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For more frequent updates check out the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
For more frequent updates check out the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
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Video update is best viewed in full screen mode - for higher resolution.
Video update is best viewed in full screen mode - for higher resolution.
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Friday night: Mostly clear skies - not as cold. Below normal temperatures.
Lows: in the 42-44 degree range. | Wind: South at 5-10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 42 degrees. Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0" My confidence in this forecast is very high
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Saturday: Windy at times - some clouds - not as cool. Near normal temperatures.
Highs: around 64 degrees. | Wind: South winds at 10-20 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 64 degrees. Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0" My confidence in this forecast is very high
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Saturday night: Increasing clouds - windy. Above normal temperatures.
Lows: around 54 degrees | Wind: South winds at 10-20 mph - gusty. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 42 degrees. Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
My confidence in this forecast is very high
My confidence in this forecast is very high
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Sunday: Windy - mostly cloudy - a chance for a few showers. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 68 degrees. | Wind: South winds at 15-25 mph with gusts over 30 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 64 degrees. Precipitation probability - 30% | Rainfall totals: Less than 0.10" My confidence in this forecast is high
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Boaters on the lakes - winds will be gusty into Sunday. Would not be surprised to see some gusts on Sunday over 35 mph. Use caution, as always.
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Use caution on area lakes - with gusty winds this weekend.
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No wild cards in the forecast.
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Boaters on the lakes - winds will be gusty into Sunday. Would not be surprised to see some gusts on Sunday over 35 mph. Use caution, as always.
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Use caution on area lakes - with gusty winds this weekend.
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No wild cards in the forecast.
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No significant changes in the ongoing forecast.
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 24 hours
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Friday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Friday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Saturday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Saturday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Saturday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Sunday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Clap of thunder can't be ruled out.
Sunday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Clap of thunder can't be ruled out.
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE: A COLD morning for the region. Veteran day morning lows were in the lower to middle 20s over much of the area. Gracey, Kentucky reported 21 degrees. I measured 25 here at my place in central Massac County. Benton, Kentucky recorded 24 degrees. Not bad for November!
HEADLINE: A COLD morning for the region. Veteran day morning lows were in the lower to middle 20s over much of the area. Gracey, Kentucky reported 21 degrees. I measured 25 here at my place in central Massac County. Benton, Kentucky recorded 24 degrees. Not bad for November!
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A breeeeeeeezy weekend is on tap for our region. If you are going to be out and about on area lakes and rivers then use caution. Southerly winds on Saturday could gust above 30 mph and on Sunday winds could gust above 35 mph. Either way - windy conditions.
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Mild weekend with normal to above normal temperatures. This is ahead of our next storm system. Rain chances will increase a bit on Sunday with scattered showers. It will not rain all day - just some scattered rain and clouds.
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The next big chance of rain arrives Monday night into Tuesday night. There is a wide spread on the models as to how this next event unfolds. Right now I am thinking a frontal boundary will find itself stationary near our counties with several ripples of low pressure moving along it. This will cause showers to develop along and near the boundary.
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Best chance of rain will likely be on Monday night and Tuesday. Rainfall totals of 0.40-0.80" can be expected. Locally heavier rain will be possible over the central and eastern half of the region - most likely from Evansville to Paducah line - then east. As much as 1-2" of rain may fall in these areas. The rainfall totals with this next system will need to be monitored and possibly tweaked - some data shows heavier rain. Will monitor.
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Right now I am not concerned about severe weather.
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November, thus far, has produced above normal temperatures - here is a map showing the temperature departures. The second map is for precipitation - just look at how much above normal the precipitation has been from parts of Kansas into Michigan.
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Our region is on the border between the above and below normal precipitation. Keep in mind that this is MONTH TO DATE - not the forecast for upcoming dates. This is what has already happened this month.
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 24 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here
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Snow is not in our local forecast.
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Snow is not in our local forecast.
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Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
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If you are looking for wintry precipitation - don't forget you can view these maps yourself by clicking here.
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Date Range: November 19th -November 24th
Event: Active with several periods of showers and thunderstorms
Severe Risk: Too soon to forecast severe weather.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: n/a
Details: Appears wet with several low pressure areas in the central United States
Confidence: Medium
Event: Active with several periods of showers and thunderstorms
Severe Risk: Too soon to forecast severe weather.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: n/a
Details: Appears wet with several low pressure areas in the central United States
Confidence: Medium
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Date Range: November 25th -November 28th
Event: Active weather pattern - we will be between the cold air to the north and warm air to the south - multiple storm systems may bring several chances for showers and thunderstorms - occasional shots of cold air - cold air is building in Canada. Expect several significant cold waves towards the end of the month into first part of December.
Severe Risk: Too soon to make a forecast on severe weather
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Unknown
Details: Potential for occasional shots of cold air with an active pattern - will be near the boundary of cold/warm air - plenty of chances for rain and possible thunderstorms.
Confidence: Low
Event: Active weather pattern - we will be between the cold air to the north and warm air to the south - multiple storm systems may bring several chances for showers and thunderstorms - occasional shots of cold air - cold air is building in Canada. Expect several significant cold waves towards the end of the month into first part of December.
Severe Risk: Too soon to make a forecast on severe weather
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Unknown
Details: Potential for occasional shots of cold air with an active pattern - will be near the boundary of cold/warm air - plenty of chances for rain and possible thunderstorms.
Confidence: Low
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Date Range: November 27th -December 8th
Event: Below normal temperatures.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Unknown
Details: I continue to watch the cold air building up north - the pattern favors a dump of cold air towards the end of the month and into the beginning of December.
Confidence: Low
Event: Below normal temperatures.
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Unknown
Details: I continue to watch the cold air building up north - the pattern favors a dump of cold air towards the end of the month and into the beginning of December.
Confidence: Low
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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1. A roller coaster ride in the temperature department over the coming 2 week period. That is typical for November. Warm ahead of storm systems and cold behind them. Remember that low pressure areas rotate counterclockwise. This pulls moisture and warm air up ahead of them (assuming they pass to our north and west) and then cold air behind them.
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System arrives on Monday/Tuesday with a decent shot at rain in our region. Depending on the storm track we could see locally heavy rain in some counties.
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Another storm system arrives towards the end of next week - with more rain.
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More aurora's (northern lights) are possible in the coming days/week - stay tuned! Here is a story on the subject.
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More aurora's (northern lights) are possible in the coming days/week - stay tuned! Here is a story on the subject.
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I do not see any substantial snow or ice threats in our region.
November is looking as if it will be a bit of a roller coaster in the temperature department - if we do end up with several deep storm systems then we would experience warm air moving up ahead of the storms and then cold air behind the systems. Analogs are showing a cold to very cold December into January and then perhaps more normal in February - with a cooler than average spring and stormy/wet spring.
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
. For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-sitehttp://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
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