Thursday evening into Friday update
.
For more frequent updates check out our weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
.
This page is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox. There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer
.
.
Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
.
Thursday night: Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies - not as cool as recent nights. No threat for frost. Some good news!
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 40s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 47 degrees.Below normal temperatures
Wind: Southeast winds at 5 mph.
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Friday: A slight chance for a few showers and thunderstorms - mainly during the afternoon hours. Milder.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 74 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 68 degrees.Above normal temperatures
Wind: Southerly winds at 10-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" in areas that pick up a shower or thunderstorm
Confidence in this forecast is very high
.
Friday night: Partly cloudy skies. A chance for a shower or thunderstorm.
Above normal temperatures
Above normal temperatures
Lows: in the upper 50s and lower 60s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 47 degrees.
Wind: Southerly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" most areas won't receive rain - but a few spots.
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Southerly winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 20% | Rainfall totals: 0.25" most areas won't receive rain - but a few spots.
Confidence in this forecast is high
.
Saturday: Partly sunny - warm - windy.
Above normal temperatures
Highs: around 75-80 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 68 degrees.Wind: Southwest at 10-20 mph and gusty at times
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
.
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
.
.
.
Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
.
.
A couple of showers or thunderstorms on Friday afternoon and evening. Lightning would be the only concern.
.
If you have outdoor sporting events then monitor radars - mainly the concern would be a lightning bolt.
.
No significant wild cards in this forecast!
.
.
.
No major changes in this update!
.
.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
.
..
Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here. I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.
.
---
The forecast for severe or extreme weather
.
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
.
Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
.
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
.
Thursday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
.
Thursday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
Friday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - small chance
.Friday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - small chance
Friday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Friday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? Yes - small chance
.
Saturday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Saturday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
.
.
.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
.
Tonight - No
Friday - No
Saturday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
.
.
Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
.
Tonight - No
Friday - No
Saturday - No
Sunday - No (areas to our west may have severe storms) - monitor for updates
Sunday night - Monitoring
Sunday night - Monitoring
Monday - Possible
Tuesday - No
.
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
.
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
.
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
.
The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
.
To view the interactive warning map - click here.
.
.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
.
To view the interactive warning map - click here.
.
The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
.
.
This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
.
HEADLINES: I apologize for the short updates. I have a very sick family member. I do want to try and update the page each day. And - I will.
There will be a few showers and thunderstorms on radar Friday into Friday night - about 20% risk. Lightning would be the main concern. I am not concerned about severe storms in our local region.
I can't rule out some heavier weather towards Sunday night into Monday night. I will monitor and update the Facebook page and this blog as we move forward.
A significant outbreak of severe weather is likely across areas to our west over the coming days. Thankfully it appears our region will be spared the most intense storms. Again - I will monitor.
.
HEADLINES: I apologize for the short updates. I have a very sick family member. I do want to try and update the page each day. And - I will.
There will be a few showers and thunderstorms on radar Friday into Friday night - about 20% risk. Lightning would be the main concern. I am not concerned about severe storms in our local region.
I can't rule out some heavier weather towards Sunday night into Monday night. I will monitor and update the Facebook page and this blog as we move forward.
A significant outbreak of severe weather is likely across areas to our west over the coming days. Thankfully it appears our region will be spared the most intense storms. Again - I will monitor.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
.
.
We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
---
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
---
We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
.
Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
.
.
-----------------------------
.
.
Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
.
You can see a few shower and thunderstorm chances over the next 24 hours - mainly Friday afternoon into Friday night. Again - very scattered. Again - not all areas will pick up rain on Friday.
You can see a few shower and thunderstorm chances over the next 24 hours - mainly Friday afternoon into Friday night. Again - very scattered. Again - not all areas will pick up rain on Friday.
.
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
.
Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
.
You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
.
Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
.
To view recent records that have been broken - click here
.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
.
To view recent records that have been broken - click here
.
.
---
.
.
Date Range: April 13th-17th
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates. Possible cold air shots after storm passes.
Confidence in my forecast. Medium
Date Range: April 17th-30th
Event: Unsettled weather - several cold frontal passages Possible cold air shots, as well.
Severe Risk: Yes - possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
Date Range: May 5th-11h
Event: Unsettled weather
Severe Risk: Possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
.
Date Range: May 29th-June 3rd
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
More information on the long range cycle
.
.
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
.
-----------------------------
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
.
-----------------------------
.
1. The main concern in the extended period will be shower and thunderstorm chances Sunday night into Monday night. I need to fine tune the exact timing of this system.
The severe weather threat is not zero - but it doesn't look like a huge outbreak. I am thinking a line of showers and thunderstorms. A few storms could be heavy with gusty winds and even hail. Lightning is a concern, as always.
I will monitor and update a bit more over the coming days.
The severe weather threat is not zero - but it doesn't look like a huge outbreak. I am thinking a line of showers and thunderstorms. A few storms could be heavy with gusty winds and even hail. Lightning is a concern, as always.
I will monitor and update a bit more over the coming days.
Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
.
Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
.
.
Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
.
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
.
All other states- Click Here
.
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
.
Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
.
.
No comments:
Post a Comment