December 1st-3rd: Warm weekend - some clouds - shower

December 1st-3rd:

For more frequent updates visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.



This blog is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox.  There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer




.
Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...

Saturday:  A mix of sun and clouds - a patch or two of drizzle possible - patches of fog in the morning - mild temperatures for December.
Highs: 64-68 degree range 
Wind: South winds at 10-20 mph - gusty
Precipitation probability - 10%-20%  | Rainfall totals:
  0.05" 
Confidence in this forecast is high

Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here 

Saturday night:  Mostly cloudy sky conditions - a chance for a shower or thunderstorm - mild - windy at times.
Lows: in the lower to middle 50s
Wind: South winds at 10-15 mph - gusts to 20-25 mph
Precipitation probability - 10%-20%  | Rainfall totals: 0.10" - 0.25"

Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy sky conditions - very mild - a chance for a shower - a thunderstorm possible during the AM hours
Highs:  In the 66-72 degree range
Wind:  Southwest winds at 10-20 mph- gusty at times
Precipitation probability - 20%-30% | Rainfall totals: 0.10"
Confidence in this forecast is high
 
Sunday night: Mostly cloudy sky conditions - a shower possible - mild for December.
Lows: in the middle to upper 50s
Wind:  Southwest winds at 10-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% |  Rainfall totals: 0.10"

Confidence in this forecast is high 

Monday - Mostly cloudy sky conditions - very mild for December. 
Highs:  in the upper 60s to lower 70s 
Wind: South winds at 15-25 mph - gusty
Precipitation probability - 10% |  Rainfall totals:  0.10"

Confidence in this forecast is high


Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here




This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western                       Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee

HEADLINES:  Welcome to December!  We will have a very mild start to meteorological winter!  Temperatures will rise into the 60s (and perhaps 70s) over the coming days.


The warmer weather will also bring a chance for light rain or a shower on Saturday into Sunday night  - winds will also pick up over the weekend.  Expect southerly winds in the 10-20 mph range on both Saturday and Sunday.  Winds will be gusty at times.

There could be a few thunderstorms mixed in with the showers on Saturday night and early Sunday morning.


Rain chances on Saturday and Sunday should be in the 20%-30% range.  Rainfall totals would be less than 0.20" during that time frame.


A stronger cold front will arrive on Monday night into Tuesday.  There will be a decent chance of showers and thunderstorms with the front.  The main time frame for precipitation will likely be on Tuesday morning into Tuesday afternoon.  Some of the models are faster than others with frontal passage.  If the front does arrive sooner than expected then rain chances would focus on Monday night into Tuesday morning.

Rainfall totals should be in the 0.30-0.60" range with the front.

It does not appear that severe weather will be a concern with the cold front on Monday night into Tuesday.

Temperatures will be colder as we push into the middle of next week - more seasonable.

I do not see any significant snow or ice chances in the forecast.

Another cold front should arrive towards the end of next week.  
    


No major concerns - there will be some gusty winds over the weekend.



No major conceerns

 

No wild cards in this forecast!
.
.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here


We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 


Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms.   Click here to join

.
---
----  
The forecast for severe or extreme weather

.
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
.
Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.   

 
Saturday:  
Severe weather is not anticipated No snow or ice. 

Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits  Thunder possible on Saturday night and Sunday morning

Sunday:   Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.

Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  Early AM hours may bring a clap or two of thunder.

Monday:  Severe weather is not anticipated
.  No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  Monday night could bring some lightning and thunder. 

For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or 
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  

To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here

 

.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?

Saturday - No
Sunday - No 
Monday - No 

To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  Alternative link - click here 
.
To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here

.
The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national        map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
.
To view the interactive warning  map - click here.






What are my current thoughts on the chances for significant snow or ice over the next 7 days


No significant snow or ice in the current forecast!
 

.
.
You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here


.

.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site.  For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.



.
We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
--- 
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.


We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
--- 
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
.
Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
.
-----------------------------
.
.
Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall in our region.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.


Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in! 


 CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image

 

.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour                period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  

.

Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here 
.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in 
.
To view recent records that have been broken - click here 
.
.
---


1.  Drought conditions continue over our region.  We desperately need above normal rainfall.  It does appear the next 2-3 weeks will provide some opportunity for additional rainfall.  

  
Latest drought information:
DROUGHT INFORMATION - CLICK HERE 


Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here


If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week!  For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.





Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
.
Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
.


.
Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
.

To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
.

All other states- Click Here
.
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
.

.

November 28th-30th: Calm weather

November 28th-30th:

For more frequent updates visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.



This blog is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox.  There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer




.
Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...

Wednesday:  Morning fog possible - could cause some slick spots on bridges.  Becoming mostly sunny and cool.  
Highs: Mainly in the 48-50 degree range 
Wind: Light wind conditions
Precipitation probability - 0%  | Rainfall totals:
  0" 
Confidence in this forecast is high

Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here 

Wednesday night:  Mostly clear sky conditions.
Lows: in the middle to upper 20s
Wind: Light wind conditions
Precipitation probability - 0%  | Rainfall totals: 0"

Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Thursday: Mostly sunny sky conditions - warmer than previous days.
Highs:  In the 56-58 degree range
Wind:  Southwest winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
 
Thursday night: Mostly clear sky conditions - not quite as cold.
Lows: in the middle to upper 30s
Wind:  South winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% |  Rainfall totals: 0"

Confidence in this forecast is high 

Friday - A mix of sun and clouds - warmer.

Highs:  in the upper 50s and lower 60s  
Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% |  Rainfall totals:  0"

Confidence in this forecast is high


Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here




This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western                       Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee

HEADLINES:   The area finally picked up some much needed rainfall.  Rainfall totals were in the 0.10"-0.40" range over many counties.   There were pockets, however, that picked up almost 1" of rain.


Calm weather will prevail through Friday.  We will also see a warming trend.  Expect temperatures to be well into the 60s and even 70s by next week - the first full week of December!

Some morning fog - possibly some fog causing slick spots on bridges - will be possible Wednesday morning.  Use a bit of caution if fog develops.

A cold front should approach our region around December 4th-5th.  That may bring the next best chance for rain.  Can't rule out some scattered showers Friday night or Saturday of this coming weekend, as well.  Will monitor and update through the week.

The long range models show some colder weather by the middle/end of the month.

Several significant storms are showing up on the long range models - this may introduce more rain and thunderstorm chances for our region.  I had been noting the December 5th-10th time period for a bigger storm system.  We will see how that unfolds.

Right now I do not see any significant chances for snow or ice in our local region. 

Remember to keep an eye on the last part of the first week of December into the second week of December - that is the time frame I have been saying for more than a month that may see a bigger storm system in the Central United States. 

    


Fog on Wednesday morning - could cause some slick spots



Just the fog concern

 

No wild cards in this forecast!
.
.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here


We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 


Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms.   Click here to join

.
---
----  
The forecast for severe or extreme weather

.
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
.
Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.   

 
Wednesday:  
Severe weather is not anticipated No snow or ice. 

Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits  No

Thursday:   Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.

Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  No

Friday:  Severe weather is not anticipated
.  No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  No

For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or 
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  

To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here

 

.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?

Wednesday - No 
Thursday - No
Friday - No
Saturday - No
Sunday - No severe weather!  

To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  Alternative link - click here 
.
To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here

.
The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national        map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
.
To view the interactive warning  map - click here.






What are my current thoughts on the chances for significant snow or ice over the next 7 days


No significant snow or ice in the current forecast!
 

.
.
You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here


.

.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site.  For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.



.
We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
--- 
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.


We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
--- 
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
.
Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
.
-----------------------------
.
.
Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall in our region.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.


Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in! 


 CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image

 

.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour                period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  

.

Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here 
.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in 
.
To view recent records that have been broken - click here 
.
.
---


1.  Drought conditions continue over our region.  We desperately need above normal rainfall.  It does appear the next 2-3 weeks will provide some opportunity for additional rainfall.  

  
Latest drought information:
DROUGHT INFORMATION - CLICK HERE 


Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here


If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week!  For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.





Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
.
Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
.


.
Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
.

To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
.

All other states- Click Here
.
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
.

.

November 25th-27th: Chilly - a chance for rain Monday night

November 25th-27th:

For more frequent updates visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.



This blog is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox.  There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer




.
Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...

Sunday:  Mostly sunny and cool.  
Highs: Mainly in the 50-55 degree range 
Wind: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0%  | Rainfall totals:
  0" 
Confidence in this forecast is high

Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here 

Sunday night:  Mostly clear sky conditions.
Lows: in the lower to middle 30s
Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0%  | Rainfall totals: 0"

Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Monday: Increasing clouds through the day. A chance for showers - rumble of thunder - mostly during the afternoon hours.  It will be on the cool side.
Highs:  In the 54-58 degree range
Wind:  Northeast winds at 10 mph - north/northeast winds at 10-20 mph during the afternoon hours
Precipitation probability - 60%-80%| Rainfall totals: 0.10"-0.30"
Confidence in this forecast is high
 
Monday night: Rain - a rumble of thunder - rain may end as a brief/light snow flurry or a mixture of precipitation.  No accumulation and not a big deal.
Lows: in the middle 30s
Wind:  North winds at 10-20 mph
Precipitation probability - 60% |  Rainfall totals: 0.20"-0.30"

Confidence in this forecast is high 

Tuesday - A mix of sun and clouds - cooler temperatures.

Highs:  in the lower 40s  
Wind: North winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% |  Rainfall totals:  0"

Confidence in this forecast is high


Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here




This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western                       Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee

HEADLINES:   Brrr - that is the sound heard around the area on Saturday morning.  I recorded a low of 22 degrees on Saturday morning, here at the Weather Observatory in Massac County, Illinois.  Temperatures will moderate a little bit on Sunday and Monday
.

A new storm system will approach the area from the southwest on Monday afternoon and Monday evening.  This will spread some clouds and at least a chance for precipitation back into the area.

There is quite a bit of disagreement among the model suites as to how widespread the precipitation will be.  Right now it appears that rain showers will develop over parts of Missouri and Arkansas on Monday afternoon and spread northeast into Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, and Tennessee. 

The time frame for precipitation should be in the 2 pm Monday through 6 am on Tuesday morning.  

Colder air will push into the area as the storm pulls away.  This could change rain over to snow flurries and a light mixture - brief if at all. Temperatures will be borderline for frozen precipitation.  Something to monitor over the next day or two.  Precipitation should be coming to an end as the cooler air arrives.  Thus - most of the precipitation should be in the form of rain.

Rainfall totals should be in the 0.10-0.30" range with the possibility of a stripe of 0.30"-0.60" - we need the rain.  Drought conditions continue over area area.
    


No major concerns



No.

 

No wild cards in this forecast!
.
.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here


We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 


Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms.   Click here to join

.
---
----  
The forecast for severe or extreme weather

.
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
.
Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.   

 
Sunday:  
Severe weather is not anticipated No snow or ice. 

Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits  No

Monday:   Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.

Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  Thunder possible

Tuesday:  Severe weather is not anticipated
.  Can't rule out precipitation ending as a flurry or a few flakes of snow/ice pellets - not a big deal.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits?  No

For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or 
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  

To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here

 

.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?

Sunday - No 
Monday - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No 

To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here  Alternative link - click here 
.
To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here

.
The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national        map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
.
To view the interactive warning  map - click here.






What are my current thoughts on the chances for significant snow or ice over the next 7 days


I am watching the storm system on Monday night - the rain may change over to a brief period of rain and snow mixed or light snow.  It appears the cold air will arrive too late for this to be of much concern.  However, with that said - I will monitor and update the blog if the forecast were to change.
 

.
.
You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here


.

.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site.  For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.



.
We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
--- 
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.


We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
--- 
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
.
Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
.
-----------------------------
.
.
Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall in our region.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.


Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in! 


 CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image

 

.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour                period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  

.

Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here 
.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in 
.
To view recent records that have been broken - click here 
.
.
---


1.  Drought conditions continue over our region.  We desperately need above normal rainfall.  It does appear the next 2-3 weeks will provide some opportunity for additional rainfall.  

  
Latest drought information:
DROUGHT INFORMATION - CLICK HERE 


Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here


If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week!  For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.





Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
.
Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
.


.
Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
.

To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here 
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
.

All other states- Click Here
.
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
.

.