Friday evening into Saturday update
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Remainder of this afternoon - showers and scattered thunderstorms. Falling temperatures - turning colder. Gusty winds from the west. Chance of rain 90% this afternoon
Remainder of this afternoon - showers and scattered thunderstorms. Falling temperatures - turning colder. Gusty winds from the west. Chance of rain 90% this afternoon
To view our local radars - click here
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Friday night: Cloudy with showers - a rumble of thunder is possible - mainly early. Turning cooler.
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 40s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 48 degrees.Below normal temperatures
Wind: Northwest winds at 5-10 mph with gusts above 20 mph
Precipitation probability - 70% before 3 am | Rainfall totals: 0.25"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Saturday: Mostly cloudy - early morning showers coming to an end. Some clearing during the morning then a few more clouds during the afternoon.
Below normal temperatures
Highs: around 60 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 71 degrees.Below normal temperatures
Wind: Northwest winds at 10-20 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% before 9 am | Rainfall totals: 0.10"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Saturday night: Partly cloudy skies. Cooler.
Below normal temperatures
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 30s and lower 40s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 48 degrees.
Wind: Near calm winds
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Near calm winds
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Sunday: Partly sunny skies - especially during the afternoon. Cool.
Below normal temperatures
Highs: around 65 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 71 degrees.Wind: Northerly winds at 10-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Friday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? A rumble of thunder possible.
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Friday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? A rumble of thunder possible.
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Saturday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Saturday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Saturday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Sunday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Sunday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - No
Saturday - No
Sunday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - No
Saturday - No
Sunday - No
Monday - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
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HEADLINES: Rain has arrived in the region - area radars are lighting up with a band of showers and isolated thunderstorms. Hopefully most areas will pick up a little bit of rain. We are running below normal in the rain department.
I am not forecasting any severe weather today. Keep in mind that lightning will be possible in a few areas - if you have outdoor events then monitor radars. When thunder roars - move indoors!
Here are the radars for you to view - click here
Temperatures will drop 10-20 degrees behind the cold front this afternoon/evening (Friday).
The good news is that I still do not see a widespread severe weather outbreaks in our near future - it has been unusually quiet for a long period of time. We had a lot of severe weather in February and early March - it has been quiet since then. The Gulf of Mexico waters are very warm - this led many forecasters to expect a lot of severe weather - including myself. That has not happened. Something to be thankful for.
There will be quiet a few clouds around on Saturday - perhaps some clearing during the late morning then an increase in clouds again during the afternoon. Sunday will bring a mix of sun and clouds - cool temperatures - below normal temperatures both Saturday and Sunday.
Winds will also be gusty for the next few days - if you are going to be out boating then keep that in mind.
Here are the high and low temperature forecasts for the weekend - it will be a bit on the chilly side (jacket weather?).
I would not be surprised to see some 30s on Sunday morning - as a matter of fact I have put 30s into the forecast for Saturday night.
Here are the forecast lows for Saturday morning
Saturday high temperatures
Sunday morning lows
Sunday afternoon high temperatures - map below
How much below normal will temperatures be on Saturday and Sunday? These maps below will show you! Quite cool for the middle of April
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HEADLINES: Rain has arrived in the region - area radars are lighting up with a band of showers and isolated thunderstorms. Hopefully most areas will pick up a little bit of rain. We are running below normal in the rain department.
I am not forecasting any severe weather today. Keep in mind that lightning will be possible in a few areas - if you have outdoor events then monitor radars. When thunder roars - move indoors!
Here are the radars for you to view - click here
Temperatures will drop 10-20 degrees behind the cold front this afternoon/evening (Friday).
The good news is that I still do not see a widespread severe weather outbreaks in our near future - it has been unusually quiet for a long period of time. We had a lot of severe weather in February and early March - it has been quiet since then. The Gulf of Mexico waters are very warm - this led many forecasters to expect a lot of severe weather - including myself. That has not happened. Something to be thankful for.
There will be quiet a few clouds around on Saturday - perhaps some clearing during the late morning then an increase in clouds again during the afternoon. Sunday will bring a mix of sun and clouds - cool temperatures - below normal temperatures both Saturday and Sunday.
Winds will also be gusty for the next few days - if you are going to be out boating then keep that in mind.
Here are the high and low temperature forecasts for the weekend - it will be a bit on the chilly side (jacket weather?).
I would not be surprised to see some 30s on Sunday morning - as a matter of fact I have put 30s into the forecast for Saturday night.
Here are the forecast lows for Saturday morning
Saturday high temperatures
Sunday morning lows
Sunday afternoon high temperatures - map below
How much below normal will temperatures be on Saturday and Sunday? These maps below will show you! Quite cool for the middle of April
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Date Range: April 17th-30th
Event: Unsettled weather - several cold frontal passages Possible cool/cold air shots, as well.
Severe Risk: Small chances
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Medium
Date Range: May 5th-11h
Event: Unsettled weather
Severe Risk: Possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
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Date Range: May 29th-June 3rd
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates.
Confidence in my forecast. Low More information on the long range cycle . .
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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1. The next chance for precipitation will arrive around Wednesday or Thursday - right now it does not appear like a severe weather event. I will monitor.
Fairly quiet weather overall for the middle of April.
You can see that a large chunk of the nation is in need of rain.
This first map below shows you how much precipitation is needed to end the drought - a fairly large chunk of the nation is dry.
Let's take a look at soil moisture anomalies - in other words how much below normal are soil moisture conditions. The nation is the driest it has been in 5 years.
Let's hope we start to see a more active pattern - soon.
Fairly quiet weather overall for the middle of April.
You can see that a large chunk of the nation is in need of rain.
This first map below shows you how much precipitation is needed to end the drought - a fairly large chunk of the nation is dry.
Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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