Friday evening into Saturday afternoon update
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Friday night: Mostly clear and cooler - a freeze possible in some counties.
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 20s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 35 degrees.Below normal temperatures
Wind: Northeast winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 55-60 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 56 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Easterly winds at 10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Saturday night: MOVE clocks forward by 1 hour - SPRING AHEAD! Partly cloudy skies.
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 40s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 35 degrees.
Wind: East at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: East at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Sunday: A mostly cloudy day with an increasing chance for showers in the afternoon..
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 64 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 56 degrees.Wind: Southerly winds at 10-20 mph and gusty at times
Precipitation probability - 30% | Rainfall totals: 0.25"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 48 hours
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Friday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Friday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Saturday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Saturday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Saturday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Sunday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Sunday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - No
Saturday - No
Sunday - No
Saturday - No
Sunday - No
Monday - No
Tuesday - No
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
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HEADLINE: Well - we have a mixed weekend in store for the region. Tonight will bring chilly/cold conditions with below normal temperatures. A freeze is possible tonight in the region - keep that in mind if you have sensitive plants already blooming.
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Saturday will be dry and Saturday night should be dry, as well. We have pushed the rain back a little bit. That is the good news!
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Don't forget to SPRING FORWARD and move your clock ahead one hour and also change the batteries in your weather radio - on Saturday night!
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Sunday will bring an increasing chance of rain late in the day - first over our western counties and southwestern counties and then spreading east into the evening and overnight hours. I think most of Sunday will be dry. I would not cancel any plans at this time.
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Showers and thunderstorms are likely on Sunday night. Right now rainfall totals do not look nearly as heavy as the last event.
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The crunched numbers are in for December-February - I noticed they were posted this morning on Dr. Jeff Master's web-site. You can see that it was warm across much of the Continental United States - dry in some areas, as well. This was the fourth warmest winter on record. The number 117 represents the warmest year on record - you can see we ranged HIGH up on the list.
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And let's take a look at what Dr. Master's said about precipitation - some areas were quite dry. This is a concern for drought later this summer in parts of the United States. The good news is that parts of Kansas down into Texas were wetter than normal. Much needed rain/moisture. Again the number 117 on this map means the wettest winter on record - the number 1 means the driest winter on record. See where your state ranks!
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Thanks to Dr. Master's for posting that information.
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The Paducah, Kentucky NWS has put together a tornado track map for 2012 - they are still doing some surveys so this map may change a bit more. Quite active already for 2012 - this comes on top of last year when there were numerous tornadoes in our region. Click image for real view size.
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Here is the latest information on the March 2nd outbreak
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Click here
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Here is more information on the February 29th outbreak
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Click here
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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HEADLINE: Well - we have a mixed weekend in store for the region. Tonight will bring chilly/cold conditions with below normal temperatures. A freeze is possible tonight in the region - keep that in mind if you have sensitive plants already blooming.
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Saturday will be dry and Saturday night should be dry, as well. We have pushed the rain back a little bit. That is the good news!
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Don't forget to SPRING FORWARD and move your clock ahead one hour and also change the batteries in your weather radio - on Saturday night!
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Sunday will bring an increasing chance of rain late in the day - first over our western counties and southwestern counties and then spreading east into the evening and overnight hours. I think most of Sunday will be dry. I would not cancel any plans at this time.
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Showers and thunderstorms are likely on Sunday night. Right now rainfall totals do not look nearly as heavy as the last event.
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The crunched numbers are in for December-February - I noticed they were posted this morning on Dr. Jeff Master's web-site. You can see that it was warm across much of the Continental United States - dry in some areas, as well. This was the fourth warmest winter on record. The number 117 represents the warmest year on record - you can see we ranged HIGH up on the list.
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The Paducah, Kentucky NWS has put together a tornado track map for 2012 - they are still doing some surveys so this map may change a bit more. Quite active already for 2012 - this comes on top of last year when there were numerous tornadoes in our region. Click image for real view size.
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Here is the latest information on the March 2nd outbreak
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Click here
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Here is more information on the February 29th outbreak
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Click here
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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I have also added a few new interactive city radars - including the Memphis, Tennessee area and the rest of the State of Kentucky.
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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No significant snow in our forecast...
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No significant snow in our forecast...
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Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
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If you are looking for wintry precipitation - click here.
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Date Range: March 4th-March 14th
Event: A few shots at precipitation - severe weather risk appears low (not zero but low).
Severe Risk: low
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Uncertain - most likely some rain events
Details: A few systems to monitor - right now it appears the severe weather risk is low.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium .
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Date Range: March 14th-31st
Event: 3-5 systems to monitor.
Severe Risk: Can't rule out some heavier weather the last half of the month.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Uncertain - most likely some rain events
Details:
Confidence in my forecast: Medium .
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Date Range: March 4th-March 14th
Event: A few shots at precipitation - severe weather risk appears low (not zero but low).
Severe Risk: low
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Uncertain - most likely some rain events
Details: A few systems to monitor - right now it appears the severe weather risk is low.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium .
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Date Range: March 14th-31st
Event: 3-5 systems to monitor.
Severe Risk: Can't rule out some heavier weather the last half of the month.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Uncertain - most likely some rain events
Details:
Confidence in my forecast: Medium .
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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1. Rain returns by Sunday afternoon or evening - this will continue into Sunday night. Rainfall totals will not be nearly as heavy as the most recent event (which produced 1-4" of rain over the region).
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Some thunderstorms will be possible around Wednesday and Thursday of next week. Unsettled weather appears in the cards in the long range. We will be watching a strong system for next weekend - long way off. Will keep an eye on it.
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Some thunderstorms will be possible around Wednesday and Thursday of next week. Unsettled weather appears in the cards in the long range. We will be watching a strong system for next weekend - long way off. Will keep an eye on it.
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
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