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More hot weather in the forecast! Show me the shocked face!.
HEADLINE: Thursday and Friday will bring more of the same- above normal temperatures. Rain chances will slowly be on the increase as a bit more moisture works its way into the region. Best chance for storms may arrive Friday night into the weekend.
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I still believe that the upcoming weekend and into the last part of June will bring more of a NW flow and better chances for showers and thunderstorms compared to the way the first half of June has played out - which has been just about as forecast and expected. The big question is whether the middle/end of June will turn out as forecast! .
.There were over 240 record highs and record lows on Tuesday - June 7th. Here is the map - record high temperatures are the red dots. Blue dots are record low temperatures. You can view the list of records by clicking here.
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Let's take a look at June 1st through June 7th. How much above normal have temperatures been when averaged out and then let's take a look at how much below normal precipitation totals have been -
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First the temperatures - quite a bit above normal (no shocker in that news) - these are some fairly impressive departures. The chart shows anywhere from 5-10 degrees above normal for the last seven days.
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Next let's take a look at the precipitation for the first week of June. How much below normal has it been? Anywhere from 0.75-1.50" below normal. Very little rain has fallen in our region over the last seven days. A few counties experienced storms over the weekend - mostly eastern sections..
We could use some rain..
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.CURRENT CONDITIONS are now available on the web-site - this includes temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, and more! Click here
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This page is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky - for your local town - click here---
Thursday: Partly cloudy with a few heavy thunderstorms scattered around the area. Any storms that do form could produce lightning, brief heavy rain, gusty winds, and even small hail. Hot and humid. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: in the 90-93 degree range | Heat index: Values in the 95-99 range | Wind: Southerly winds at 10-15 mph. Normal highs are around 81 degrees. .
Thursday night: Partly cloudy and warm with a few scattered thunderstorms over the region. Above normal temperatures.Lows: around 70-74 degrees | Wind: South/southeast winds at 10 mph. Normal lows are around 60 degrees.
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Friday: Partly cloudy with a few scattered thunderstorms. Hot and humid. Well above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 91-95 degrees | Heat index: Values in the 94-99 range | Wind: south/southwest winds at 10-20 mph. Normal highs are around 81 degrees.---
Friday night: A few clouds with a few showers and thunderstorms scattered around the area. Above normal temperatures.
Lows: around 70-72 degrees | Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph. Normal lows are around 60 degrees..---
Saturday: Partly sunny. Hot and humid. A better chance for showers and thunderstorms. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 89-94 degrees | Heat index: Values in the 96 to 99 range | Wind: southerly winds at 10-15 mph. Normal highs are around 81 degrees..
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Also our new forecast page is finished! Just click the link below to see all of our Weather Observatory graphics - from the severe weather outlook to lake and river stages - extended outlooks - monthly outlooks - satellite - and more!.
Weather Observatory Graphics and Forecast Page
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Remember you can now view all of the temperature graphics - and more - by clicking here
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Below image - Low temperatures for Thursday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Thursday afternoon
Below image - High temperatures for Thursday afternoon
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Below image - High temperatures for Friday afternoon
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Let's also take a look (the map below) at the expected heat index for tomorrow afternoon. Remember - the heat index is what the temperature feels like to your body when the temperature and humidity are combined.
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(remember you can find all of these maps on the web-site - here)
Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here
Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here
Heat safety advice and information - click here
How much above normal will high temperatures be tomorrow? Several degrees! The map below shows you the departure from normal highs (normal highs are around 79-82 degrees). For example if the normal high is 80 degrees and the actual high is 90 degrees then we would be 10 degrees above normal. You can find this map on the web-site, as well - click here.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow...
Thursday: No widespread severe weather is anticipated. A few thunderstorms may develop in the heat of the day. Any storms that form in this kind of heat can produce isolated severe weather. Of course lightning is always a concern. High heat index values will make it quite uncomfortable to work outside.
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Thursday night: No widespread severe weather is anticipated. A few scattered storms are possible.
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Friday: No widespread severe weather is anticipated. A few thunderstorms may develop in the heat of the day. Any storms that form in this kind of heat can produce isolated severe weather. Of course lightning is always a concern. High heat index values will make it quite uncomfortable to work outside.
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Friday Night: A few thunderstorms will be possible - isolated severe weather is possible - especially over our northern and northwestern counties.
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Saturday: Thunderstorms will be possible along a frontal boundary - a few of the storms may be severe with hail, high winds, and lightning. High heat index values will make it quite uncomfortable to work outside.
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Significant flooding is likely to continue across the Missouri Valley in the coming weeks - latest river information - click here..
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The Storm Prediction Center's severe weather outlook - remember the yellow area means that thunderstorms are possible but are no expected to be severe. The orange areas are where a few severe storms will be possible. For the most up to date outlook - click here..
Thursday's outlook.
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Friday's outlook.
How about the first week of June - were there many reports of severe weather? Let's take a look at the wind, hail, and tornado map first and then the second map will be tornadoes only. Overall it has been quite in the tornado department - a bit more active when it comes to wind and hail.
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The blue dots are hail - red dots are tornadoes - yellow would be the high wind reports. You can view the details of these reports by clicking here..
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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There is an area of interest in the Caribbean. The main concern is flash flooding over some of the islands. This disturbance will move slowly north in the coming days. Some slow development is not out of the question. Some of the model data attempts to develop this system as it moves towards Florida and eventually off the southeast coastline. .
You can view images of the Caribbean by clicking here - we have a variety of satellite images available on the web-site. .
Caribbean system.
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Latest National Hurricane Center Tropical Outlook - click here. --------------------
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You can now view the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts! Maps are available by clicking here.
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Here are the latest maps for the 6 to 10 day and 8 to 14 day outlook. These maps are for temperature. They show you were temperatures are expected to be above or below normal. The red areas would be above normal..
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1. Temperatures will moderate a bit later this week and weekend.
2. Some thunderstorms are possible over the region in the coming days - this is especially true on Saturday. I would not be surprised to see the Storm Prediction Center outlined a risk area for severe storms over parts of the Missouri and Ohio Valleys - northeast on Friday and Saturday - perhaps even Sunday.
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3. Keep in mind that my summer forecast is for an early start to summer (what we are seeing right now) and then we level off some as the ridge of high pressure shifts west into the southwest United States. That would leave us with more NW flow events - meaning our systems will move in from the St Louis region - heavy thunderstorms and squall lines. .
Drought continues to our south and southwest. We will continue to monitor that region and the tropics for any changes.You can also find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson
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Have you joined the email list? I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of severe weather. Basically this is a "heads up" email. If you would like to subscribe then click here...
You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson---
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois- Click Here To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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Other States- Click Here
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