HEADLINE: Wednesday will bring more warm temperatures - sounding like a broken record? We will see some moderation later this week and weekend - with a chance for a few thunderstorms. There may even be some strong/severe storms on Friday and Saturday.
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Several people have asked me about the large number of deaths from tornadoes this season. Is this something unusual? The short answer is absolutely not. Here is a chart that shows you the number of tornado deaths per year - bad luck is all this year has brought when it comes to the tornado topic. Instead of corn fields being hit there have been several populated areas struck by intense tornadoes..
If an EF5 hits a field does anybody care? Perhaps the farmer - but it certainly won't make national news - it won't make world news..
Has the weather turned more extreme? No. I can show you chart after chart that shows tornado outbreaks as big as the ones this year - if not bigger. I can show you charts that show you cycles of hurricanes - cycles of droughts - cycles of floods - cycles of heat and cold. If someone tells you that the weather has never been this extreme then they are lying. Simply not true..
There have been several EF5 tornadoes (new scale is EF vs the old F scale). This is unusual but certainly not unheard of or unprecedented. .
As long as people build in the path of tornadoes then we will have tornado deaths. As long as people build on earthquake faults we will have damage from earthquakes. As long as people build in areas that flood then we will have flood damage. As long as people build along the coastlines then we will have hurricane damage. Humans have and continue to build in areas where natural disasters occur..
The best we can do is try to mitigate the situation - build stronger shelters - build outside of areas that flood. Enforce building codes.
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There were over 190 record highs and record lows on Monday - June 6th. Here is the map - record high temperatures are the red dots. Blue dots are record low temperatures. You can view the list of records by clicking here.
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CURRENT CONDITIONS are now available on the web-site - this includes temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, and more! Click here
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This page is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky - for your local town - click here---
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with a slight chance for a thunderstorm. Hot and humid. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: in the 93-95 degree range | Heat index: Values in the 97-100 range | Wind: Southerly winds at 10 mph. Normal highs are around 81 degrees. .
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy and warm with a few scattered thunderstorms over the region. Above normal temperatures.Lows: around 68-71 degrees | Wind: South winds at 10 mph. Normal lows are around 60 degrees.
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Thursday: Partly cloudy with a few scattered thunderstorms. Hot and humid. Well above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 91-95 degrees | Heat index: Values in the 94-99 range | Wind: south winds at 10-15 mph. Normal highs are around 81 degrees.---
Thursday night: A few clouds with a few showers and thunderstorms scattered around the area. Above normal temperatures.
Lows: around 70-72 degrees | Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph. Normal lows are around 60 degrees..---
Friday: Partly sunny. Hot and humid. A better chance for showers and thunderstorms. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 89-94 degrees | Heat index: Values in the 96 to 99 range | Wind: southerly winds at 10-15 mph. Normal highs are around 81 degrees..
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Also our new forecast page is finished! Just click the link below to see all of our Weather Observatory graphics - from the severe weather outlook to lake and river stages - extended outlooks - monthly outlooks - satellite - and more!.
Weather Observatory Graphics and Forecast Page
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Remember you can now view all of the temperature graphics - and more - by clicking here
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Below image - Low temperatures for Wednesday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Wednesday afternoon
Below image - High temperatures for Wednesday afternoon
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Below image - High temperatures for Thursday afternoon
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Let's also take a look (the map below) at the expected heat index for tomorrow afternoon. Remember - the heat index is what the temperature feels like to your body when the temperature and humidity are combined.
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Heat index map
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(remember you can find all of these maps on the web-site - here)
Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here
Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here
Heat safety advice and information - click here
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How much above normal will high temperatures be tomorrow? Several degrees! The map below shows you the departure from normal highs (normal highs are around 79-82 degrees). For example if the normal high is 80 degrees and the actual high is 90 degrees then we would be 10 degrees above normal. You can find this map on the web-site, as well - click here.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow...
Wednesday: No severe weather is anticipated. A few thunderstorms may develop in the heat of the day. Any storms that form in this kind of heat can produce isolated severe weather. Of course lightning is always a concern. High heat index values will make it quite uncomfortable to work outside.
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Wednesday night: No severe weather is anticipated. A few scattered storms are possible.
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Thursday: No severe weather is anticipated. A few thunderstorms may develop in the heat of the day. Any storms that form in this kind of heat can produce isolated severe weather. Of course lightning is always a concern. High heat index values will make it quite uncomfortable to work outside.
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Thursday Night: No severe weather is anticipated. A few scattered storms are possible.
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Friday: No severe weather is anticipated. A few thunderstorms may develop in the heat of the day. Any storms that form in this kind of heat can produce isolated severe weather. Of course lightning is always a concern. High heat index values will make it quite uncomfortable to work outside.
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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There is an area of interest in the Caribbean. The main concern is flash flooding over some of the islands. This disturbance will move slowly north/northwest in the coming days. Some slow development is not out of the question. .
You can view images of the Caribbean by clicking here - we have a variety of satellite images available for you .
Caribbean system.
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Latest National Hurricane Center Tropical Outlook - click here. --------------------
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You can now view the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts! Maps are available by clicking here.
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1. Temperatures will moderate a bit later this week and weekend.
2. Perhaps some more active weather as we push towards the middle/end of the week. I would not be surprised to see the Storm Prediction Center outlined a risk area for severe storms over parts of the Missouri and Ohio Valleys - northeast on Friday and Saturday - perhaps even Sunday. Stay tuned.
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3. Keep in mind that my summer forecast is for an early start to summer (what we are seeing right now) and then we level off some as the ridge of high pressure shifts west into the southwest United States. That would leave us with more NW flow events - meaning our systems will move in from the St Louis region - heavy thunderstorms and squall lines. .
Drought continues to our south and southwest. We will continue to monitor that region and the tropics for any changes.You can also find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson
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Have you joined the email list? I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of severe weather. Basically this is a "heads up" email. If you would like to subscribe then click here...
You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson---
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois- Click Here To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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Other States- Click Here
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