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For more frequent updates check out the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Monday night: Mostly clear skies - cooler.
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 20s and lower 30s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 26 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: West winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds.
Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 52 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 43 degrees.Above normal temperatures.
Wind: Northwest winds at 10 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Tuesday night: Becoming cloudy
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 30s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 26 degrees.
Wind: Northeast at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Northeast at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 10% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Wednesday: Rain showers becoming likely.
Highs: around 40 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 43 degrees.Below normal temperatures
Wind: Easterly winds at 5-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 70% | Rainfall totals: 0.10"-0.30"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 48 hours
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Tuesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE: Stormy stormy Sunday night and Monday morning across our region. As most of your know. A line of severe thunderstorms raced across our region late on Sunday evening producing numerous reports of small hail and high winds.
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The most significant damage was in western Kentucky where several barns and homes were destroyed. Also in the Missouri Bootheel where some structural damage was reported. The images below show you all of the damage reports. You can read the damage reports in details by clicking here -
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The orange dots are wind damage - red dots are tornadoes - blue would be for hail.
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The storms killed three people in Alabama as they raced through their state overnight. Thankfully we did not have any fatalities in our local area.
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We were left with gusty winds on Monday and cooler temperatures. But - calm otherwise.
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The next storm system is ALREADY showing up on the map and will push into our region on Wednesday and Thursday. This will bring yet another round of rain to the area. Expecting rainfall totals in the 0.50-1.00" range from this next system.
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Will update a bit more on Tuesday.
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Here is what the NAM off of www.wright-weather.com looks like for Wednesday afternoon - wet system moving through our region. Wet - not white :) - Click image for real size view.
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Wednesday and Thursday's map will look something like this - perhaps a mix of precipitation to our north on Wednesday night - will need to monitor that and update accordingly.
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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HEADLINE: Stormy stormy Sunday night and Monday morning across our region. As most of your know. A line of severe thunderstorms raced across our region late on Sunday evening producing numerous reports of small hail and high winds.
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The most significant damage was in western Kentucky where several barns and homes were destroyed. Also in the Missouri Bootheel where some structural damage was reported. The images below show you all of the damage reports. You can read the damage reports in details by clicking here -
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The storms killed three people in Alabama as they raced through their state overnight. Thankfully we did not have any fatalities in our local area.
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We were left with gusty winds on Monday and cooler temperatures. But - calm otherwise.
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The next storm system is ALREADY showing up on the map and will push into our region on Wednesday and Thursday. This will bring yet another round of rain to the area. Expecting rainfall totals in the 0.50-1.00" range from this next system.
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Will update a bit more on Tuesday.
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Here is what the NAM off of www.wright-weather.com looks like for Wednesday afternoon - wet system moving through our region. Wet - not white :) - Click image for real size view.
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Wednesday and Thursday's map will look something like this - perhaps a mix of precipitation to our north on Wednesday night - will need to monitor that and update accordingly.
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 120 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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No significant snow in our forecast...
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No significant snow in our forecast...
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Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
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If you are looking for wintry precipitation - click here.
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Date Range: January 17th-February 10th
Event: Continued SWING pattern appears likely now. Potential for 5-8 precipitation events. NAO may move into neutral territory (MAYBE negative at times) - giving us the potential for a few wintry precipitation events. Some data shows periods of WELL above normal temperatures. Potential for some wild temperature swings in the coming weeks. This could mean thunderstorms during the time period, as well.
Severe Risk: Possible thunderstorms
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possibly
Details: Potential for some significant swings in the temperature pattern.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
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Date Range: January 17th-February 10th
Event: Continued SWING pattern appears likely now. Potential for 5-8 precipitation events. NAO may move into neutral territory (MAYBE negative at times) - giving us the potential for a few wintry precipitation events. Some data shows periods of WELL above normal temperatures. Potential for some wild temperature swings in the coming weeks. This could mean thunderstorms during the time period, as well.
Severe Risk: Possible thunderstorms
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possibly
Details: Potential for some significant swings in the temperature pattern.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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What are the chances for a winter STORM event (see definition below - this DOES NOT include chances for light winter precipitation - this is for winter STORMS) over southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, northeast Arkansas, or northwest Tennessee?
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Winter STORM would be the potential for snow accumulating to 2" or more - icy travel conditions with enough sleet or freezing rain to cause advisories and/or winter storm watches/warnings to be issued by the National Weather Service.
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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I am adding an extended Winter STORM outlook...
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Winter STORM would be the potential for snow accumulating to 2" or more - icy travel conditions with enough sleet or freezing rain to cause advisories and/or winter storm watches/warnings to be issued by the National Weather Service.
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Keep in mind that the percentages DO NOT mean that is what will actually fall from the sky. It is the potential of a winter storm developing and impacting our region. The ACTUAL forecast snowfall or ice totals are only issued in the SHORT range discussion (top of the blog page)..
Monday - 0%
Tuesday - 0%
Wednesday - 5% - more north in the area where colder air could cause a mixture of precipitation.
Thursday - 5%
Friday - 0%
Saturday - 0%
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1. Another shot of rain arrives on Friday - light precipitation. The weekend should be dry. Perhaps a bit cooler.
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The biggest item on the long range forecast is the potential for an event around February 2nd through the 6th. Models have been keying in on the potential for a storm system over the central and southern United States. Now keep in mind that we are talking fantasy land for computer models.
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Will monitor the first week of February.
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The biggest item on the long range forecast is the potential for an event around February 2nd through the 6th. Models have been keying in on the potential for a storm system over the central and southern United States. Now keep in mind that we are talking fantasy land for computer models.
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Will monitor the first week of February.
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
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