October 22, 2011: Nice Saturday on tap for the region

October 22, 2011

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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Friday night:  Mostly clear - patches of frost possible.  Below normal temperatures.
Lows:  in the 32-36 degree range.  |  Wind:  North/northwest winds at 5 mph.  Normal lows for this time of the year are around 46 degrees.  Precipitation probability - 0%
My confidence in this forecast is VERY high

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Saturday:   A few clouds - seasonable.  Below normal temperatures.
Highs:  around 64-70 degree range.  |  Wind:  Southwest winds at 10 mph.  Normal highs for this time of the year are around 70 degreesPrecipitation probability - 0%. 
My confidence in this forecast is VERY high

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Saturday night:  Some clouds late - otherwise calm weather.  Below normal temperatures.
Lows: around 39-44 degrees  |  Wind:  South/southwest winds at 5 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 46 degrees.  Precipitation probability - 0%.
My confidence in this forecast is VERY high
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Sunday:  Mostly cloudy during the morning - then a mix of clouds and sun.  Above normal temperatures.
Highs:  around 68-75 degrees. |  Wind: Southerly winds at 5-10 mph.  Normal highs for this time of the year are around 70 degrees.   Precipitation probability - 10% 
My confidence in this forecast is VERY high
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No big concerns - some frost again tonight (Friday night).
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The only concern will be outdoor plants - frost conditions Friday night. 
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Wild card in this forecast will be the small potential for a shower on Sunday with a weak system pushing through the region.   
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Tweaked temperatures for the weekend - raised them several degrees.


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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 24 hours

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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.

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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.  More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here

For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or 
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here 
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Friday night:  Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday Night:  Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?  No

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Saturday:  Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Saturday:  Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?  No
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Saturday night:
  Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Saturday night:  Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms?  No
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Sunday:   Severe weather is not anticipated.   No snow or ice.
Sunday:  Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms?  No

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To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here

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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE:   It was a chilly start to Thursday morning across the region - heavy frost here at my place in central Massac County, Illinois.  The temperature fell to 28 degrees inside the weather instrument shelter - which should have the most accurate reading.  A separate thermometer hit 29 degrees.  Chilly!
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Saturday morning will have a cold start and then a mild afternoon - seasonable temperatures.  Sunday will be even warmer with above normal temperatures.
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Normal lows for this time of the year are around 46 degrees and normal high temperatures for this time of the year are around 70 degrees.
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There will be a weak disturbance push through the region on Sunday - a very small chance for a shower.  A few more clouds may be the most noticeable difference in the weather (and warmer).
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 

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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 24 hours.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here
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Snow is not in the forecast.
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Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps .  You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here

Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps.  You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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1.  A storm system will move into the region on Tuesday night into next Thursday.  We should have a decent shot at rain during this time period.  Perhaps centered on Wednesday for the most likely chance.  Thinking right now is that rainfall totals will be in the 0.20-0.50" range.  Still several days away - will monitor and update.
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Next weekend should be dry and cool.  The next couple of weeks should bring mostly below normal temperatures.  Several Canadian High Pressure systems are forecast to move into the eastern half of the United States.  These high pressure systems are normally associated with cool weather (cold weather in the winter months). 
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The long range pattern this winter favors below normal temperatures.  There is little reason, unfortunately, to think that our extreme weather pattern is over.  We have been in a pattern of extremes for the last decade. 
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here

All other states- Click Here
.  For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
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