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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here .
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Remainder of tonight - Wednesday night: Partly cloudy skies. A few storms (early) over the far far eastern counties - most likely east of Evansville to the Dover, TN line - eastward. Normal to below normal temperatures. Lows: in the 61-65 degree range | Wind: Westerly 5-10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.
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Thursday: Mostly sunny during the morning and then a mix of sun and clouds. Below normal temperatures.
Highs: in the 80-85 degree range. | Heat index: Values n/a | Wind: Westerly winds at 10-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph at times. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 85 degrees. .
Thursday night: Partly cloudy. Below normal temperatures.Lows: around 62 degrees | Wind: Westerly winds at 10-15 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.
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Friday: Partly cloudy. Below normal to normal temperatures.
Highs: around 83 degrees | Heat index: Values n/a | Wind: Westerly winds at 10-15 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 85 degrees.---
Friday night: A chance for showers and thunderstorms Below normal to normal temperatures.
Lows: around 62 degrees | Wind: Westerly winds. Wind speeds at 10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.---
Saturday: Partly cloudy. A chance for thunderstorms. Below normal temperatures.
Highs: around 83 degrees | Heat index: n/a | Wind: Easterly winds at 10-15 mph (higher gusts) - Normal highs for this time of the year are around 85 degrees. .
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Removed precipitation chances for Thursday and Friday - tweaked temperatures (lowered them a bit). Near normal to below normal temperatures into Saturday. .
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for the next 48 hours...
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
Wednesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated at this time. Some severe storms possible over the very far eastern counties - Louisville down towards Bowling Green.
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Thursday: Severe weather is not anticipated at this time.
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Thursday night: Severe weather is not anticipated at this time.
Wednesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated at this time. Some severe storms possible over the very far eastern counties - Louisville down towards Bowling Green.
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Thursday: Severe weather is not anticipated at this time.
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Thursday night: Severe weather is not anticipated at this time.
Friday: A few thunderstorms may approach severe levels - especially over the southern parts of southeast Missouri, northeast Arkansas, and west Tennessee. Will update this part of the forecast as it becomes a bit more clear.
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Lightning Safety week has arrived! You can learn more about lightning safety by clicking here.
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Here are the graphics for the coming days. Remember the orange area represents the slight risk (that is what the Storm Prediction Center calls it - not my favorite choice of wording) area for severe thunderstorms. The orange area means that severe thunderstorms will be possible but will most likely not produce widespread severe weather. The yellow area represents that areas where some thunderstorms will likely occur - but will remain, for the most part, below severe limits. A severe storms is one that produces winds of at least 58 mph and quarter size hail or larger. And/or tornadoes.
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Thursday's severe weather outlook graphic
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Then here is the Friday outlook (below) - you can see we have some chance for severe thunderstorms on Friday - this will need to be updated and tweaked as it becomes a bit more clear as to how storms will evolve. We may also have to watch the weekend for a few severe storms (again similar pattern to the recent week - scattered severe storms)
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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HEADLINE: Well - thunderstorms held off, for the most part, on Wednesday. I thought there would be a bit more activity than there was. Storms formed a bit further east (a county or two) than I thought they would. This left many areas dry and windy. Temperatures were a bit more comfortable, as well.
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The next round of storm chances will arrive on Friday into Sunday. It will not rain all the time. But there could be several periods of rain. The pattern will resemble the recent week where some places receive heavy downpours while neighboring counties receive very little in the way of precipitation. Several thunderstorm complexes are expected to form over Missouri and slide into our counties. I will monitor and tweak the forecast once it becomes a bit more clear as to where these storms will track..
Temperatures will average below normal to near normal into Saturday..
Check out this amazing satellite view of the powerful storm system that brought all the severe weather to the nation over the last few days. Widespread wind damage was reported over central and northern Illinois yesterday - among other areas. This is a visible satellite image of the wound up storm. Click image for real size view..
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Here are the reports of severe weather from Tuesday - you can see widespread reports. You can view details by choosing your own map and dates here on this link from the Weather Observatory web-site - click here
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Here are the reports from Monday, as well - so you can see this storm system produced quite a bit of severe weather over the nation.
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Significant to major flooding will continue on portions of the Mississippi River and Missouri River basins. This will be a long summer of flooding for some areas. We are also concerned that the Ohio River will continue to back up. This could cause flooding over parts of southern IL and western KY. Stay tuned..
You can listen to LIVE reports from Minot - click here.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here .
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Nice weather on Thursday and Thursday night for camping. A slight chance for a storm will arrive late Thursday night but more likely Friday into Friday night. Then additional storm chances over the weekend..
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To follow the flood information along the Missouri River - click here for a special Facebook page that has been made for those concerned.
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Significant to major flooding is likely to continue across the Missouri Valley in the coming weeks - latest river information - click here..
To follow the flood information along the Missouri River - click here for a special Facebook page that has been made for those concerned.
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We are going to have to monitor the current pattern - these mesoscale thunderstorm complexes that keep moving through the region can produce heavy rainfall. This will cause rivers to rise even further. .
The Ohio River is starting to back up because of the high levels on the Mississippi River. This is going to be a concern for quite some time to come. Those living along rivers should monitor updated forecasts.
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To view the interactive river map below - click here. The areas in purple and red are experiencing significant flooding issues.
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River Stages - Click Here
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. Keep in mind that during the summer months heavy thunderstorms can produce excessive amounts of rain in a short period of time. This map is to give you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Some areas during the summer months will pick up very little precipitation while neighboring areas receive quite a bit. Thus is the nature of thunderstorms and the summer pattern.
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If you would like to view the 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour maps then click here.
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ALSO NOW AVAILABLE - Six hour probability precipitation maps.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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Remember you can now view all of the temperature graphics (that you see below) - and more - by clicking here
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Below image - Low temperatures for Thursday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Thursday afternoon.
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Below image - Low temperatures for Friday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Friday afternoon
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Let's also take a look (the map below) at the expected heat index for tomorrow afternoon. You can view this map for other days by clicking here. Remember - the heat index is what the temperature feels like to your body when the temperature and humidity are combined. Heat index calculator can be viewed by clicking here.
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Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here
Heat safety advice and information - click here
How much above or below normal will high temperatures be tomorrow?
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The map below shows you the departure from normal highs (normal highs are around 82-85 degrees). This gives you a general idea of the type of weather pattern we are in. Warmer than normal or cooler than normal?
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For example if the normal high is 80 degrees and the actual high is 90 degrees then we would be 10 degrees above normal. You can find this map on the web-site, as well - click here.
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These are the record highs and lows for June 21st, 2011. A total of 34 reports. The purple dots are record low temperatures and the red dots are record high temperatures. To view the most up to date maps - with details on each record high and low - click here.
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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You can view satellite images of the tropics by clicking here - we have a variety of satellite images available on the Weather Observatory web-site. .
Latest National Hurricane Center Tropical Outlook - click here.--------------------
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You can see from the maps below that a large chunk of real estate to our south and west is experiencing drought conditions. You can view these maps by clicking here, as well.
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Here is the Palmer Drought Index - this gives you an idea of where it is too wet and where it is too dry. Extreme drought continues over parts of Texas (and surrounding areas).
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You can learn more about the current drought by visiting this Climate Prediction Center website - click here..
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You can now view the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecast maps for temperature and precipitation! Maps are available by clicking here.
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Not the best news for the summer forecast - the latest graphics are showing above normal temperatures. We will have to see how this pattern evolves. There is some disagreement among the models. I am still holding out that the NW flow dominates and we see more below normal temperature days..
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1. We should dry out by Thursday
2. More seasonable temperatures will arrive on Saturday - even some below normal temperatures.
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4. Watching the tropics - there have been on/off hints of something trying to develop but so far nothing has found its legs. We will continue to monitor..
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-sitehttp://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends.
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Don't forget that our friends at the Paducah, Kentucky US National Weather Service Office now has a Facebook page, as well! Click here and then hit LIKE at the top of their page.
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management now has a Facebook page? This is a great way to stay in touch with local officials during and before a natural disaster. Here is their page - hit LIKE at the top of the button.
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You can also find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson---
"We don't control the weather - we just predict it"
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McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of widespread severe weather episodes. Basically this is a "heads up" email. If you would like to subscribe then click here.
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