January 29th - 30th: Calm Monday in store for the region!

January 29th-30th - 2012
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Sunday night:  A few clouds.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 30s  |  Normal lows for this time of the year are around 26 degrees.
Wind:  Southwest winds at 5-10 mph.  
Precipitation probability - 0%   | Rainfall totals:  0" or less
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Monday:  Mostly sunny and MILD!  Breezy at times.
Above normal temperatures.
Highs:  around 56-62 degrees.  | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 43 degrees.
Wind: South winds at 10-20 mph - gusty at times (gusts into the 30s)
Precipitation probability - 0%  Rainfall totals:   0" 
Confidence in this forecast is very high

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Monday night:  Mostly clear and mild for January.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle to upper 40s |  Normal lows for this time of the year are around 26 degrees.
Wind:  Southwest at 5-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 0%  Rainfall totals: 0" 
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Tuesday:  Warm - a few clouds - unseasonably mild.  Windy at times. 
Above normal temperatures
Highs:  around 65 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 43 degrees.
Wind: South to southwest winds at 10-30 mph  
Precipitation probability - 0%  Rainfall totals:  0"
Confidence in this forecast is high 
 
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No major concerns.


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No
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No significant wild cards in this forecast!
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No snow is in our short range forecast...
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No major changes in this forecast

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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 48 hours

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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado.  More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here

For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here 
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Sunday night:  Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Sunday night: 
Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Monday:  Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Monday:  Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?  No
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Tuesday night :
  Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: 
Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms?  No
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Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated.  No snow or ice.
Wednesday: 
Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms?  No
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To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here


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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
 
HEADLINE: 
OKAY who ordered the MILD weather?  Someone sure did!  Temperatures will move into the upper 50s and lower 60s on Monday and INTO the 60s on Tuesday!  I hope all the "spring" weather fans are enjoying this incredibly mild winter.
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Area rivers continue to rise - you can find the latest river forecasts by clicking here
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The next storm system will move into the region by Tuesday night into Thursday morning - a chance for showers and thunderstorms.  Right now I don't believe we have to worry about severe weather during that time frame.  As always - I will keep an eye on it.
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Rainfall amounts will be in the 0.30"-0.70"
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Check out just how mild the next few days will be!  These maps show you the departures from normal in the temperature department.  WELLLLLL above normal readings on Monday and Tuesday.
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 


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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 72 hours.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.

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NO RAIN IN THE SHORT TERM FORECAST - through Tuesday
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.  
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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No significant snow in our forecast...

Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps .  You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here

Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps.  You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
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If you are looking for wintry precipitation -  click here. 
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.

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Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Date Range: January 17th-February 5th
Event: Continued SWING pattern appears likely now.  Potential for 5-8 precipitation events.  NAO may move into neutral territory (MAYBE negative at times) - giving us the potential for a few wintry precipitation events. 
Some data shows periods of WELL above normal temperatures.  Potential for some wild temperature swings in the coming weeks.  This could mean thunderstorms during the time period, as well.
Severe Risk: Possible thunderstorms
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possibly
Details: Potential for some significant swings in the temperature pattern.
Confidence in my forecast:  Medium

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Date Range: February 5th-15th
Event: Active period of weather - several shots at colder weather will be possible.  A couple of precipitation events.
Severe Risk: Possible thunderstorms
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possibly
Details: Potential for some significant swings in the temperature pattern.
Confidence in my forecast:  Medium

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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance.  I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible.  The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.

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1. Our next shot at rain should arrive around Friday night into Saturday - will keep an eye on storm track.  Somewhat colder air is forecast to move into the Ohio Valley as we push into the weekend into next week.  Will have to monitor for any potential snow chances.
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Short updates the last couple of days - working on some new radars for the web-site and what not.
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Enjoy the next couple of days - mild mild mild. 
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.  I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
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