October 28, 2011: Rain will come to an end - then cooler

October 28, 2011

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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Thursday night:  Rain coming to an end - then cloudy. Below normal temperatures.
Lows:  in the 37-41 degree range.  |  Wind:  Northerly winds at 5 mph.  Normal lows for this time of the year are around 46 degrees.  Precipitation probability - 30% early - mostly southern areas.
My confidence in this forecast is VERY high

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Friday:  Partly cloudy.  Cooler with an isolated shower or sprinkles possible.  Below normal temperatures.
Highs:  around 48-53 degree range.  |  Wind: Northerly winds at 5 mph.  Normal highs for this time of the year are around 70 degreesPrecipitation probability - 20% in the morning. 
My confidence in this forecast is high

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Friday night: A few clouds with frost possible. Below normal temperatures.
Lows: around 32-35 degrees  |  Wind:  North winds at 5  mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 46 degrees.  Precipitation probability - 0%.
My confidence in this forecast is VERY high
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Saturday:  A few clouds - cool during the day.  Below normal temperatures.
Highs:  around 57-61 degrees. |  Wind:Westerly winds at 5-10 mph.  Normal highs for this time of the year are around 70 degrees.   Precipitation probability - 0% 
My confidence in this forecast is VERY high 
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No major concerns.
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No major concerns.
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Wild card in the forecast will be whether the area sees frost on Friday night.  Temperatures will be in the lower to middle 30s - winds will be light.  Frost will be possible.


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No major changes in the forecast.  Everything appears on track.


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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 24 hours

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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.  More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here

For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here 
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Thursday night:  Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday night:  Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?  No

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Friday:  Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Friday:  Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?  No
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Friday night :
  Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Friday night:  Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms?  No
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Saturday:   Severe weather is not anticipated.   No snow or ice.
Saturday:  Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms?  No

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To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here


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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE:   Another over achieving rain event for the region - I picked up more than 1.30" of rain - some areas had less and some more.  I was thinking 0.30-0.60 widespread with pockets of 1".  We needed the rain - won't complain.

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Check out the temperature departure map for Friday - this tells you HOW MUCH below normal the temperatures will be (or above normal - in our case below normal).  The cool air reaches pretty far south - below normal temperatures over much of the country.
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Friday will  bring a mix of sun and clouds with a few sprinkles - turning cooler, as well.  Frost can't be ruled out on Saturday morning.
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The good news is that the weekend should be dry and cool.


We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 


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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 24 hours.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here
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Snow is not in the forecast.
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Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps .  You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here

Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps.  You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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1.  The weekend is currently forecast to be dry and cool - can't rule out some frost again with lows into the 30s.  Halloween appears dry and cool, as well. 
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The next storm of significant may arrive around the November 4-7th time frame.  There have been signals for over a week now that this November event could produce some severe thunderstorms - long way off in the weather world.  But it has peaked my interest.  We have not had much in the way of severe weather over the last month or two - typically we do see an uptick in activity in October and/or November.
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There are several more chances for thunderstorms after the 4-7th event.  November could become more active than October. 

Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here




All other states- Click Here
.  For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
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