Sunday night into Monday update
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Sunday night: Mostly cloudy skies. A few evening showers/storms - mainly northern counties
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 52 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.25"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Monday: A mix of sun and clouds. A chance for showers and thunderstorms - some storms could be severe. Again - not everyone will pick up rain.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 78-84 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 75 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southwest winds at 10-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 70% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" with locally heavier amounts in storms.
Confidence in this forecast is medium
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Monday night: Partly cloudy skies. A chance for a shower or thunderstorm.
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 52 degrees.
Wind: Southwest at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 70% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" with locally heavier amounts in storms.
Confidence in this forecast is medium
Wind: Southwest at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 70% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" with locally heavier amounts in storms.
Confidence in this forecast is medium
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Tuesday: Partly cloudy skies - a chance for showers and thunderstorms.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 80 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 75 degrees.Wind: Southwest at 10-20 mph with gusts above 25 mph
Precipitation probability - 40% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" with locally heavier amounts in thunderstorms
Confidence in this forecast is medium
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Concerns will remain the same over the coming days - some areas will pick up thunderstorms - large hail and gusty winds - lightning. Other areas will remain dry - right now it appears our northern counties will be the most likely areas impacted by storms. With this type of pattern you can expect conditions will vary greatly over the region - keep this in mind.
Best advice check radar to see where storms are forming. Listen to weather radios if storms threaten - or local media.
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If you have outdoor plans then monitor radars
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The wild card in the forecast will remain the same as recent days - the placement of showers and thunderstorms
If you have outdoor plans then monitor radars.
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No major changes in this update!
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here. I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Sunday night: Severe weather is not anticipated
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Sunday night: Severe weather is not anticipated
Sunday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Monday: Can't rule out some severe storms - more likely over southeast Missouri into southwest Indiana - some uncertainty on the extent of the severe weather threat - monitor updates
Monday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
.Monday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
Monday night : Can't rule out some severe storms.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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Tuesday: Can't rule out some severe storms.
Tuesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - Unlikely
Monday - Monitor
Tuesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - Unlikely
Monday - Monitor
Tuesday - Monitor
Wednesday - No
Thursday - Monitor
Friday - Monitor
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
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HEADLINES: An incredible and devastating hail event smashed through parts of eastern Missouri and southern Illinois on Saturday afternoon. Numerous reports of golf ball to soft ball size hail were received around the St Louis area - many counties surrounding St Louis, as well.
Damage will likely run well into the tens of millions of dollars and perhaps hundreds of millions of dollars. This was one of the more destructive hail storms in the history of St Louis, Missouri - it will likely rank in the top three. It will take some time to pull all of the numbers together.
Over 100 people were injured in St Louis when a tent collapsed - 1 person died of a possible heart attack.
Some of our counties were impacted by hail storms - mainly northern counties. Thankfully, as expected, the cap held over much of the region.
It has been feast or famine with thunderstorms lately - some areas picking up large hail and very heavy rain and other areas remaining bone dry. This pattern will likely continue over the next few days.
Any storms that form this week could produce heavy rain, hail, gusty winds, and frequent lightning. The tornado threat appears low.
Officially we are in a risk zone for parts of the area on Monday - now this may shift around a bit - check the Beau Dodson Weather Facebook page for updates
The orange area is the slight risk zone - the yellow area is the general thunderstorm area
Monitor updates throughout the week as each event unfolds.
Here are the Monday morning lows followed by the Monday afternoon high temperatures
Here are the Tuesday morning lows and Tuesday afternoon highs
It will be quite humid from time to time - making it feel more like summer.
This is what the big hail storm looked like on satellite yesterday - very high cloud tops. Click to view real size.
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HEADLINES: An incredible and devastating hail event smashed through parts of eastern Missouri and southern Illinois on Saturday afternoon. Numerous reports of golf ball to soft ball size hail were received around the St Louis area - many counties surrounding St Louis, as well.
Damage will likely run well into the tens of millions of dollars and perhaps hundreds of millions of dollars. This was one of the more destructive hail storms in the history of St Louis, Missouri - it will likely rank in the top three. It will take some time to pull all of the numbers together.
Over 100 people were injured in St Louis when a tent collapsed - 1 person died of a possible heart attack.
Some of our counties were impacted by hail storms - mainly northern counties. Thankfully, as expected, the cap held over much of the region.
It has been feast or famine with thunderstorms lately - some areas picking up large hail and very heavy rain and other areas remaining bone dry. This pattern will likely continue over the next few days.
Any storms that form this week could produce heavy rain, hail, gusty winds, and frequent lightning. The tornado threat appears low.
Officially we are in a risk zone for parts of the area on Monday - now this may shift around a bit - check the Beau Dodson Weather Facebook page for updates
The orange area is the slight risk zone - the yellow area is the general thunderstorm area
Monitor updates throughout the week as each event unfolds.
Here are the Monday morning lows followed by the Monday afternoon high temperatures
It will be quite humid from time to time - making it feel more like summer.
This is what the big hail storm looked like on satellite yesterday - very high cloud tops. Click to view real size.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
Rainfall will vary across the region depending on where the boundary ends up being placed. Keep this in mind.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
Rainfall will vary across the region depending on where the boundary ends up being placed. Keep this in mind.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Date Range: April 30th - May 5th
Event: Unsettled weather
Severe Risk: Possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Medium
Date Range: May 5th-11h
Event: Unsettled weather
Severe Risk: Possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
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Date Range: May 29th-June 3rd
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates.
Confidence in my forecast. Low More information on the long range cycle
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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1. Short discussion today - we have been upgrading and cleaning equipment.
Unsettled weather Monday into Tuesday - again on Thursday into Friday - hopefully we all pick up a little bit of rain. It would be nice. We need rain - the ground is dry.
Here is the latest six to ten day temperature outlook - we are being placed in above normal.
Unsettled weather Monday into Tuesday - again on Thursday into Friday - hopefully we all pick up a little bit of rain. It would be nice. We need rain - the ground is dry.
Here is the latest six to ten day temperature outlook - we are being placed in above normal.
Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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