Saturday night into Sunday update
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Saturday night: Mostly clear skies - just a small chance for an evening thunderstorm over the far southern counties. Otherwise - calm and mild. A chance for a few patches of fog.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle to upper 50s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 42 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: South winds at 5 mph.
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Sunday: Very warm - mostly sunny skies.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 80-86 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southerly winds at 10-15 mph with gusts above 20 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Sunday night: Mostly clear skies - warm.
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 42 degrees.
Wind: South at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: South at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Monday: Mostly sunny skies - very warm.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 84 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 64 degrees.Wind: Southwest at 5-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Saturday night: A few thunderstorms along the MO/AR border may be severe.
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - the far far southern counties in our region - perhaps in west TN and the Missouri Bootheel early in the evening - otherwise no concerns.
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Saturday night: A few thunderstorms along the MO/AR border may be severe.
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - the far far southern counties in our region - perhaps in west TN and the Missouri Bootheel early in the evening - otherwise no concerns.
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Sunday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Sunday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Sunday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - No
Sunday - No
Monday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - No
Sunday - No
Monday - No
Tuesday - A low chance
Wednesday - A low chance
Thursday - Monitoring
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
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HEADLINES: Did someone say they were ready for summer? If not you should probably get ready for summer type weather. Temperatures the next few days will be well into the 80s. This is amazing warmth for this time of the year.
Heat index values may even reach to near 90 degrees in some counties.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
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HEADLINES: Did someone say they were ready for summer? If not you should probably get ready for summer type weather. Temperatures the next few days will be well into the 80s. This is amazing warmth for this time of the year.
Heat index values may even reach to near 90 degrees in some counties.
Temperatures will be 10-20+ degrees above normal over a large chunk of the United States. This warm spell has lasted for weeks - as you already know. This has been an historic event.
We will have calm weather for the next few days. I don't see any significant thunderstorm risks through Monday afternoon. I will be monitoring Tuesday into Thursday for an increase in rain and thunderstorm chances. See the extended range forecast for more details.
Now check out the temperatures for Sunday and Monday - then look at the departures - this is just incredible. Temperatures over a large chunk of the nation will be 10-40 degrees ABOVE normal. This is coming off of WEEKS of above normal temperatures. Amazing month!
We will have calm weather for the next few days. I don't see any significant thunderstorm risks through Monday afternoon. I will be monitoring Tuesday into Thursday for an increase in rain and thunderstorm chances. See the extended range forecast for more details.
Now check out the temperatures for Sunday and Monday - then look at the departures - this is just incredible. Temperatures over a large chunk of the nation will be 10-40 degrees ABOVE normal. This is coming off of WEEKS of above normal temperatures. Amazing month!
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
NO WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST - NO MAP TODAY!
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
NO WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST - NO MAP TODAY!
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Date Range: April 2nd - 4th
Event: Thunderstorms
Severe Risk: Possibly.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: A strong cold front with thunderstorms - the system may end up being cut off in or near our region - if so then it may meander around for several days. Cooler air behind the front is possible.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
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Date Range: April 13th-17th
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
Date Range: April 17th-30th
Event: Unsettled weather - several cold frontal passages
Severe Risk: Yes - possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
Date Range: May 5th-11h
Event: Unsettled weather
Severe Risk: Possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
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Date Range: May 29th-June 3rd
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
More information on the long range cycle
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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1. The next decent shot at widespread precipitation will arrive Tuesday into Thursday - there is still some uncertainty as to whether or not we will experience severe weather.
Right now it appears a good chance for rain and some thunderstorms during that time period.
Right now it appears a good chance for rain and some thunderstorms during that time period.
Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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