Monday night and Tuesday update
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For more frequent updates check visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
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Remember that each morning I put together a weather video - between 8 am and 10 am - to view - click here
You can also subscribe to those videos on my YouTube page - that means you will receive an email notification when I update the video (upload a new one) - click here for more information
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Wind: Northwest winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Monday night: Clear skies and seasonable temperatures.
Near normal to below normal temperatures
Remainder of this afternoon: Sunny with seasonable temperatures.
Temperatures: in the upper 60ds and lower 70s Wind: Northwest winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Monday night: Clear skies and seasonable temperatures.
Near normal to below normal temperatures
Lows: in the lower 40s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 44 degrees.
Wind: Northerly winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
Wind: Northerly winds at 5-10 mph.
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Tuesday: A mostly sunny day - cooler.
Near normal to below temperatures
Highs: around 62-66 degrees. | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.Near normal to below temperatures
Wind: Northwest winds at 10-15 mph with gusts above 20 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is very high
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Tuesday night: Mostly clear skies with frost possible.
Below normal temperatures
Below normal temperatures
Lows: in the middle 30s | Normal lows for this time of the year are around 44 degrees.
Wind: Northwest winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
Wind: Northwest winds at 5 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Wednesday: Mostly sunny skies and cooler
Below normal temperatures
Highs: around 56 degrees | Normal highs for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.Wind: Northerly winds at 5-10 mph
Precipitation probability - 0% | Rainfall totals: 0"
Confidence in this forecast is high
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Don't forget to sign up for the severe weather "heads up" email list - I usually email everyone before a big event - severe weather - tornado outbreaks - winter storms - ice storms. Click here to join
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local areaClick Here. I also strongly encourage you to FRIEND some of the local media meteorologists - I follow all of them and so should you.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a tornado. More information with some slides concerning reporting severe weather - click here
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Monday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
.Tuesday: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
Tuesday night : Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Tuesday night: Will there be a chance for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday: Will there be a risk for non-severe thunderstorms? No
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To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
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Tonight - No
Tuesday - No
Wednesday - No
Thursday - No
Friday - No
Saturday - No
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The links above are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
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HEADLINES: Quiet anyone? Our peak time for severe weather is typically April into May - but we have nothing to worry about right on through Thursday! I will be monitoring for an increase in rain and storm chances as we head into Friday and Saturday - will monitor Sunday.
The main concern for the next 5 days will be the cold temperatures on both Tuesday and Wednesday night. Frost will likely occur in our region both nights. The coldest night might end up being Wednesday night - lows will be in the lower to middle 30s.
Anyone with sensitive plants should monitor future temperature forecasts or go ahead and take preventative actions to protect their plants. A frost and/or freeze advisory is possible in some of our counties.
Here are the high and low temperature forecasts for Tuesday and Wednesday.
Tuesday morning lows first map - second image are the high temperatures for Tuesday - third image will be the Wednesday morning lows and the last image will be the Wednesday afternoon highs
Dry weather will be the rule right on through Thursday. I do not have any severe weather concerns for our immediate counties during that time frame.
Showers and thunderstorm chances will increase a bit later in the week. See the extended forecast for the details.
Here is the latest soil moisture anomalies map - it is a bit dry over some of our counties.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
This forecast analysis covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee
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HEADLINES: Quiet anyone? Our peak time for severe weather is typically April into May - but we have nothing to worry about right on through Thursday! I will be monitoring for an increase in rain and storm chances as we head into Friday and Saturday - will monitor Sunday.
The main concern for the next 5 days will be the cold temperatures on both Tuesday and Wednesday night. Frost will likely occur in our region both nights. The coldest night might end up being Wednesday night - lows will be in the lower to middle 30s.
Anyone with sensitive plants should monitor future temperature forecasts or go ahead and take preventative actions to protect their plants. A frost and/or freeze advisory is possible in some of our counties.
Here are the high and low temperature forecasts for Tuesday and Wednesday.
Tuesday morning lows first map - second image are the high temperatures for Tuesday - third image will be the Wednesday morning lows and the last image will be the Wednesday afternoon highs
Dry weather will be the rule right on through Thursday. I do not have any severe weather concerns for our immediate counties during that time frame.
Showers and thunderstorm chances will increase a bit later in the week. See the extended forecast for the details.
Here is the latest soil moisture anomalies map - it is a bit dry over some of our counties.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
. We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 72 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour precipitation forecast maps then click here.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Date Range: April 9th-14th
Event: Perhaps a shot at cooler air
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: A chance for a shot at cooler temperatures chances.
Confidence in my forecast: Very High
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Date Range: April 13th-17th
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates. Possible cold air shots after storm passes.
Confidence in my forecast. Medium
Date Range: April 17th-30th
Event: Unsettled weather - several cold frontal passages Possible cold air shots, as well.
Severe Risk: Yes - possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
Date Range: May 5th-11h
Event: Unsettled weather
Severe Risk: Possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
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Date Range: May 29th-June 3rd
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
More information on the long range cycle .
Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Date Range: April 9th-14th
Event: Perhaps a shot at cooler air
Severe Risk:
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: A chance for a shot at cooler temperatures chances.
Confidence in my forecast: Very High
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Date Range: April 13th-17th
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates. Possible cold air shots after storm passes.
Confidence in my forecast. Medium
Date Range: April 17th-30th
Event: Unsettled weather - several cold frontal passages Possible cold air shots, as well.
Severe Risk: Yes - possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
Date Range: May 5th-11h
Event: Unsettled weather
Severe Risk: Possible
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: Unsettled weather.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
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Date Range: May 29th-June 3rd
Event: A larger scale system to impact the central United States
Severe Risk: Yes - possible event.
Frozen Precipitation Risk: No
Details: long range cycle forecast indicates the potential of a larger scale event during these dates.
Confidence in my forecast. Low
More information on the long range cycle .
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Remember that as a general policy, in the long range outlook, I try not to mention severe thunderstorms more than 72 hours in advance (unless the signal is so overwhelmingly convincing that it warrants a mention). I will mention thunderstorm risks and I will give as many details as possible. Also remember you can view the long range severe weather outlooks by visiting the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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1. The rest of the forecast will center around rain chances Friday into early next week.
A storm system will approach our region on Friday - this will increase moisture into our local counties. There will be at least a chance for showers and thunderstorms as we move into Friday night and Saturday. Sunday may bring a mix of sun and clouds - a bit uncertain on shower chances Sunday (I will need to update that part of the forecast).
It appears the threat for severe weather will be low on both Friday and Saturday. I will monitor for any changes.
Another decent shot at rain will arrive Monday night into next Wednesday - perhaps a better chance for some stronger thunderstorms. Monitor for updates.
Here are the latest 6-10 and 8-14 day precipitation outlooks. You can see that we have been outlined for above normal precipitation during that time frame.
The dates are at the top of each map
A storm system will approach our region on Friday - this will increase moisture into our local counties. There will be at least a chance for showers and thunderstorms as we move into Friday night and Saturday. Sunday may bring a mix of sun and clouds - a bit uncertain on shower chances Sunday (I will need to update that part of the forecast).
It appears the threat for severe weather will be low on both Friday and Saturday. I will monitor for any changes.
Another decent shot at rain will arrive Monday night into next Wednesday - perhaps a better chance for some stronger thunderstorms. Monitor for updates.
Here are the latest 6-10 and 8-14 day precipitation outlooks. You can see that we have been outlined for above normal precipitation during that time frame.
The dates are at the top of each map
Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site.
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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