Tuesday, April 5th - Calm weather returns - cooler then warmer!


Tuesday, April 5, 2011 
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I said most of the damage reports would probably come in just east and south of our immediate local counties.  

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My thinking was that an area from Evansville and then south and east to Jackson, TN and then south and east of that line would have the most damage.  You can see from the maps below that in the end that forecast ended up doing quite well.  You never know with these severe weather events (they can be difficult to forecast).
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Great job by the National Weather Service and local media with this event.  It had some pretty good coverage - especially during the dangerous part of the event.  So - hats off to all of those who helped cover the event.   Also a BIG thank you to all of you who sent in damage reports as the storms rolled through the region.  YOUR reports are important and always appreciated! 
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It was a TRICKY forecast - to say the least.  Most severe weather events are tricky.  However, a few ingredients were missing for substantial severe weather over southeast Missouri and far southern Illinois.  Thus - the lack of reports from those areas (we discussed that subject in previous posts from the last few days).  
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From start to finish you had over 10 days advance notice of this event - from the blog.  It seems like the bigger events (at least sometimes - not always) give us some signals pretty far in advance.  I am not sure how beneficial knowing about an event is - that far in advance?  Other than giving forecasters something to stress over!
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Here is an image grab of the damage reports from one of my radar programs.  The orange circles are wind damage - the red ones are for tornadoes.  Green circles are for hail reports.  Click for larger view.
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Ballard County had the most damage in far western KY - at least one or two tornadoes touched down and destroyed homes and barns.  A few injuries were also reported.  This same storm moved into McCracken County and caused some light damage.
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Areas east of Kentucky Lake experienced significant damage, as well.  Several tornadoes were reported.  You can also see from the above map that Tennessee had quite a bit of damage.
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The National Weather Service is currently doing storm surveys.  We should know more over the next day or two as to how much damage and what type of damage each county received.  I would not be surprised to see more than one report of a tornado from the Ballard County storm survey. 
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky
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Tuesday:  Calm weather returns.  Cooler with sun.
Highs:  middle to upper 50s  | Wind: west winds at 5-10 mph.
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Tuesday night:  Clear.  Calm.
Lows:  around 40  | Wind: South winds at 5-10 mph.
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Wednesday:  Sunny - pleasant.  A bit on the windy side.  Above normal temperatures. 
Highs: around 70 degrees  |  Wind: south winds at 15-25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.
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Wednesday night:  Partly cloudy.   
Lows: around 48-52 degrees  |  Wind: South winds at 10-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph
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Thursday: Partly cloudy. A chance for a shower or thunderstorm.  Above normal temperatures.  Windy.
Highs:  lower 70s  | Wind: South winds at 10-20 mph.
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Weather Observatory Home Page - Click Here
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Video has been posted and updated on the Weather Observatory web-site (simply click on the day of the week for the latest video).
http://weatherobservatory.com/weather-video.htm
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow: None

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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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1.  Severe weather threat returns Saturday-Monday - especially Sunday or Monday.  Stay tuned.
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You can find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson 
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management 
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php

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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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Other States- Click Here
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