Confidence in my forecast: High
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Date Range: December 1st - December 12th
Event: Mostly below normal temperatures. Active pattern.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possible the first few days of the month
Details: Cold air - several shots of below normal temperatures.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
Event: Mostly below normal temperatures. Active pattern.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possible the first few days of the month
Details: Cold air - several shots of below normal temperatures.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
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Date Range: December 7th-10th
Event: Near normal to below normal temperatures.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possible
Details: Potential precipitation event.
Confidence in my forecast: Low
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Event: Near normal to below normal temperatures.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possible
Details: Potential precipitation event.
Confidence in my forecast: Low
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Date Range: December 27th-30th
Event: Significant storm system in the Missouri/Ohio/Tennessee Valley
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk:
Details: Potential precipitation event.
Confidence in my forecast: Low
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Event: Significant storm system in the Missouri/Ohio/Tennessee Valley
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk:
Details: Potential precipitation event.
Confidence in my forecast: Low
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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1. Long range is unfolding about as expected. The last half of the month was supposed to bring well above normal rainfall with an active pattern. Also cold air was forecast to arrive towards the end of the month and into December - with the potential for below normal temperatures.
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I will be watching several precipitation chances the first 2 weeks of December and a possible significant storm system towards the end of December. Lot of cold air is building - this will likely be a dramatic switch from Novembers weather.
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Our next widespread rain event is still on schedule for the holiday weekend - most likely Saturday into Sunday. Rainfall totals of 1-2" will be possible with this system. Some thunderstorms are also possible. Colder air behind the storm for Sunday into the following week.
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I will be watching several precipitation chances the first 2 weeks of December and a possible significant storm system towards the end of December. Lot of cold air is building - this will likely be a dramatic switch from Novembers weather.
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Our next widespread rain event is still on schedule for the holiday weekend - most likely Saturday into Sunday. Rainfall totals of 1-2" will be possible with this system. Some thunderstorms are also possible. Colder air behind the storm for Sunday into the following week.
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November is looking as if it will be a bit of a roller coaster in the temperature department - if we do end up with several deep storm systems then we would experience warm air moving up ahead of the storms and then cold air behind the systems. Analogs are showing a cold to very cold December into February - with a cooler than average spring and stormy/wet spring. The cold air this winter will depend on the blocking - more blocking = colder weather.
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
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