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7 AM Update - updated the severe weather graphics and added in the lake wind advisory from the NWS...A lake wind advisory is in effect today - click here for more information
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Winds will gust above 30 mph today - this will cause problems for area boaters. Showers and thunderstorms have already formed this morning over some of our counties - these storms will push northeast this morning. More storms will form through the day - some storms could be severe with heavy rain, lightning, hail, and high winds.
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Here are the updated severe weather maps for today - the first map is the official severe weather outlook map from the Storm Prediction Center - again the orange area is where severe weather could occur. The second map is the tornado threat area - the third map is the hail threat area - the final map is where damaging winds are expected. Remember these maps are updated several times a day on their source page - you can view those maps by clicking here..
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Sunday, May 22, 2011
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Well, I would give the Saturday forecast a big fat F. I thought we would have widespread shower and thunderstorm activity during the late morning and afternoon hours - that did not happen - at least for most of our region. Some showers and storms moved through the region between 1 am and 7 am - but quickly moved east..
Showers and storms did develop mostly east of our immediate counties - during the afternoon hours..
Little change in the pattern will occur during the next 3-4 days. Warm air will continue to cover our region and dew points will be quite high. Basically that means - warm and muggy weather. With this warm and humid air mass will come several rounds of showers and thunderstorms. A few of the storms could be heavy and isolated severe weather can not be ruled out.
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The Storm Prediction Center has outlined our region for a risk of severe storms on Sunday and Sunday night..
A much stronger storm system will approach the region on Tuesday night into Thursday. This storm will usher in a better chance for widespread shower and thunderstorms - some of which may be on the severe side..
And last - but not least - check out the Ohio River at Paducah, Kentucky - it is expected to fall BELOW flood stage over the next few days. Some good news - for a change! Check your local river crests by clicking here.
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This page is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer ---
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky - for your local town - click here---
Sunday: Partly sunny and warm - more humid. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: in the lower to middle 80s | Wind: southerly winds at 15-25 mph - gusty at times. Normal highs are around 74-75 degrees. .
Sunday night: Partly cloudy with scattered storms possible. Above normal temperatures.Lows: around 66 degrees | Wind: southerly winds at 10-20 mph. Normal lows are around 52-54 degrees.
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Monday: Partly cloudy and warm - humid. A chance for a thunderstorm. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 84 degrees | Wind: southerly winds at 10-15 mph - gusty at times. Normal highs are around 74-75 degrees.---
Monday night: Partly cloudy with a few thunderstorms. Above normal temperatures.
Lows: around 67 degrees | Wind: southerly winds at 5-15 mph. Normal lows are around 52-54 degrees..---
Tuesday: Partly sunny and warm. A chance for a thunderstorm. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 84 degrees | Wind: southerly winds at 10-15 with gusts to 20 mph. Normal highs are around 74-75 degrees..
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Did you know that the McCracken County Office of Emergency Management also now has a Facebook? You can view it here
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Also our new forecast page is finished! Just click the link below to see all of our Weather Observatory graphics - from the severe weather outlook to lake and river stages - extended outlooks - monthly outlooks - satellite - and more!.
Weather Observatory Graphics and Forecast Page
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Remember you can view all of the temperature maps below - and more - by clicking here
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Below image - Low temperatures for Sunday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Sunday afternoon
Below image - High temperatures for Sunday afternoon
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Below image - High temperatures for Monday afternoon
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow...
Sunday: A few storms may produce heavy rain, lightning, gusty winds, and hail. River flooding will continue.
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Sunday night: A few strong storms are possible - isolated severe threat. River flooding will continue.
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Monday: A few storms are possible in the area - some may produce pockets of heavy rain. Isolated severe storms can't be ruled out in the heat of the day. Flooding will continue on area rivers. .
Monday night: A few storms are once again possible - with a few being strong or severe with heavy rain, lightning, gusty winds, and hail. Flooding will continue on area rivers.
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Tuesday: A few thunderstorms will once again be possible. A few of these storms may be severe with high winds, hail, lightning, and heavy rain. Flooding will continue on area rivers.
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Here is the graphic (below) for Sunday's severe weather risk. For the most up to date map - click here..
The area in orange is where the Storm Prediction Center (remember they are the ones who outline severe weather risk areas) believes severe storms will be possible. The yellow on the map is where general thunderstorms are expected (meaning they are not expected to produce widespread severe weather)..
A severe thunderstorm by definition is a storm that produces quarter size hail (or larger) and winds of 58 mph - or greater. Tornadoes are always possible with severe storms - along with heavy rain and lightning. .
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Rainfall totals for the next 72 hours. The scale is at the top of the graphic. This is from Saturday night through Tuesday night.
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Let's take a look at the 5 day precipitation forecast - obviously some heavy totals are possible across parts of the Missouri and Ohio Valleys.
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You can view the updated rainfall forecast maps - updated twice a day by going to the Weather Observatory Forecast Site - Click Here.
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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You can now view the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts! Maps are available by clicking here.
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1. I continue to watch for a more organized severe weather event towards the Tuesday into Wednesday time frame - as the main storm system pulls out of the central United States. I will monitor and update accordingly. .
Although the next few days will bring above normal temperatures - I do see another cool down moving into the area later next week with more below normal temperatures! The roller-coaster pattern will continue..
Speaking of long range - here is the latest summer outlook. You can see that our region is outlined for below normal temperatures. I am not a huge fan of long range predictions - there are quite a few hints that we will see below normal temperatures this summer in our region. Time will tell..
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You can find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson .
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Have you joined the email list? I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of severe weather. Basically this is a "heads up" email. If you would like to subscribe then click here...
You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson---
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois- Click Here To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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Other States- Click Here
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