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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here Remainder of tonight - Monday night: Windy at times. A period of showers and thunderstorms - best chances later this evening into the morning hours. A few more severe storms will be possible. High winds, hail, and an isolated tornado can't be ruled out. Above normal temperatures. Lows: in the 69-73 degree range | Wind: Southerly winds at 10-25 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.
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Tuesday: A chance for showers and thunderstorms - mostly early in the day. Normal temperatures.
Highs: in the 84-86 degree range. | Heat index: Values - low | Wind: Southwesterly winds at 10-15 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 85 degrees. .
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Below normal temperatures.Lows: around 62 degrees | Wind: Northerly winds at 10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.
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Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Near normal temperatures.
Highs: around 87 degrees | Heat index: around 88-90 degrees | Wind: East winds at 10-15 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 85 degrees.-
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Near normal to below normal temperatures.
Lows: around 64 degrees | Wind: Easterly winds at 10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.-
Thursday: Mostly sunny. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 88-94 degrees | Heat index: In the 90-96 degree range | Wind: Southerly winds at 10-15 mph - Normal highs for this time of the year are around 85 degrees. -
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Remember to turn around - don't drown. Avoid flooded roadways.
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for the next 48 hours...
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
Monday night: A line of storms is forecast to develop and move through the region - along a cold front and along a west to east boundary cutting through southern MO and into far southern IL/Kentucky. Some of the storms could produce severe weather. The main concern will be high winds (58 mph or greater) and a few hail reports. Tornado threat is low - but not zero. Also lightning is always a concern during thunderstorms - along with heavy downpours. Rain/storms should be progressive. Hopefully this will keep the threat for flooding to a minimum.
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Tuesday: Some severe storms will be possible early on Tuesday morning - mostly before 9 am. A line of storms should move through the region on Monday night and Tuesday morning - we could have some additional watches and warnings.
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Tuesday day night: Severe weather is not anticipated
.Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated
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Lightning Safety week has arrived! You can learn more about lightning safety by clicking here.
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Here are the graphics for the coming days. Remember the orange area represents the slight risk (that is what the Storm Prediction Center calls it - not my favorite choice of wording) area for severe thunderstorms. The orange area means that severe thunderstorms will be possible but will most likely not produce widespread severe weather. The yellow area represents that areas where some thunderstorms will likely occur - but will remain, for the most part, below severe limits. A severe storm is one that produces winds of at least 58 mph and quarter size hail or larger. And/or tornadoes.
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Monday night's severe weather outlook graphic You can see we are once again in a risk for some severe storms.
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Then here is the Tuesday outlook (below) - The risk should shift to the south on Tuesday. Remember that these maps will be updated several times between now and tomorrow - so check the main link here for the latest outlooks.
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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HEADLINE: Broken record? Once again thunderstorms moved through southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, and western Kentucky on Monday morning and afternoon. The storm produced a number of severe weather reports in Ballard County - McCracken County - and then to the east. Wind gusts of 40-60 mph were commonplace in front of the squall line. There were a number of reports of wind damage - including trees down, limbs down, and some damage to siding on a business in Livingston County.
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There was one tornado warning - for this cell below. This is an image that captures wind speeds - you can see that bright colored area near the Pope County - Livingston County, KY line. Click image for real view size..
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Another area of thunderstorms is forecast to develop tonight (Monday night) over Missouri and move east into our region. This line will be ahead of a cold front. Some of the storms could once again produce reports of severe weather..
Additional storms may form along a boundary situated west to east over southern Missouri into far southern Illinois and Kentucky. These storms could produce locally heavy rain as they move east and drift southward..
Timing is a bit uncertain - the storms have not formed yet. Best thoughts on timing would be after midnight for far southern Illinois and west Kentucky. Will monitor and update on the Facebook page as things become a bit more clear. There is an assumption in this forecast that storms do form..
As far as severe weather chances - at this time it appears the line of storms tonight and tomorrow morning should produce a few high wind reports - winds greater than 58 mph and perhaps some hail, as well. Tornado threat appears low (an isolated spin up or two can't be ruled out) - but as we saw earlier today - the threat is never zero when you have severe thunderstorms in the area..
Rainfall over the last week has been heavy over much of the Missouri and Ohio Valley - some areas have reported three to six inches of rain - just in the last few days. Here are two maps showing you how much (percent) above normal rainfall has been since June 1st and then the second map shows you how much rain has fallen. Keep in mind that the first part of June was mostly dry! Quite amazing. Click images for real size view..
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Here is the rainfall from the last 24 hours - very heavy rainfall over the Missouri Valley.
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Significant to major flooding will continue on portions of the Mississippi River and Missouri River basins. This will be a long summer of flooding for some areas. We are also concerned that the Ohio River will continue to back up. This could cause flooding over parts of southern IL and western KY. Stay tuned.
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You can listen to LIVE reports from Minot, North Dakota (serious river flooding in that city) - click here.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here .
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Thunderstorms will once again be possible tonight. Lightning is always a concern during thunderstorms. Storms may also produce hail and high winds. The tornado threat appears low - I will monitor and update the Facebook page if anything changes. Please remember to avoid flooded roadways - turn around - don't drown. .
Campers will have a break from storms on Tuesday night into Friday! We will have to monitor the weekend..
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Significant to major flooding is likely to continue across the Missouri Valley in the coming weeks - latest river information - click here..
To follow the flood information along the Missouri River - click here for a special Facebook page that has been made for those concerned.
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We are going to have to monitor the current pattern - these mesoscale thunderstorm complexes that keep moving through the region can produce heavy rainfall. This will cause rivers to rise even further. .
The Ohio River is starting to back up because of the high water levels on the Mississippi River. This is going to be a concern for quite some time to come. Those living along rivers should monitor updated forecasts.
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To view the interactive river map below - click here. The areas in purple and red are experiencing significant flooding issues.
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River Stages - Click Here
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 24 hours. Keep in mind that during the summer months heavy thunderstorms can produce excessive amounts of rain in a short period of time. This map is to give you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Some areas during the summer months will pick up very little precipitation while neighboring areas receive quite a bit. Thus is the nature of thunderstorms and the summer pattern.
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Most of this rain that falls tonight and tomorrow morning will be along a cold front that will pass through - bringing at least a temporary end to our storm chances.
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If you would like to view the 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour maps then click here.
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I also now have thunderstorm probabilities available on the web-site - you can click hour by hour and see where the best chances for thunderstorms will exist. Here is the link - you can also choose your own region by clicking on a state.
ALSO NOW AVAILABLE - Six hour probability precipitation maps.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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Remember you can now view all of the temperature graphics (that you see below) - and more - by clicking here
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Below image - Low temperatures for Tuesday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Tuesday afternoon.
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Below image - Low temperatures for Wednesday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Wednesday afternoon
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Let's also take a look (the map below) at the expected heat index for tomorrow afternoon. You can view this map for other days by clicking here. Remember - the heat index is what the temperature feels like to your body when the temperature and humidity are combined. Heat index calculator can be viewed by clicking here.
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Heat index values won't be a big issue on Tuesday - a cold front will pass through the area. This will bring lower temperatures and lower humidity levels.
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Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here
Heat safety advice and information - click here
How much above or below normal will high temperatures be tomorrow?
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The map below shows you the departure from normal highs (normal highs are around 82-85 degrees). This gives you a general idea of the type of weather pattern we are in. Warmer than normal or cooler than normal?
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For example if the normal high is 80 degrees and the actual high is 90 degrees then we would be 10 degrees above normal. You can find this map on the web-site, as well - click here.
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These are the record highs and lows for June 26th, 2011. A total of 55 reports. The purple dots are record low temperatures and the red dots are record high temperatures. To view the most up to date maps - with details on each record high and low - click here.
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You can see the drought heating things up in Texas
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Not nearly as bad as recent weeks when we were seeing dozens and dozens of record highs each and every day. The last few days have brought only a handful of records.
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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You can view satellite images of the tropics by clicking here - we have a variety of satellite images available on the Weather Observatory web-site. .
Here is a satellite view from our web-site showing the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic - some disturbed weather in the Gulf and then near Mexico - south of Cuba..
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Latest Official National Hurricane Center Tropical Outlook - click here.
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You can see from the maps over the last weeks worth of posting that a large chunk of real estate to our south and west is experiencing drought conditions. You can view these maps by clicking here, as well.
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You can now view the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecast maps for temperature and precipitation! Maps are available by clicking here.
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1. Finally a break from the rain - Wednesday and Thursday should be dry - Friday, as well. We will watch another system for the weekend - but still several days to monitor.2. Temperatures will start to warm later this week - back into the 90s - with higher humidity. That may mean some heat index issues.
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3. Unsettled pattern returns this weekend into next week - we will once again find ourselves between the heat ridge and the more active northern edge of the heat ridge. This means a few more storm chances. Will monitor - the exact placement of the heat ridge will be important in determining where the thunderstorms will track. .
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-sitehttp://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends.
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Don't forget that our friends at the Paducah, Kentucky US National Weather Service Office now has a Facebook page, as well! Click here and then hit LIKE at the top of their page.
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management now has a Facebook page? This is a great way to stay in touch with local officials during and before a natural disaster. Here is their page - hit LIKE at the top of the button.
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You can also find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson---
"We don't control the weather - we just predict it"
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McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of widespread severe weather episodes. Basically this is a "heads up" email. If you would like to subscribe then click here.
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