HEADLINE: Scattered storms will be possible on Saturday and early Saturday night - then most of Sunday should be dry (I am going to leave it dry for now - even though the models show a slight chance for a few storms - we can reevaluate in tomorrow's update) and cooler! More chances of storms late Sunday night and/or Monday.
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A few thunderstorms may produce severe weather on Friday night and Saturday - severe by definition means winds of 58 mph or greater and/or hail the size of quarters or larger.
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It is not going to rain all the time and some areas may not see any rain. Anyone underneath a thunderstorm cell can experience heavy rainfall for brief periods of time.
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Bottom line - if you have any outdoor plans on Friday night or Saturday then check radar before you head out the door and if you hear thunder then take appropriate action.
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One or more thunderstorm complexes may impact the area late on Sunday night into Monday night. Will need to monitor the exact placement of the cold front. This will have an impact on rain chances and placement of any storms that form along the front..
Tuesday through Thursday will bring us northwest flow events - that means more seasonable temperatures and a chance for periods of showers/thunderstorms - some with high winds..
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Radars for those with outdoors activities or concerns - click here
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..I have placed CURRENT CONDITION MAPS on the web-site - this includes temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, and more! Click here
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This page is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky - for your local town - click here---
Saturday: Partly cloudy - areas of showers and thunderstorms will be possible. A few storms may be on the heavy side and isolated severe weather can't be ruled out. Remember that severe by definition means winds of at least 58 mph and/or hail the size of quarters and larger. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: in the 85-90 degree range | Heat index: Values in the 93-96 range | Wind: Southwest/westerly winds at 10-15 mph. Normal highs are around 81 degrees..
Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Any showers and storms still in the area will come to an end. Near normal temperatures.Lows: around 63-65 degrees | Wind: South/southeast winds at 10 mph. Normal lows are around 60 degrees.
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Sunday: Partly sunny and cooler. Not as humid. Pleasant. Near normal temperatures.
Highs: around 80-85 degrees | Heat index: Values n/a | Wind: Northeasterly winds at 10-15 mph - winds over our far southern counties may remain out of the south. Normal highs are around 81 degrees.---
Sunday night: A good chance for thunderstorms late. Near normal temperatures.
Lows: around 63-65 degrees | Wind: Easterly winds. Wind speeds at 5-15 mph. Normal lows are around 60 degrees..---
Monday: Partly sunny. A chance for a period of showers and thunderstorms. Near normal temperatures.
Highs: around 82-85 degrees | Heat index: Values n/a | Wind: Southeasterly winds at 10-15 mph over most of the area. Southern counties may remain in the southerly winds at 10-15 mph. Normal highs are around 81 degrees..
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Also our new forecast page is finished! Just click the link below to see all of our Weather Observatory graphics - from the severe weather outlook to lake and river stages - extended outlooks - monthly outlooks - satellite - and more!.
Weather Observatory Graphics and Forecast Page
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for the next 72 hours...
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.Saturday: Thunderstorms will be possible - main concern would be hail and gusty winds - lightning. A few storms may produce severe weather - meaning winds of 58 mph or greater and/or quarter size hail or larger. Heat index values will make it quite uncomfortable to work outside.
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Saturday night: Severe weather is not anticipated at this time.
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Sunday: Severe weather is not anticipated at this time.
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Sunday Night: A few thunderstorms will be possible - late.
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Monday: A few thunderstorms will be possible. Uncertain about the severe potential. Check back.
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Significant flooding is likely to continue across the Missouri Valley in the coming weeks - latest river information - click here..
How much rain is forecast to fall over the coming days? Keep in mind that this is broad brushed and individual thunderstorms can always produce locally heavy rain..
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Remember you can now view all of the temperature graphics (that you see below) - and more - by clicking here
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Below image - Low temperatures for Saturday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Saturday afternoon
Below image - High temperatures for Saturday afternoon
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Below image - Low temperatures for Sunday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Sunday afternoon
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Let's also take a look (the map below) at the expected heat index for tomorrow afternoon. Remember - the heat index is what the temperature feels like to your body when the temperature and humidity are combined.
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(remember you can find all of these maps on the web-site - here)
Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here
Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here
Heat safety advice and information - click here
How much above normal will high temperatures be tomorrow? A few degrees but not nearly as bad as recent weeks. Also note that we are getting closer to the "near normal and below normal temperatures"
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The map below shows you the departure from normal highs (normal highs are around 79-82 degrees). For example if the normal high is 80 degrees and the actual high is 90 degrees then we would be 10 degrees above normal. You can find this map on the web-site, as well - click here.
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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An area of showers and thunderstorms will continue to the east of Florida. Any development would be slow..
Tropical development is not anticipated at this time..
You can view satellite images of the tropics by clicking here - we have a variety of satellite images available on the Weather Observatory web-site..
Latest National Hurricane Center Tropical Outlook - click here. --------------------
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You can now view the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts! Maps are available by clicking here.
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1. Temperatures will not be nearly as warm on Sunday into the beginning of the week - we can thank a cold front for this change in the weather pattern. Temperatures most of next week will be in the 80s - let's keep in mind that we are entering summer - although the recent warm temperatures have been a bit unusual they are not uncommon in our area. I consider extreme heat to be 100+ and we have yet to see widespread extreme heat in our counties. The long range outlook continues to indicate that average temperatures during the summer months will end up below normal.
2. The long range appears a bit more active with several northwest flow events showing up in the charts. This means that we may see a bit more rain/thunderstorms than we have been used to over the last couple of weeks. I don't think anyone will complain about some rain chances? We will need to monitor these events for the possibility of severe storms - this time of the year it is not uncommon to have storm systems produce high winds and/or hail reports. Often times these storms move in from the northwest and travel southeast.
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Have you joined the email list? I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of widespread severe weather episodes. Basically this is a "heads up" email. If you would like to subscribe then click here..
You can also find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson..
You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends.
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Don't forget that the Paducah, Kentucky National Weather Service Office now has a Facebook page, as well! Click here and then hit LIKE at the top of their page.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson---
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois- Click Here To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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Other States- Click Here
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