I just sent this email out...
Here is a video conference call from the NWS concerning the event
Sunday afternoon/evening update
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Catastrophic flood event is unfolding...
Severe weather outbreak on Monday afternoon into Monday night - all modes of severe weather possible - tornado risk
Severe weather outbreak possible on Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday evening - timing will need to be fine tuned in the coming days - a tornado outbreak is forecast for portions of the Lower Ohio and Tennessee Valley...
This flood event is going to be similar to the 2009 ice storm (meaning we are dealing with an event that we have not experienced in most of our lifetimes and it could impact a large number of people - this is NOT in reference to power outages).
Widespread flooding may impact significant numbers of people in our region - Ohio and Tennessee Valley...
Check latest river crest levels and monitor local media for updates on this event.
River Crests http://weather.weatherobservatory.com/rivers/us.html
Also here http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=pah
Alerts and recommendations:
Media: Please bring as much awareness as possible to the potential of flash flooding and flooding on area rivers. NOW is the time to prepare for major rises on area rivers. This could be an historic event. People need to prepare.
Schools: HEAVY emphasis on reminding students to avoid flooded roadways. Also pay close attention to the potential for severe weather Monday afternoon through Wednesday. All modes of severe weather could impact the region - including tornadoes. Review severe weather safety plans and measures. Refresh NOAA Weather Radio batteries.
Emergency management and first responders: Be prepared for flash flooding and water rescue. I recommend a heightened state of alert for potential problems. Also - severe storms during this pattern may provide little advanced notice. Storms in this environment can quickly spin up tornadoes. As we have seen over the last three days with numerous reports of damage in the region.
General public: Check river crest levels. Evacuations will be necessary in some areas. Plan NOW if you believe you are in a flood prone area. Listen to NOAA Weather Radio for watches/warnings. Listen to your favorite severe weather information source for changes in weather forecasts and conditions. We have reports of children playing in flood waters - please work together to warn against and prevent this from happening.
Report all severe weather to local law enforcement or the National Weather Service. Refresh NOAA Weather Radio batteries.
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Best advice - have a NOAA Weather Radio and monitor changes in the weather throughout the next 4 days - I don't know any other way to put it.
We are in a dangerous (as you can see) weather pattern - I will update the blog and the Facebook page as much as possible. Remember these emails are for a heads up alert only - not for watches and warnings.
Stay tuned!
If you receive this email in duplicate then I apologize - just delete the duplicate.
I will keep this short
An historic flood is forecast for portions of the Mississippi and Ohio River basin. We could - potentially - be looking at water levels greater (in some counties) than the 1995 and 1997 flood. This will be dependent on just how much rain falls in the coming days. Some counties may approach the 1937 water levels.
Certainly this is a concern for emergency management officials and everyone in the region. Please stay updated on forecasts.
If you have friends or family with interest along area rivers then advice them to take precautionary measures - now.
Emergency management and fire officials request that you please avoid flooded roadways.
I will do a video update on Sunday morning - after 10 am
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-video.htm
I will update the blog and more frequently the Facebook page
I have a graphic here - click the time period you would like to view - 24/48/72/120 hours - rainfall
Rainfall Graphic
Flash flood watches and warnings blanket the area.
Here are some links that you might find useful
Radar - we will be running all the radars today - interactive ones and the high resolution radar
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
Watches and warnings
http://weather.weatherobservatory.com/maps/severe/warnings/all/uslowerohvalley.html
Additional link for watches and warnings (click your area)
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php#maps
Streaming audio to listen to area storm spotters
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/scanner-feed.htm
Listen to NOAA Weather Radio and local media sources for the most up to date information on watches and warnings as this event unfolds.
Next email update will be on Sunday evening or Monday morning.
Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
Previous
Sunday, April 24, 2011
EPIC flood developing - levels may approach the 1937 crests in some of our counties...
For more information and coverage
Click here
Radar
Check the latest radars
Local Watches and Warnings
Click here
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Pinpoint forecast for your town/city
Click here
Severe weather is possible again tonight with winds greater than 58 mph, hail, and isolated tornadoes. The big threat is flash flooding. Please avoid flooded roadways.
A bigger severe weather event is possible on Monday into Monday night - with additional heavy rain. Area residents should stay alert for developing weather.
Here is an updated map of yesterdays severe weather reports
http://weather.weatherobservatory.com/maps/severe/stormreports/yesterday/uslowerohvalley.html
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Sunday, April 24, 2011
Bottom line - Turn Around - Don't Drown. Life threatening weather is possible over the next four days. If people don't listen and pay attention then lives will be lost. I don't know how to be more clear about the subject. it isn't everyday that I say those words - you will hear them when I think a serious outbreak of severe storms or tornadoes is likely or a weather event that has the potential to be a higher impact than usual.
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Flooding and flash flooding will be possible over the coming days. The National Weather Service encourages everyone to avoid flooded roadways. Report flooding to law enforcement and/or the National Weather Service. Our region experiences flash flood deaths almost every year. People think they can drive through flooded roadways and by the time they realize they can't - it is too late. Please don't be one of those people.
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You can get the most up to the minute forecast update by clicking hereLatest watches and warnings for your county - Click here
Active weather pattern to continue - waves of rain and thunderstorms will continue into next week. Some of these storms will continue to produce high winds, hail, and tornadoes, Flash flooding is obviously a major concern.
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Here are the storm reports from the past week - red would be the tornadoes. Blue is hail and orange would be high wind reports. See scale at the top..
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You can see the satellite view fro the overnight hours how widespread the storms are - focused along the Ohio River down into Missouri and Oklahoma..
Satellite view.
And at 12 AM this morning this is what radar looked like - just look at the expansive area of showers and storms lined up along that boundary. This is simply amazing.
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This is a dangerous weather pattern. I can't say it enough or in any stronger words. We have already seen the damage potential from the storms over the last few days.
Our new forecast page is finished! Just click the link below to see all of our Weather Observatory graphics - from the severe weather outlook to lake and river stages - extended outlooks - monthly outlooks - satellite - and more!.
Weather Observatory Graphics and Forecast Page
River stages - rivers will be rising over the coming 10 day period in our region, as well. Especially with multiple rounds of rain and storms. With each passing event - flooding will become a bigger concern.
http://weather.weatherobservatory.com/rivers/us.html
This site is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer.
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Showers and thunderstorms - heavy at times. A few severe thunderstorms possible on Sunday afternoon and Sunday night. Wind gusts greater than 58 mph in the heaviest cells and large hail. Isolated tornadoes will be possible. Pay attention - avoid flooded roadways. Do not put your life in danger or the lives of local emergency management - rescue - and fire departments.
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and western Kentucky---
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Sunday: Flash flood watch. Periods of showers and thunderstorms. Severe weather possible, again. Locally heavy rain possible. .
Highs: in the middle 70s | Wind: south winds at 15-20 mph ---
Sunday night: Flash flood watch. Showers and thunderstorms likely - some rain may be heavy. Flash flooding possible in some counties. Severe weather possible, again.
Lows: around 60-64 degrees | Wind: south winds at 10-15 mph---
Monday: Showers and thunderstorms possible. Some dry periods. Will update the timing of the precipitation on Monday as I figure out the exact placement of the frontal boundary. Severe weather possible, again and Monday night - possibly significant severe weather.
Highs: around 77 degrees | Wind: south/southwest winds at 10-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph.---
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Video has been posted and updated on the Weather Observatory web-site (simply click on the day of the week for the latest video).
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow...
Sunday: Severe thunderstorms possible later today and into tonight. Flash flood threat.
Sunday Night: A few severe thunderstorms possible.. Flash flood threat.
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Monday Night: A few severe thunderstorms possible.. Flash flood threat..
Here is the latest 5 day rainfall forecast - yes those are some big numbers. You can now view these rainfall maps by clicking here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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You can find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson.
You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page and you can follow along - also please pass the link along to your friends.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson---
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.---
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois- Click Here.
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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Other States- Click Here
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