.
Changing the format of the page a bit - I am going to put the most important items at the very top of the blog post - then if you would like to know more about the weather and check out some weather charts/maps (the MEAT) then you can find that below the severe weather forecast..
This page is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer ---
---
This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky - for your local town - click here.
Remainder of tonight - Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with a few thunderstorms across the area. A few of the storms could produce isolated reports of severe weather. Above normal temperatures. Lows: in the 65-71 degree range | Wind: Southerly 5-10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 63 degrees.
---
---
Friday: Partly sunny - warm. A chance for thunderstorms. Once again we can't rule out some isolated reports of severe weather. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: in the 88=93 degree range. | Heat index: Values in the 92-95 degree range | Wind: Southwest winds at 10-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph at times. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 84 degrees..
Friday night: Partly cloudy. A few thunderstorms scattered around the area. Warm. Much above normal temperatures.Lows: around 69-74 degrees | Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 63 degrees.
---
Saturday: Partly sunny and hot. A few thunderstorms. Isolated severe weather will be possible. Windy at times. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 95 degrees | Heat index: Values in the 95-103 degree range | Wind: South/southwesterly winds at 10-15 mph with gusts to 25-30 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 84 degrees.---
Saturday night: Partly cloudy. A chance for thunderstorms. Again a few storms may be severe. Much above normal temperatures.
Lows: around 74 degrees | Wind: Southerly winds. Wind speeds at 5-15 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 64 degrees..---
Sunday: Partly sunny. Hot and humid. A chance for a few thunderstorms. If storms form then they could be severe. Windy at times with above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 95=100 degrees | Heat index: Values in the 96-105 degree range | Wind: Southerly winds at 10-20 mph over most of the area - gusts to 20-30 mph possible. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 84 degrees..
.
.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
.
.
---
The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for the next 48 hours...
.
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
Thursday night: A few thunderstorms. Isolated severe not out of the question - mainly hail and gusty winds.
.
Friday: A few thunderstorms will be possible once again in the region. A few storms may be severe over the area. Large hail and gusty winds being the main threat - lightning.
.
Friday night: A few thunderstorms will be possible once again in the region. A few storms may be severe over the area. Large hail and gusty winds being the main threat - lightning.
Thursday night: A few thunderstorms. Isolated severe not out of the question - mainly hail and gusty winds.
.
Friday: A few thunderstorms will be possible once again in the region. A few storms may be severe over the area. Large hail and gusty winds being the main threat - lightning.
.
Friday night: A few thunderstorms will be possible once again in the region. A few storms may be severe over the area. Large hail and gusty winds being the main threat - lightning.
.
Saturday: A few thunderstorms possible. Can't rule out an isolated severe weather event.
.
Here are the graphics for Friday - Saturday - Sunday. Remember the orange area represents the low risk area for severe thunderstorms. The orange area means that severe thunderstorms will likely occur but will most likely not be widespread in nature. The yellow area represents that areas where some thunderstorms will likely occur - but will remain below severe limits. A severe storms is one that produces winds of at least 58 mph and quarter size hail or larger. And/or tornadoes.
.
.
Then here is the Saturday outlook
.
.
And finally the Sunday outlook. You can see we are in or close to a severe risk every day. Difficult forecast pattern.
.
Saturday: A few thunderstorms possible. Can't rule out an isolated severe weather event.
.
Here are the graphics for Friday - Saturday - Sunday. Remember the orange area represents the low risk area for severe thunderstorms. The orange area means that severe thunderstorms will likely occur but will most likely not be widespread in nature. The yellow area represents that areas where some thunderstorms will likely occur - but will remain below severe limits. A severe storms is one that produces winds of at least 58 mph and quarter size hail or larger. And/or tornadoes.
.
.
Then here is the Saturday outlook
.
And finally the Sunday outlook. You can see we are in or close to a severe risk every day. Difficult forecast pattern.
.
.
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
---
All other states- Click Here
.
.
.
HEADLINE: The heat is about to return - highs by Saturday and Sunday will be well into the 90s with heat index values above 100. Not the most comfortable weather. This warm air will be moving in behind a warm front that will pass through the area over the next 24 hours. This warm front will also help trigger a few showers and thunderstorms in the area. A few of those storms could be on the heavy side and produce isolated severe weather. Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58+ mph winds - hail the size of quarters or larger and/or a tornado.
.
Extremely difficult forecast over the next 72 hours. These weak systems that push through the region can trigger heavy thunderstorms - but timing them and placement is nearly impossible to forecast. I can forecast that conditions favor the development of storms and that some of our counties will likely experience heavy downpours with storms that do develop. Pinning it down for each county, though, just isn't possible..
Also boaters note that it will be windy this weekend! .
We will watch another system push towards the area towards the middle and end of next week. This may help usher in cooler temperatures - or at least more seasonable temperatures. I am also watching some disturbances in the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean. .
Significant to major flooding will continue on portions of the Mississippi River and Missouri River basins. This will be a long summer of flooding for some areas. .
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here .
.
-----------------------------
.
.
.
Significant to major flooding is likely to continue across the Missouri Valley in the coming weeks - latest river information - click here.
.
To follow the flood information along the Missouri River - click here for a special Facebook page that has been made for those concerned.
.
More photos - click here
.
To follow the flood information along the Missouri River - click here for a special Facebook page that has been made for those concerned.
.
.
River Stages - Click Here
.
.
.
Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. Keep in mind that during the summer months heavy thunderstorms can produce excessive amounts of rain in a short period of time. This map is to give you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Some areas during the summer months will pick up very little precipitation while neighboring areas receive quite a bit. Thus is the nature of thunderstorms and the summer pattern.
.
If you would like to view the 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour maps then click here.
.
.
ALSO
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
.
Remember you can now view all of the temperature graphics (that you see below) - and more - by clicking here
.
.
Below image - Low temperatures for Friday morning
.
.
Below image - High temperatures for Friday afternoon
.
.
.
Below image - Low temperatures for Saturday morning
.
Below image - High temperatures for Saturday afternoon
.
.
.
Let's also take a look (the map below) at the expected heat index for tomorrow afternoon. You can view this map for other days by clicking here. Remember - the heat index is what the temperature feels like to your body when the temperature and humidity are combined. Heat index calculator can be viewed by clicking here.
.
.
.
Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here
Heat safety advice and information - click here
.
How much above or below normal will high temperatures be tomorrow? You can see we are starting to creep back up into the above normal temperatures.
.
The map below shows you the departure from normal highs (normal highs are around 82-85 degrees). This gives you a general idea of the type of weather pattern we are in. Warmer than normal or cooler than normal?
.
For example if the normal high is 80 degrees and the actual high is 90 degrees then we would be 10 degrees above normal. You can find this map on the web-site, as well - click here.
.
.
.
.
.
These are the record highs and lows for June 15, 2011. A total of 84 reports. The purple dots are record low temperatures and the red dots are record high temperatures. To view the most up to date maps - with details on each record high and low - click here. To
.
.
We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
---
--------------------
.
.
You can view satellite images of the tropics by clicking here - we have a variety of satellite images available on the Weather Observatory web-site. .
Latest National Hurricane Center Tropical Outlook - click here. --------------------
.
.
You can see from the maps below that a large chunk of real estate to our south and west is experiencing drought conditions. I also posted the map that shows you how much rain is needed to end the drought. You can view these and other maps by clicking here, as well.
.
Portions of our region are starting to experience dry ground conditions. Most farmers realize this already. Those who have planted crops are in need of some rain. We continue to be a pattern that brings scattered chances of rain - some areas pick up quite a bit while neighbors pick up very little. Summer type pattern.
.
You can learn more about the current drought by visiting this Climate Prediction Center website - click here.
Did you know that portions of Texas are in an historic drought? This statement is from the Houston, Texas National Weather Service Office
.
"HOUSTON HOBBY AIRPORT HAS NOW GONE 94 DAYS BETWEEN 0.25 INCH RAIN EVENTS. THIS IS NOW THE LONGEST STREAK IN WEATHER HISTORY. " - to read more click here..
Here is a map that shows you just how much rain is needed in order to break the drought in Texas. Incredible.
.
.
.
---
--
You can now view the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecast maps for temperature and precipitation! Maps are available by clicking here.
.
1. Weekend temperatures will once again rise into the 90s. Heat index values will be close to 100 degrees. We will once again find ourselves south of the warm front - at least for a few days.
2. Thunderstorms will be possible on Thursday night after midnight and into Saturday - scattered thunderstorms. Once again it is possible that some areas won't see any rain at all - while other areas may see some heavy downpours (same as the past week).
.
3. Another system will approach the region towards the middle of next week. This system could spark additional thunderstorm chances and also usher in cooler temperatures - at least more seasonable temperatures. It appears severe weather may once again become a threat next week. Stay tuned on that topic. We are nearing the end of June - the summer forecast is for the pattern change to arrive at the end of June into July with more frequent periods of normal to below normal temperatures. We will see how it goes..
.
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
---
All other states- Click Here
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-sitehttp://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends.
.
Don't forget that our friends at the Paducah, Kentucky US National Weather Service Office now has a Facebook page, as well! Click here and then hit LIKE at the top of their page.
.
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management now has a Facebook page? This is a great way to stay in touch with local officials during and before a natural disaster. Here is their page - hit LIKE at the top of the button.
.
You can also find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson.
---
Meteorologist Beau Dodson---
"We don't control the weather - we just predict it"
.
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
--------------------
.
. 
I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of widespread severe weather episodes. Basically this is a "heads up" email. If you would like to subscribe then click here.
.
---
This site is non-profit and brought to you as a public service!
No comments:
Post a Comment