Your Hometown Weather: April 10th-11th: Frost possible tonight and Wednesday night

April 10th-11th - 2012

Tuesday night and Wednesday update

NO VIDEO TODAY - I AM IN NASHVILLE ON A FAMILY EMERGENCY
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...

Remainder of this afternoon: Sunny with seasonable temperatures.

Temperatures: in the 60s
Wind: Northwest winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"

Tuesday night: Clear and cold with frost possible in some counties.
Below normal temperatures

Lows: in the lower to middle 30s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 44 degrees.
Wind: Northwest winds at 5 mph.
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high

Wednesday: Mostly sunny and cool - morning frost possible.
Below normal temperatures

Highs: around 58-60 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.
Wind: Northwest at 10-20 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Wednesday night: Clear and cold - widespread frost likely.
Below normal temperatures

Lows: in the lower 30s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 44 degrees.
Wind: North/northwest winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high

Thursday: A frosty and cold morning - otherwise sunny skies - increase of clouds possible late in the day.

Below normal temperatures

Highs: around 65 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.
Wind: Southeast at 5-15 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"

Confidence in this forecast is high
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Frost will be a concern for the next few nights - sensitive plants could have problems.
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Frost likely - cover up sensitive plants

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No significant wild cards in this forecast!
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No major changes in this update!

Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here

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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.

Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No

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Wednesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No

Thursday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Thursday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - No
Wednesday - No

Thursday - No

Friday - No

Saturday - No

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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here

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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here

The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
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HEADLINES: The main concern for the near term part of the forecast will be the chance for frost both tonight and on Wednesday night. Temperatures will dip down into the 30s during both time periods. This could cause some problems with sensitive plants.

Here are the latest frost and freeze advisories/watches/warnings - check back as these may be updated this evening

http://weather.weatherobservatory.com/maps/severe/warnings/all/uslowerohvalley.html

Skies will be mostly sunny on Wednesday and Thursday.

Here are the low temperatures for tonight - 30s across our region

Highs for Wednesday - highs won't rebound much - only into the 50s and lower 60s

Then lows on Wednesday night/Thursday morning - back into the 30s with frost

Then highs on Thursday - a bit warmer

Here are the temperature departure forecasts for the next couple of days - FINALLY we see some temperatures that are actually BELOW normal. We have been above normal for much of the last 4 to 6 weeks.

An increase in clouds will occur on Friday - can't rule out a few showers, as well. Rain chances should go up during the weekend and into next week (looks fairly active).

Short update today because I am in Nashville on a family emergency. I will try to get a longer update in on Tuesday afternoon.

We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here

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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.

Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information

Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.

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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.

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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Date Range: April 9th-14th
Event: Perhaps a shot at cooler air
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: A chance for a shot at cooler temperatures chances.
Confidence in my forecast: Very High
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Date Range: April 13th-17th
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates. Possible cold air shots after storm passes.
Confidence in my forecast. Medium

Date Range: April 17th-30th
Event: Unsettled weather - several cold frontal passages Possible cold air shots, as well.
Severe Risk: Yes - possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low

Date Range: May 5th-11h
Event: Unsettled weather
Severe Risk: Possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
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Date Range: May 29th-June 3rd
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates.
Confidence in my forecast. Low

More information on the long range cycle

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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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1. Rain chances will increase on Friday into Sunday - also next week looks active. It still appears that the threat for severe weather will be low on both Friday and Saturday. I will continue to monitor and update accordingly.

We do need some rain - hopefully the upcoming week will provide a few opportunities for moisture.

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Seasonal outlooks can be viewed on the web-site - click here

Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!

Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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