Sunday night into Monday update
.
For more frequent updates check out our weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
.
This page is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer
.
.
Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
.
Sunday night: An isolated stray thunderstorm possible - especially northeast counties - otherwise mostly clear and mild - near record high minimum temperatures.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 42 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0.25"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Monday: Mostly sunny and very warm.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 85 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southwest winds at 10-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Monday night: Mostly clear skies and mild.
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 42 degrees.
Wind: Southwest at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: Southwest at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy - a scattered thunderstorm possible. Warm.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 80-84 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 65 degrees.Wind: Southwest at 5-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.25"
Confidence in this forecast is high
.
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
.
.
.
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
.
.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
.
..
Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here. I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.
.
---
The forecast for severe or extreme weather
.
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
.
Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
.
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
.
Sunday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
.
Sunday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Monday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Monday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
Tuesday: Can't rule out a stray severe thunderstorm - especially over eastern counties (Indiana/parts of Kentucky - further east you go the better the chance for a thunderstorm).
Tuesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - a few storms possible
.
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
.
.
.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
.
Tonight - No
Monday - No
Tuesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - a few storms possible
.
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
.
.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
.
Tonight - No
Monday - No
Tuesday - Low chance
Wednesday - No - but will monitor
Thursday - No - but will monitor
Friday - No
.
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
.
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
.
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
.
The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
.
To view the interactive warning map - click here.
.
.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page
This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
.
HEADLINES: Right off the bat - let me remind you that the National Weather Service will be holding several advanced spotter classes over the coming weeks. I encourage you to sign up!
You can view more about these classes by CLICKING HERE
Okay - now back to the weather at hand!
Welcome to April - we start April the same way we left off March - WARM! Near record warmth over a large chunk of the nation with amazing anomalies. Temperatures from 10-40 degrees above normal. No matter how you slice it - that is warm.
Monday will bring more warm temperatures to our region with highs into the 80s.
We will start to monitor a storm system pulling out of the central United States on Tuesday into Thursday. This coupled with a disturbance coming out of the Gulf of Mexico region will give us a chance for showers and thunderstorms - on and off into the work week.
Right now the severe weather threat appears low. The Storm Prediction Center has mentioned the potential for a few hailers on Tuesday in or near our region - mainly our eastern and northeastern counties. I will monitor and update on Monday.
The good news is that I don't see any big tornado outbreaks in our forecast. This is good news since February and early March were so busy. It has been quiet ever since. A few hail events in our region - but that has been it.
Temperatures will basically remain above normal for the rest of the week.
Let's take a look at the daily high temperature maps for the upcoming week (Monday through Thursday) and then the maps below that will show you how much ABOVE normal temperatures will be. This is like a broken record! Much of March was the same way.
.
To view the interactive warning map - click here.
.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page
This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
.
HEADLINES: Right off the bat - let me remind you that the National Weather Service will be holding several advanced spotter classes over the coming weeks. I encourage you to sign up!
Okay - now back to the weather at hand!
Welcome to April - we start April the same way we left off March - WARM! Near record warmth over a large chunk of the nation with amazing anomalies. Temperatures from 10-40 degrees above normal. No matter how you slice it - that is warm.
Monday will bring more warm temperatures to our region with highs into the 80s.
We will start to monitor a storm system pulling out of the central United States on Tuesday into Thursday. This coupled with a disturbance coming out of the Gulf of Mexico region will give us a chance for showers and thunderstorms - on and off into the work week.
Right now the severe weather threat appears low. The Storm Prediction Center has mentioned the potential for a few hailers on Tuesday in or near our region - mainly our eastern and northeastern counties. I will monitor and update on Monday.
The good news is that I don't see any big tornado outbreaks in our forecast. This is good news since February and early March were so busy. It has been quiet ever since. A few hail events in our region - but that has been it.
Temperatures will basically remain above normal for the rest of the week.
Let's take a look at the daily high temperature maps for the upcoming week (Monday through Thursday) and then the maps below that will show you how much ABOVE normal temperatures will be. This is like a broken record! Much of March was the same way.
Now let's look at the departures for Monday through Thursday - again, this shows you how much above normal we will be for high temperatures.
Taking a look back at March - look at just how warm the nation was. No doubt this was one of the warmer March's on record for the United States. We will wait for the official word.
Here are the record highs from the past week - quite a few record highs were broken.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
Here are the record highs from the past week - quite a few record highs were broken.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
.
.
We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
---
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
---
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
.
Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
.
.
-----------------------------
.
.
Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
.
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
.
Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
.
Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
.
To view recent records that have been broken - click here
.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
.
To view recent records that have been broken - click here
.
.
---
.
Date Range: April 3rd - 6th
Event: Thunderstorms
Severe Risk: Possibly a few severe storms
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: A cut off low will meander into our region producing some shower and thunderstorm chances.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
.
Date Range: April 13th-17th
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
Date Range: April 17th-30th
Event: Unsettled weather - several cold frontal passages
Severe Risk: Yes - possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
Date Range: May 5th-11h
Event: Unsettled weather
Severe Risk: Possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
.
Date Range: May 29th-June 3rd
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
More information on the long range cycle
.
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
.
-----------------------------
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
.
-----------------------------
.
1. An unsettled week ahead of us with a chance for showers and thunderstorms from Tuesday into at least Thursday.
An upper level low pressure area will push into our region from the west - this will increase our rain chances. The first chance for precipitation will likely be on Tuesday into Tuesday night and then another shot on Wednesday/Thursday.
Right now it appears the rain will move out by Friday evening. This will have to be monitored. If the system is slower than expected then rain chances may linger.
The good news is that we are not looking for any major severe weather outbreaks during the upcoming work week.
The latest six to ten day outlook indicates that the odds favor above normal temperatures
An upper level low pressure area will push into our region from the west - this will increase our rain chances. The first chance for precipitation will likely be on Tuesday into Tuesday night and then another shot on Wednesday/Thursday.
Right now it appears the rain will move out by Friday evening. This will have to be monitored. If the system is slower than expected then rain chances may linger.
The good news is that we are not looking for any major severe weather outbreaks during the upcoming work week.
The latest six to ten day outlook indicates that the odds favor above normal temperatures
Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
.
Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
.
.
Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
.
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
.
All other states- Click Here
.
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
.
.
No comments:
Post a Comment