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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here Remainder of tonight - Thursday night: Partly cloudy skies. Normal to below normal temperatures. Lows: in the 60-65 degree range | Wind: Westerly 5-10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.
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Friday: Mostly sunny during the early morning and then a mix of clouds and sun - a very small chance for an afternoon thunderstorm. Below normal temperatures.
Highs: in the 80-85 degree range. | Heat index: Values not applicable | Wind: Westerly winds at 10-15 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 85 degrees. .
Friday night: Partly cloudy. A chance for thunderstorms - especially late. Below normal temperatures.Lows: around 62 degrees | Wind: Northwest winds at 10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.
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Saturday: Partly cloudy. A good chance for scattered thunderstorms. Normal to below normal temperatures.
Highs: around 83-86 degrees | Heat index: Values not applicable | Wind: Southwest winds at 10-15 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 85 degrees.---
Saturday night: A good chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms. Normal to above normal temperatures.
Lows: around 68 degrees | Wind: Southerly winds. Wind speeds at 10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.---
Sunday: Partly cloudy. A chance for thunderstorms. Normal temperatures.
Highs: around 84-87 degrees | Heat index: n/a | Wind: Easterly winds at 10-15 mph (higher gusts) - Normal highs for this time of the year are around 85 degrees. .
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Removed most of the precipitation chances for Friday (during the day - just a very slight chance for a few storms) - tweaked temperatures slightly. No big changes from the previous forecast numbers. .
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for the next 48 hours...
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
Thursday night: Severe weather is not anticipated at this time.
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Friday: Severe weather is not anticipated at this time.
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Friday night: Widespread severe weather is not anticipated at this time. Thunderstorms will be possible late - a few of the storms could produce hail and high winds
.Saturday: Thunderstorms will be possible. Some of the storms could produce hail and damaging winds. There is much uncertainty on the exact placement of severe weather - right now it appears that a line or two of storms may form - if so then high winds would be the main concern.
Saturday night into Sunday - same set-up. A few thunderstorms may be severe with hail and high winds.
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Lightning Safety week has arrived! You can learn more about lightning safety by clicking here.
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Here are the graphics for the coming days. Remember the orange area represents the slight risk (that is what the Storm Prediction Center calls it - not my favorite choice of wording) area for severe thunderstorms. The orange area means that severe thunderstorms will be possible but will most likely not produce widespread severe weather. The yellow area represents that areas where some thunderstorms will likely occur - but will remain, for the most part, below severe limits. A severe storms is one that produces winds of at least 58 mph and quarter size hail or larger. And/or tornadoes.
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Friday's severe weather outlook graphic - you can see the warm front returning. The SPC has marked off an area where severe storms might form along and ahead of the warm front. The long orange area - that is where they have outlined a risk for a few severe storms. Just barely clips our region - I will monitor for updates.
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Then here is the Saturday outlook (below) - you can see the SPC has outlined an area to our north and west - this is in association with a complex of thunderstorms that is forecast to develop and move southeast. For the time being we are not included in the risk zone. I will monitor for any updates. I think our main concern on Saturday will be lightning and some rain.
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Sunday's severe weather outlook map
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Sunday's severe weather outlook map
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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HEADLINE: Wow - what a B E A U T I F U L day Thursday was. Spring like weather - something we have been missing over the last month. Seems like we have not had many nice days over the last month or two. I hope everyone was able to enjoy their day.
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Friday will once again bring pleasant conditions. The only wrinkle in the nice weather is going to be the return of the warm front on Friday night and Saturday. This warm front will move north into the area and help spark some showers and thunderstorms. These on and off rain chances will continue all the way into the weekend. NOW - it won't rain all the time - so don't cancel any outdoor plans - but be aware we may have some thunderstorms scattered about - lightning is always an issue during thunderstorms. If you have plans on the lake then perhaps check radar before you head out and be aware of changing weather conditions..
Complicated forecast in trying to time these little waves of energy moving through the area. So - check back and I will update the blog - at the top of each day's post. .
Temperatures will average below normal to near normal over the next few days. The longer range models show us warming up again next week. Once we are south of the warm front then temperatures will likely return to the 90s. .
The risk for severe storms over the next two or three days appears to be on the low side. However, with that said - a few severe thunderstorms will be possible over the coming days. When we do get a thunderstorm complex moving through the area it can produce frequent lightning and gusty winds. Much like we experienced over the past week or two. Scattered severe reports..
The Louisville National Weather Service Office did a great job on the tornado event Wednesday night. Several tornadoes were reported in the Louisville area. If you would like more information on the Louisville tornadoes - click here .
Here is some video of the storm that hit the Louisville area - click here.
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Significant to major flooding will continue on portions of the Mississippi River and Missouri River basins. This will be a long summer of flooding for some areas. We are also concerned that the Ohio River will continue to back up. This could cause flooding over parts of southern IL and western KY. Stay tuned..
You can listen to LIVE reports from Minot, North Dakota (serious river flooding in that city) - click here.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here .
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Friday will be pleasant. Thunderstorm chances increase on Friday night into Sunday (very small chance for a few storms on Friday afternoon). I wouldn't cancel my outdoor plans - but I would be aware that a few thunderstorms could impact camping areas. Lightning is always a concern when thunderstorms are around. Gusty winds can not be ruled out with any storms that do form. Just be aware of changing weather conditions and act accordingly. Common sense, as always..
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To follow the flood information along the Missouri River - click here for a special Facebook page that has been made for those concerned.
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Significant to major flooding is likely to continue across the Missouri Valley in the coming weeks - latest river information - click here..
To follow the flood information along the Missouri River - click here for a special Facebook page that has been made for those concerned.
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We are going to have to monitor the current pattern - these mesoscale thunderstorm complexes that keep moving through the region can produce heavy rainfall. This will cause rivers to rise even further. .
The Ohio River is starting to back up because of the high levels on the Mississippi River. This is going to be a concern for quite some time to come. Those living along rivers should monitor updated forecasts.
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To view the interactive river map below - click here. The areas in purple and red are experiencing significant flooding issues.
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River Stages - Click Here
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 72 hours. Keep in mind that during the summer months heavy thunderstorms can produce excessive amounts of rain in a short period of time. This map is to give you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Some areas during the summer months will pick up very little precipitation while neighboring areas receive quite a bit. Thus is the nature of thunderstorms and the summer pattern.
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ALSO NOW AVAILABLE - Six hour probability precipitation maps.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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Remember you can now view all of the temperature graphics (that you see below) - and more - by clicking here
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Below image - Low temperatures for Friday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Friday afternoon.
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Below image - Low temperatures for Saturday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Saturday afternoon
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Let's also take a look (the map below) at the expected heat index for tomorrow afternoon. You can view this map for other days by clicking here. Remember - the heat index is what the temperature feels like to your body when the temperature and humidity are combined. Heat index calculator can be viewed by clicking here.
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Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here
Heat safety advice and information - click here
How much above or below normal will high temperatures be tomorrow?
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The map below shows you the departure from normal highs (normal highs are around 82-85 degrees). This gives you a general idea of the type of weather pattern we are in. Warmer than normal or cooler than normal?
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For example if the normal high is 80 degrees and the actual high is 90 degrees then we would be 10 degrees above normal. You can find this map on the web-site, as well - click here.
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You can see that we are finally experiencing some below normal temperatures - the blue area. This is more in line with what I thought late June would bring - but the question remains - how long will it last? Will the majority of July bring above or below normal temperatures? I am certainly sweating the summer forecast. There are quite a few models that show above normal temperatures returning next week. But, I am holding out that we see more of the NW flow and Canadian high pressure building south - keeping us from going above normal..
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These are the record highs and lows for June 22nd, 2011. A total of 32 reports. The purple dots are record low temperatures and the red dots are record high temperatures. To view the most up to date maps - with details on each record high and low - click here.
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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You can view satellite images of the tropics by clicking here - we have a variety of satellite images available on the Weather Observatory web-site. .
Latest National Hurricane Center Tropical Outlook - click here.--------------------
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You can see from the maps below that a large chunk of real estate to our south and west is experiencing drought conditions. You can view these maps by clicking here, as well.
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The maps below show you just how extremely dry it has been to our south - this is how much precipitation is needed in order to end the drought. Incredible amounts in Texas and Louisiana - some places need MORE THAN 20 INCHES OF RAIN! Frustrating situation for those living in drought..
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You can learn more about the current drought by visiting this Climate Prediction Center website - click here.Here is a zoom in on Texas and Louisianan
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You can now view the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecast maps for temperature and precipitation! Maps are available by clicking here.
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1. Unsettled pattern for the weekend.
2. Severe weather risks appear low over the next few days. Main concern will be lightning - if you are camping or if you have outdoor events this weekend then just be aware of possible thunderstorms. If there were to be severe weather then high winds would probably be the biggest threat.
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3. The long range appears HOT. Will be watching this pattern - will puncture a hole in the July forecast for mainly below normal temperatures. We will see how it goes..
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-sitehttp://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends.
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Don't forget that our friends at the Paducah, Kentucky US National Weather Service Office now has a Facebook page, as well! Click here and then hit LIKE at the top of their page.
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management now has a Facebook page? This is a great way to stay in touch with local officials during and before a natural disaster. Here is their page - hit LIKE at the top of the button.
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You can also find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson---
"We don't control the weather - we just predict it"
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McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of widespread severe weather episodes. Basically this is a "heads up" email. If you would like to subscribe then click here.
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