Monday, May 9, 2011: Morning storm - warmer! Cooler after Thursday...

Monday, May 09, 2011

Afternoon Update...

There will be a small risk for severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening across portions of our region - there is very little cap and a lot of CAPE.  CAPE is available energy.  If a few thunderstorms form over southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, and western Kentucky then they will have the potential to produce hail, gusty winds, and a brief period of heavy rain.
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There appears to be quite a bit of disagreement among the SPC and the NWS as to whether storms will or will not form.
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So - with that in mind - we will monitor the situation this afternoon.  
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Radar - Click Here
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-Beau
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Monday, May 09, 2011
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THANK YOU EVERYONE for all the help in our local communities - you are truly heroes!
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky
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Monday:  Some morning showers and storms along the warm front - scattered.  Otherwise partly cloudy and warmer.  Above  normal temperatures.
Highs:  in the middle 80s | Wind: south winds at 5-15 mph.  Normal highs are around 74-75 degrees.

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Monday night:  Partly cloudy.  A stray shower or thunderstorm possible.  Above normal temperatures.
Lows: around 67 degrees  |  Wind: southeast winds at 10 mph. Normal lows are around 52-54 degrees.
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Tuesday:  Partly sunny. More humid.  Much above normal temperatures.
Highs:  around 86-90 degrees  | Wind: south winds at 10-15 mph.  Normal highs are around 74-75 degrees.
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Tuesday night: A few clouds - mild. Above normal temperatures.
Lows: around 69 degrees  |  Wind: south winds at 5 mph. Normal lows are around 52-54 degrees..
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Wednesday:  Mostly sunny and warm - humid.  A chance for an afternoon shower and thunderstorm - especially the western portions of the area.  Much above normal temperatures.
Highs:  around 86-90 degrees  | Wind: south winds at 10-15 mph.  Normal highs are around 74-75 degrees.
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local area
Click Here
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Did you know that the McCracken County Office of Emergency Management also now has a Facebook?  You can view it here
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Rivers will be slow to fall in the coming days.  There will continue to be pressure on the levee systems.  This is, of course, a concern.    
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River Stages - Click Here
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A flood warning continues for our area - see the detailed information on watches and warnings by clicking here
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Also our new forecast page is finished!  Just click the link below to see all of our Weather Observatory graphics - from the severe weather outlook to lake and river stages - extended outlooks - monthly outlooks - satellite - and more!.

Weather Observatory Graphics and Forecast Page
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A few morning storms are possible along the warm front - otherwise it will be warm and a bit more humid.  The next widespread precipitation will arrive on Thursday/Friday with the cold front.
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Need to check radar today?  - click here.
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Continued flooding.  Concern will increase with each passing day that the strain on levees could cause some to break.  Be prepared for flash flooding in the event of a levee breach.  Have life jackets and other emergency supplies ready for immediate deployment in the event of a breach.  

A stray shower/thunderstorm is possible on Monday morning.  Otherwise it will be warmer - drink some extra fluids. 

Snake bites - a number of people have reported snakes escaping the flood waters and moving into areas they are normally not seen. 
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Below image - Low temperatures for Monday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Monday afternoon
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Below image - High temperatures for Tuesday afternoon 
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow... 


Today (Monday)  A few isolated severe storms are possible this afternoon and evening.  Flooding will continue.
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Tonight (Monday night)  A few strong/severe storms can't be ruled out this evening.  Flooding will continue.

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Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated.  Flooding will continue on area rivers.

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Rainfall totals for the next 24 hours.

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Rainfall will be less than 0.25".
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You can view the updated rainfall forecast maps - updated twice a day by going to the Weather Observatory Forecast Site - Click Here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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You can now view the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts!  Maps are available by clicking here.

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Here is the long range temperature outlook - after the warm spell over the next few days the long range outlook is for below normal temperatures.  
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1. Much warmer temperatures this week!  Highs near 90 on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Humidity levels will also be higher.  Drink extra fluids if working outside!

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2.  Cold front arrives on Thursday with showers and thunderstorms.  A few strong storms are possible.

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3.  Cooler to much cooler weather is likely this coming weekend into part of next week - followed by an active weather pattern.  Showers may linger in the region as an area of low pressure meanders along the east coast.  A more organized storm system is likely later next week.
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You can find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson


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Have you joined the email list?  I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of severe weather.  Basically this is a "heads up" email.  If you would like to subscribe then click here.
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You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management

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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php

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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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Other States- Click Here
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