Wednesday, May 4, 2011: Calm Wednesday...

Wednesday, May 04, 2011

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THANK YOU EVERYONE for all the help in our local communities - you are truly heroes!.

A flood warning continues for our area - see the detailed information on watches and warnings by clicking here...

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River Stages - Click Here
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Have you joined the email list?  I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of severe weather.  Basically this is a "heads up" email.  If you would like to subscribe then click here.
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Also our new forecast page is finished!  Just click the link below to see all of our Weather Observatory graphics - from the severe weather outlook to lake and river stages - extended outlooks - monthly outlooks - satellite - and more!.

Weather Observatory Graphics and Forecast Page
River stages
http://www.blogger.com/goog_1978329314
This site is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox.  There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer..
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Biggest concern will be chilly/cool temperatures.  Calm weather on Wednesday!  Which is great news - for a change.  Flooding, however, will continue as water continues to try and run off.  Please use caution as you are out helping are residents.

Coolish temperatures with highs in the 60s.  Lows on Wednesday morning will be in the upper 30s and lower 40s.  Quite chilly.  Thursday morning will bring lows in the upper 40s and lower 50s.
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Need to check radar today?  - click here.
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Continued flooding.  Concern will increase with each passing day that the strain on levees could cause some to break.  Be prepared for flash flooding in the event of a levee breach.  Have life jackets and other emergency supplies ready for immediate deployment in the event of a breach.  

Wednesday will be dry.  Thursday will be dry - a chance Thursday night of a brief period of showers and storms.  1-2 hours in duration - IF they form at all.  Precipitation would total less than 0.40".

Snake bites - a number of people have reported snakes escaping the flood waters and moving into areas they are normally not seen. 
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky
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Wednesday: Mostly sunny with a few cumulus clouds.  Coolish.
Highs:  in the middle 60s  | Wind: north winds at 5 mph.

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Wednesday night:  Mostly clear and cold.
Lows: around 40 degrees  |  Wind: west winds at 10 mph.
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Thursday:  Mostly sunny and a little warmer 
Highs:  around 66-70 degrees  | Wind: south winds at 10 mph.
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Thursday night: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible between 9 pm and 6 am.
Lows: around 45-48 degrees  |  Wind: northwest winds at 5 mph.
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Friday:  Partly  sunny and warmer. 
Highs:  around 70-74 degrees  | Wind: south winds at 10 mph. 
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Frost forecast (I know - I know - it is MAY)
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Let's take a look at the future-cast radar from Wright-Weather.com - this is mainly for Thursday night into early Friday morning - note how the line starts out strong but then diminishes.  We can hope that is how it plays out.  
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You can click the image for real size (03z would be around 10 pm Thursday night)
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The next image is for around 3 am Friday morning
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Weather Observatory Home Page - Click Here

Below image - Low temperatures for Wednesday morning
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Remember you can view all of these images by going to our new graphics page - click here
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Below image - High temperatures for Wednesday afternoon
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Below image - High temperatures for Thursday afternoon 
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow... 


Today (Wednesday)  Dry.  Flooding will continue even though the rain ended..
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Tonight (Wednesday night)  No severe weather concerns.  Flooding will continue.

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Thursday: Dry during the day.  A few storms Thursday night will be possible.  Flooding will continue.. 

 
Rainfall totals for the next 72 hours - if the rain develops then it would be on Thursday night and Friday morning (early).

 


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You can view the updated rainfall forecast maps - updated twice a day by going to the Weather Observatory Forecast Site - Click Here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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You can now view the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts!  Maps are available by clicking here.
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1. Dry weather Wednesday into Thursday. Thursday night a weak disturbance moves into the area with a line of showers and thunderstorms over southern IL and southeast MO - this will happen on Thursday night.  The line should weaken as it moves into west KY.  If rain does develop and move into the area it would only last 1-2 hours and would be less than 0.40" in total.

2.  I am watching the April 8th-13th time frame for severe weather risks.  It appears the atmosphere will reload by then and produce a few storm systems that will need to be monitored.  Mainly concerned about next week for a round of strong or severe storms.

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Here is the new 6-10 day outlook - this is for next Monday into the next week - temperature map first and precipitation map second.  Basically this is a probability map - meaning this is the chance of it being warmer and cooler than normal and wetter or drier than normal.  
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You can find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson
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You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management

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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php

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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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Other States- Click Here
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