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THANK YOU EVERYONE for all the help in our local communities - you are truly heroes! .
THANK YOU EVERYONE for all the help in our local communities - you are truly heroes! .
We have a chance for showers and storms tonight (Thursday night) and again on Saturday - then we enter a much warmer and more humid pattern from Sunday into the end of next week.
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The Video Weather Briefing has been updated - click here to view the video
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Rivers will be slow to fall in the coming days. There will continue to be pressure on the levee systems. This is, of course, a concern.
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One thing is for certain - much warmer and more humid conditions will prevail across our region next week.
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The Video Weather Briefing has been updated - click here to view the video
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Rivers will be slow to fall in the coming days. There will continue to be pressure on the levee systems. This is, of course, a concern.
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We will need to closely monitor thunderstorm chances as we enter next week - any disturbance in this pattern could easily trigger strong to severe thunderstorms. Perhaps the most organized period of storm chances will arrive on Tuesday and again towards next Thursday and Friday..
CAPE next week - remember CAPE is basically the amount of energy in the atmosphere - will be quite high from Sunday into next Friday. CAPE without a trigger though will not bring any problems. In order for that energy to be used you will need a focal point for thunderstorms - a cold front or disturbance in the atmosphere. IF we do have a focal point then we will have to monitor the risk for heavy rain, large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. Right now there is a lot of uncertainty on the timing of disturbances next week. .
I am leaning towards Tuesday for one focal point of showers and thunderstorms. Then I am leaning towards the Thursday/Friday time frame for another chance of storms. .
Several thunderstorm complexes are likely to form across portions of Kansas and Nebraska next week and they will move along the warm front which will likely stretch into parts of Iowa, Missouri, and Illinois. Where these storms track (most likely to our north) there will be a risk for heavy rain..
One thing is for certain - much warmer and more humid conditions will prevail across our region next week.
A flood warning continues for our area - see the detailed information on watches and warnings by clicking here...
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River Stages - Click Here
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Have you joined the email list? I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of severe weather. Basically this is a "heads up" email. If you would like to subscribe then click here.
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Also our new forecast page is finished! Just click the link below to see all of our Weather Observatory graphics - from the severe weather outlook to lake and river stages - extended outlooks - monthly outlooks - satellite - and more!.
Weather Observatory Graphics and Forecast Page
River stages
http://www.blogger.com/goog_1978329314
This site is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer..
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A cool start to Thursday morning but temperatures should rebound into the 60s during the afternoon hours. We will have a chance for rain (rainfall of less than 0.25-0.30") on Thursday night as a small disturbance passes through the region.
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Need to check radar today? - click here.
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Continued flooding. Concern will increase with each passing day that the strain on levees could cause some to break. Be prepared for flash flooding in the event of a levee breach. Have life jackets and other emergency supplies ready for immediate deployment in the event of a breach.
Thursday, during the day, will be dry. A chance Thursday night of a brief period of showers and storms. 1-2 hours in duration - IF they form at all. Precipitation would total less than 0.40".
Snake bites - a number of people have reported snakes escaping the flood waters and moving into areas they are normally not seen.
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky---
Thursday: Mostly sunny with a few cumulus clouds. Coolish.
Highs: in the upper 60s | Wind: south winds at 5 mph..
Thursday night: A period of showers possible. Most likely between 8 pm and 4 am. Rainfall totals will not be heavy.Lows: around 47 degrees | Wind: southwest winds at 10 mph.
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Friday: Mostly sunny and a little warmer
Highs: around 70-74 degrees | Wind: west winds at 10 mph.---
Friday night: Increasing clouds late with a chance for a morning shower or thunderstorm
Lows: around 54 degrees | Wind: south winds at 5 mph. ---
Saturday: A good chance for a period of showers and thunderstorms. Rainfall totals of 0.10-0.50" from the Saturday round of showers and storms. Warmer.
Highs: around 76-78 degrees | Wind: south winds at 10-15 mph. .
Frost forecast (I know - I know - it is MAY) - you could probably shift that blue a bit further to the west.
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Let's take a look at the future-cast radar from Wright-Weather.com - this is mainly for Thursday night into early Friday morning - note how the line starts out strong but then diminishes.
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You can click the image for real size. This first image is for late Thursday afternoon. You can see the line of showers and storms forming to our west. This is not going to be a heavy rain event.
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You can click the image for real size. This first image is for late Thursday afternoon. You can see the line of showers and storms forming to our west. This is not going to be a heavy rain event.
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Below image - Low temperatures for Thursday morning
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This next image is for the 7-9 pm time frame - Thursday night. You can see the future cast radar is showing an area of showers and storms. Again - not expected to last long or be heavy..
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Now the final future cast radar image - you can see the line diminishing as it passes over our immediate local counties.
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Below image - Low temperatures for Thursday morning
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Remember you can view all of these images by going to our new graphics page - click here
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Below image - High temperatures for Thursday afternoon
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Below image - High temperatures for Thursday afternoon
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Below image - High temperatures for Friday afternoon
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow...
Today (Thursday) Dry. Flooding will continue.
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Tonight (Thursday night) A chance for a period of showers and thunderstorms. Rainfall totals would be less than 0.40" if the line holds together. Flooding will continue.
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Friday: Dry. Flooding will continue..
Here is a graphic of the severe weather outlook for Thursday - the yellow area would be general thunderstorms - but thunderstorms are expected to remain below severe limits.
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Rainfall totals for the next 72 hours - if the rain develops then it would be on Thursday night and Friday morning (early).
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You can view the updated rainfall forecast maps - updated twice a day by going to the Weather Observatory Forecast Site - Click Here.
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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You can now view the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts! Maps are available by clicking here.
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1. Another shot at some showers and storms on Saturday - storms are not forecast to be severe. We will have to update the forecast on rainfall totals. Right now I am thinking this will not be a heavy rain event and would likely be less than 0.40" - again, I will update the Saturday rain chances as more data arrives.
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Here is the future-cast radar for Saturday. You can see an area of showers and storms moving across the area. Again - I will update this part of the forecast as it becomes more clear.
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2. An unsettled weather pattern next week. A chance for some thunderstorms on Tuesday and again later next week - some of the storms could be severe. Temperatures and dew points will be on the rise next week with highs likely in the 80s and dew points in the 60s and 70s. It will, at times, feel muggy next week.
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3. A chance for severe thunderstorms with heavy rain next Thursday into Saturday. Will need to fine tune this part of the forecast..
Here is the new 6-10 day outlook - this is for next Monday into the next week - temperature map first and precipitation map second. Basically this is a probability map - meaning this is the chance of it being warmer and cooler than normal and wetter or drier than normal.
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You can find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson
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You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson---
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois- Click Here To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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Other States- Click Here
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