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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here.
Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. A chance for a shower or thunderstorm over southeast Missouri and the western part of southern Illinois. Near normal temperatures.
Lows: in the 52-57 degree range. | Wind: South winds at 5 mph Normal lows for this time of the year are around 54 degrees. Precipitation probability - 10% .
Wednesday: Becoming cloudy - a slight chance for a few showers - better chances over southeast Missouri and the western part of southern Illinois. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: in the 70-75 degree range. | Wind: Southerly winds at 5-15 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 78 degrees. Precipitation probability - 30%.
Wednesday night: Rain and thunderstorms likely. Above normal temperatures.
Lows: around 55-60 degrees | Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 54 degrees. Precipitation probability - 90%.
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Thursday: Cloudy with rain likely during the first half of the day. Rain ending west to east during the afternoon hours. Below normal temperatures.
Highs: around 65-72 degrees. | Wind: Southeasterly winds at 5-10 mph becoming westerly at 10-20 mph with higher gusts. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 78 degrees. Precipitation probability - 70% early (before noon).
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The wild card part of this forecast centers around whether or not we will see a few more showers and thunderstorms over the region tomorrow morning and early afternoon. I am more confident in widespread rain on Wednesday night and Thursday. Less confident about the chances during the daytime hours. That will be Wednesdays wild card.
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Increased rain chances for Wednesday night a bit - otherwise tweaked temperatures. Video's are being posted again (late morning and early afternoon - blog is evening)
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for the next 24 hours...
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated.
Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated.
.Wednesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. A few thunderstorms.
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Thursday: A few thunderstorms possible early - severe weather is not expected.
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You can view the most up to date graphics - clicking here.
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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The map you see below can be viewed by clicking on the watch and warnings map links above. The maps are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States - again this map is a sample map. To view the actual interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE: Another nice day across our region - warm temperatures with a few clouds.
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The next storm system is approaching from the west. Showers and thunderstorms extend along a cold front across portions of Missouri - well to our west. A few of these showers and storms could work their way into southeast Missouri tonight. Most of us will remain dry.
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Rainfall will increase on Wednesday night across our entire region. At this time I am expecting 0.15-0.50" of rain from this system in our local counties. Much needed rainfall - the vegetation is quite dry. Severe weather is not anticipated - will monitor.
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Rain will come to an end on Thursday afternoon from west to east.
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Temperatures on Friday will be a bit cooler then slowly warming into Sunday. Dry conditions are forecast Friday into Sunday.
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Satellite view (don't forget you can view all of these maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - free of charge.
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Water vapor shows our region caught in between the storm to the west and the tropical system to our southeast.
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Rain is likely over our region on Wednesday night into Thursday morning. A few showers and storms will be possible over southeast Missouri as early as tonight (Tuesday night) and across the area on Wednesday - the most widespread activity, though, will hold off until late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night/Thursday morning.
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour maps then click here.
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I have added thunderstorm probabilities to the web-site - you can click hour by hour and see where the best chances for thunderstorms will exist. Here is the link - you can also choose your own region by clicking on a state.
ALSO NOW AVAILABLE - Six hour probability precipitation maps.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view the upcoming days high temperatures and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in - LINK
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Drought continues across a large chunk of real estate. This has been a concern for quite some time now. Droughts tend to creep. Many of you have witnessed the extreme fire conditions over portions of Texas and Oklahoma on the different news outlets. I have been watching this drought slowly creep north and east over the last few months. This will need to be monitored as we move into the fall and winter months.
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Here is the latest Palmer Drought Index map. Severe drought continues over Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and parts of Arkansas. The areas in green are moist regions - the areas in orange and yellow are in need of rain.
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You can view these and more drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here
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We will need to closely monitor Monday into Tuesday of next week for a possible severe weather event. Data is starting to hint at the possibility.
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Here is the GFS 850 mb wind fields - quite strong over the Ohio Valley (early next week). Click image for real size view.
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You can view these and more drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here
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You can learn more about the current drought by visiting this Climate Prediction Center website - click here.---
1. A nice weekend ahead. We may see another chance of rain early next week and later next week - colder weather is also showing up on the map. The pattern appears to be trying to turn more active as we push into late October and early November. Typical for this time of the year.
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We will need to closely monitor Monday into Tuesday of next week for a possible severe weather event. Data is starting to hint at the possibility.
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Here is the GFS 850 mb wind fields - quite strong over the Ohio Valley (early next week). Click image for real size view.
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Check out the long-range temperature forecast (October 20th) from the GFS model - from www.wright-weather.com - click image for real size view.
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.
Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-sitehttp://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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