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For more frequent updates check out the weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Saturday night: Some clouds - snow showers ending over southwest Indiana and northwest Kentucky
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower to middle 20s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 26 degrees.Below normal temperatures
Wind: Northwest winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Sunday: Quite a bit of sunshine
Near normal temperatures
Highs: around 46 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 43 degrees.Near normal temperatures
Wind: Southerly winds at 10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Sunday night: Partly cloudy skies.
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 30s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 26 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds at 10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: Southerly winds at 10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Monday: Increasing clouds with a few showers. Warm - mild.
Highs: around 55 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 43 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southerly winds at 10-20 mph and gusty
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.10"-0.20"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather or winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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No major concerns. Some snow showers over southwest Indiana and northwest Kentucky.
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No significant wild cards in this forecast!
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Snow showers will come to an end over southwest Indiana and northwest Kentucky this evening (Saturday late afternoon/evening)...
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Tweaked rain chances and temperatures.
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather for the next 48 hours
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Saturday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. Snow showers ending over southwest Indiana and northwest Kentucky
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Saturday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. Snow showers ending over southwest Indiana and northwest Kentucky
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Sunday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Sunday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Sunday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Monday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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To view the interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE: A few snow showers formed during the morning hours of Saturday. The snow showers quickly moved off to the east. This was in response to a clipper moving down from the northwest.
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As of this writing - some snow showers remained over southern Indiana and northwest Kentucky - this will spread east/southeast over the coming hours.
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Cold temperatures continued on Saturday with highs only in the upper 30s and lower 40s. Closer to normal than they were on Friday.
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Moderating temperatures will arrive by Sunday on southerly winds. This is ahead of our next rain maker which will arrive on Monday and Monday night. Some thunderstorms will be possible, as well. Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Rainfall totals - widespread 0.50-0.75" with pockets of heavier amounts likely.
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Here are the precipitation maps for Monday into Wednesday
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Colder weather returns after the storm passes on Tuesday. Tuesday may actually bring gusty westerly winds with falling temperatures. The roller-coaster ride continues.
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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HEADLINE: A few snow showers formed during the morning hours of Saturday. The snow showers quickly moved off to the east. This was in response to a clipper moving down from the northwest.
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As of this writing - some snow showers remained over southern Indiana and northwest Kentucky - this will spread east/southeast over the coming hours.
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Cold temperatures continued on Saturday with highs only in the upper 30s and lower 40s. Closer to normal than they were on Friday.
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Moderating temperatures will arrive by Sunday on southerly winds. This is ahead of our next rain maker which will arrive on Monday and Monday night. Some thunderstorms will be possible, as well. Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Rainfall totals - widespread 0.50-0.75" with pockets of heavier amounts likely.
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Here are the precipitation maps for Monday into Wednesday
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Colder weather returns after the storm passes on Tuesday. Tuesday may actually bring gusty westerly winds with falling temperatures. The roller-coaster ride continues.
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 120 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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No significant snow in our forecast...
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No significant snow in our forecast...
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Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
Enhanced snowfall interactive forecast maps . You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well- click here
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Snowfall forecast maps - these are interactive maps. You can choose your total snowfall amounts above the map - time frame, as well - click here
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If you are looking for wintry precipitation - click here.
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Date Range: January 6th-20th
Event: Swing pattern with potential of arctic outbreaks mixed with above to well above normal temperatures - boundary near our region - uncertainty on the exact placement of the warm vs cold. Trends are towards several cold outbreaks - centered on the northern Plains into the Ohio Valley/Great Lakes. Possibly 2-3 precipitation events. Potential for 1 or 2 deep low pressure areas in the central U.S. into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region.
Severe Risk: Uncertain
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possibly
Details: Potential for some significant swings in the temperature pattern.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
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Date Range: January 17th-February 10th
Event: Potential for the pattern to finally produce more prolonged cold spells vs transient. Potential for 5-8 precipitation events. NAO may move into neutral territory (MAYBE negative at times) - giving us the potential for a few wintry precipitation events. Unlike the first part of January when cold shots were short lived (1 or 2 days) - the end of January has a better chance of producing cold that last a few days longer - although they may still be fairly transient. We just can not seem to lock in the cold this year. Some data shows periods of WELL above normal temperatures, as well. Potential for some wild temperature swings in the coming weeks.
Severe Risk: Uncertain
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possibly
Details: Potential for some significant/wild swings in the temperature pattern.
Confidence in my forecast: LOW
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Date Range: January 6th-20th
Event: Swing pattern with potential of arctic outbreaks mixed with above to well above normal temperatures - boundary near our region - uncertainty on the exact placement of the warm vs cold. Trends are towards several cold outbreaks - centered on the northern Plains into the Ohio Valley/Great Lakes. Possibly 2-3 precipitation events. Potential for 1 or 2 deep low pressure areas in the central U.S. into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region.
Severe Risk: Uncertain
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possibly
Details: Potential for some significant swings in the temperature pattern.
Confidence in my forecast: Medium
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Date Range: January 17th-February 10th
Event: Potential for the pattern to finally produce more prolonged cold spells vs transient. Potential for 5-8 precipitation events. NAO may move into neutral territory (MAYBE negative at times) - giving us the potential for a few wintry precipitation events. Unlike the first part of January when cold shots were short lived (1 or 2 days) - the end of January has a better chance of producing cold that last a few days longer - although they may still be fairly transient. We just can not seem to lock in the cold this year. Some data shows periods of WELL above normal temperatures, as well. Potential for some wild temperature swings in the coming weeks.
Severe Risk: Uncertain
Frozen Precipitation Risk: Possibly
Details: Potential for some significant/wild swings in the temperature pattern.
Confidence in my forecast: LOW
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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What are the chances for a winter STORM event (see definition below - this DOES NOT include chances for light winter precipitation - this is for winter STORMS) over southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, northeast Arkansas, or northwest Tennessee?
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Winter STORM would be the potential for snow accumulating to 2" or more - icy travel conditions with enough sleet or freezing rain to cause advisories and/or winter storm watches/warnings to be issued by the National Weather Service.
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Sunday the 15th - 0%
Monday - 0%
Tuesday - 0%.
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I will NOT mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance. I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. The word severe will be reserved for the short range forecast.
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I am adding an extended Winter STORM outlook...
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Winter STORM would be the potential for snow accumulating to 2" or more - icy travel conditions with enough sleet or freezing rain to cause advisories and/or winter storm watches/warnings to be issued by the National Weather Service.
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Keep in mind that the percentages DO NOT mean that is what will actually fall from the sky. It is the potential of a winter storm developing and impacting our region. The ACTUAL forecast snowfall or ice totals are only issued in the SHORT range discussion (top of the blog page)..
Sunday the 15th - 0%
Monday - 0%
Tuesday - 0%.
Wednesday - 0%
Thursday - 0%
Thursday - 0%
Friday 20th - 0%
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1. No big changes in the extended outlook. A mix of above normal and below normal temperatures. Seems like we are stuck on this pattern.
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It will cool off behind the cold front on Monday night and Tuesday.
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Check out the record highs for the past week - lot of records broken!
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The official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature outlooks show the odds favor above normal temperatures.
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It will cool off behind the cold front on Monday night and Tuesday.
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Check out the record highs for the past week - lot of records broken!
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The official 6-10 day and 8-14 day temperature outlooks show the odds favor above normal temperatures.
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of these maps can be viewed straight off of the Weather Observatory Web-Site
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