April 29, 2011: More rain in the forecast...

Friday, April 29, 2011

Just got the updated 5 day rainfall graphic in...

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Friday, April 29, 2011

Video has been updated
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-video.htm

Friday, April 29, 2011
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Well, the break didn't last long.  It appears more rain is heading into our region - so I felt I should update.  I am also going to add a Sandbag and First Responder forecast to the page (until this flood event is over)

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A flood warning continues for our area - see the detailed information on watches and warnings by clicking here...

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Have you joined the email list?  I send out emails 2-4 days in advance of severe weather.  Basically this is a "heads up" email.  If you would like to subscribe then click here. 
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Also our new forecast page is finished!  Just click the link below to see all of our Weather Observatory graphics - from the severe weather outlook to lake and river stages - extended outlooks - monthly outlooks - satellite - and more!.


Weather Observatory Graphics and Forecast Page
River stages
http://weather.weatherobservatory.com/rivers/us.html 

This site is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox.  There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer..
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For today - Sunny and mild.  High temperatures in the 70s.  Southwest winds at 10 mph.  Those volunteering to sandbag should have Tetanus shots up to date.  No weather concerns today.  Additional rain is possible Saturday night into Sunday night.  Prepare for rain and prepare for gusty winds on Saturday (20-35 mph)
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River stages
http://weather.weatherobservatory.com/rivers/us.html 
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Continued flooding.  Concern will increase with each passing day that the strain on levees could cause some to break.  Be prepared for flash flooding in the event of a levee breach.  Have life jackets and other emergency supplies ready for immediate deployment in the event of a breach.  

Gusty winds on Saturday (20-35 mph - perhaps 40 mph on lakes and open areas)


Tetanus shots for those working in the field.  Remind the public that Tetanus shots are strongly recommended for those sandbagging and volunteering in the field.  


Snake bites - a number of people have reported snakes escaping the flood waters. 
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky
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Friday: Mostly sunny .  Mild.       
Highs:  in the lower 70s  | Wind: winds from the south at 10-15 mph.

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Friday night:  Mostly clear.  Cool.
Lows: around 52 degrees  |  Wind: south winds at 10 mph.
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Saturday: Partly cloudy.  Windy and mild.  An increasing chance for a shower or thunderstorm late in the day - towards evening - especially over southeast MO and western TN - moving east/northeast.
Highs:  in the upper 70s and lower 80s  | Wind: south winds at 15-20 mph with gusts to 40 mph.
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Saturday night:  Showers and thunderstorms likely.  A few strong storms possible - especially over the southern portion of the region (Missouri Bootheel and western Tennessee).
Lows: around 60 degrees  |  Wind: south winds at 10-15 mph.
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Sunday:A chance for morning showers and then a lull in the precipitation.  A chance for showers returning during the afternoon and evening hours.  Cooler. 
Highs:  around 69 degrees  | Wind: west/northwest winds at 10 mph.
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Rainfall totals from Saturday night into Sunday should be in the 1-2" range.  Pockets of heavier rain possible.  Additional rain will fall after Sunday afternoon.  Flash flood watches and warnings may be required if heavy rain does develop. 
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Weather Observatory Home Page - Click Here

Below image - High temperatures for Friday afternoon 

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Remember you can view all of these images by going to our new graphics page - click here
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Below image - Low temperatures for Saturday morning
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Below image - High temperatures for Saturday afternoon 
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow... 


Today (Friday)  No concerns for severe weather today

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Tonight (Friday night)  No concerns for tonight.

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Saturday and Saturday night:  A chance for a few thunderstorms Saturday evening into Saturday night.  A few storms may be strong or severe over the southern part of the area.  Will monitor this for any changes.  The main concern would be lightning, hail to the size of quarters, and wind gusts to 60 mph.  
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Here is the official graphic from the Storm Prediction Center (remember they are the national government office the forecasts severe weather and outlines the risk zones)  You can see they have a yellow area for our counties - this means general thunderstorms but below severe levels.  The orange area is a slight risk zone - slight risk means that severe storms are likely but should not be widespread in nature (I know - I know slight isn't the best word but that is what they use)
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Rainfall totals for the next 72 hours
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Here is the official 5 day rainfall outlook - this will take us into Wednesday.  Most of this rain will fall between Saturday night into Monday.  There are questions on whether the rain holds on until Monday.  I will have to tweak this part of the forecast in the coming days.  Just keep in mind that any rain that falls will quickly run off.
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You can view the updated rainfall forecast maps - updated twice a day by going to the Weather Observatory Forecast Site - Click Here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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You can now view the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts!  Maps are available by clicking here.
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Below is the 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlook.
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1. Main concern will be on Monday - will the front stall out over our region and cause rain to continue.  I will be watching another system towards the middle and end of next week.  
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Let's take a look at all of the severe weather reports from the last few days - just incredible and historic numbers.  Our region should should consider itself fortunate that we did not have the tornado outbreak like areas to our south experienced.  It can always be worse.
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The red dots are tornado reports from the past week - blue dots are hail reports - orange dots are high wind or damaging wind reports. 
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Let's take a look at the nation for the past week
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You can view these maps and more detailed information on the severe weather events by going here
CLICK HERE

I will update the blog frequently over the coming days.  Stay tuned and keep the NOAA Weather Radios on.


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You can find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson
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You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management

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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php


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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois- Click Here
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To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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Other States- Click Here
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