Sunday, May 8, 2011: Mostly calm - small chances for storms - warmer

Sunday, May 08, 2011
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THANK YOU EVERYONE for all the help in our local communities - you are truly heroes!
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky
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Sunday:  Morning fog in some of our counties.  Otherwise, mostly sunny.  Warmer. Above  normal temperatures.
Highs:  in the lower 80s | Wind: south winds at 5-15 mph.  Normal highs are around 74-75 degrees.

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Sunday night:  Partly cloudy.  A stray shower or thunderstorm possible.  Above normal temperatures.
Lows: around 64 degrees  |  Wind: southeast winds at 10 mph. Normal lows are around 52-54 degrees.
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Monday:  Partly sunny. A few showers and  thunderstorms possible.  More humid.  Above normal temperatures.
Highs:  around 83-86 degrees  | Wind: south winds at 10 mph.  Normal highs are around 74-75 degrees.
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Monday night: A few clouds - mild. Above normal temperatures.
Lows: around 67 degrees  |  Wind: south winds at 5 mph. Normal lows are around 52-54 degrees..
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Tuesday:  Mostly sunny and warm - humid.  Much above normal temperatures.
Highs:  around 86-90 degrees  | Wind: south winds at 10-15 mph.  Normal highs are around 74-75 degrees.
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local area
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Did you know that the McCracken County Office of Emergency Management also now has a Facebook?  You can view it here
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Rivers will be slow to fall in the coming days.  There will continue to be pressure on the levee systems.  This is, of course, a concern.    
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River Stages - Click Here
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A flood warning continues for our area - see the detailed information on watches and warnings by clicking here
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Also our new forecast page is finished!  Just click the link below to see all of our Weather Observatory graphics - from the severe weather outlook to lake and river stages - extended outlooks - monthly outlooks - satellite - and more!.

Weather Observatory Graphics and Forecast Page
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No problems on Sunday - a bit warmer and a bit more humid.  A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible tonight (Sunday night).  The next widespread precipitation will arrive on Thursday/Friday with the cold front.
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Need to check radar today?  - click here.
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Continued flooding.  Concern will increase with each passing day that the strain on levees could cause some to break.  Be prepared for flash flooding in the event of a levee breach.  Have life jackets and other emergency supplies ready for immediate deployment in the event of a breach.  

A stray shower/thunderstorm is possible on Sunday night.

Snake bites - a number of people have reported snakes escaping the flood waters and moving into areas they are normally not seen. 
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Below image - Low temperatures for Sunday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Sunday afternoon
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Below image - High temperatures for Monday afternoon 
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow... 


Today (Sunday)  No severe storms are forecast.  Flooding will continue.
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Tonight (Sunday night)  A few scattered showers and thunderstorms around the area.  No severe weather is anticipated.  Flooding will continue.

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Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated.  Flooding will continue on area rivers.
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Rainfall totals for the next 24 hours.
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Rainfall will be less than 0.25".
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You can view the updated rainfall forecast maps - updated twice a day by going to the Weather Observatory Forecast Site - Click Here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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You can now view the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts!  Maps are available by clicking here.


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1. We will have a few scattered thunderstorms on Sunday into Wednesday - I don't believe widespread storms will form until Thursday.  We will be in an unstable air mass - meaning warm and more humid - this typically would cause a few thunderstorms to form.  This will be especially true if we get a disturbance moving through the region.

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2.  Temperatures and dew points will be on the rise next week with highs likely in the 80s and dew points in the 60s and 70s.  It will, at times, feel muggy.

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3.  A cold front is forecast to pass through the region on Thursday and Thursday night.  This front will spark some showers and thunderstorms.  After the front passes through then temperatures should moderate a bit.  Rainfall totals with the front could be in the 0.40-1.00 range.  
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We will have to monitor for a severe weather risk with the cold front.  Still some time to fine tune that part of the forecast.
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You can find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson

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Have you joined the email list?  I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of severe weather.  Basically this is a "heads up" email.  If you would like to subscribe then click here.
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You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management

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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php

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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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Other States- Click Here
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