Sorry for the paragraph spacing problems between Internet Explorer and Firefox - can't see to get the spacing correct on these blog updates.
11 AM Update
Snow is falling over the area. Low visibility being reported because of the fine/small flakes filling the air.
Snowfall accumulations will be highest near the KY/TN border. Winter storm warning for that area - otherwise a winter weather advisory for most of the area. Snowfall near the KY/TN border will be in the 3-6" range.
Elsewhere - snow totals appear to be on track - seeing reports of 1-3" over most of the area with some pockets of heavier totals near the Missouri Bootheel and into the KY/TN border area.
Added 1"-2" to the KY/TN border county area forecast where I had 2-4". Will increase it to 3-6". Probabilities had this covered - but will update the map to reflect these numbers.
Snow will come to an end this afternoon from west to east.
February 9, 2011
9 AM Updated Forecast Numbers
Today: Snow, Bitterly Cold See snow accumulations below
Highs: 18-24 | Wind: N at 10
Highs: 18-24 | Wind: N at 10
Overnight: Snow ending and bitterly cold.
Lows: 5-10 above zero | Wind: NW 10-15
Lows: 5-10 above zero | Wind: NW 10-15
Tomorrow: Mix of sun and clouds - cold.
Highs: Mid 20s | Wind: SW 5-10
Highs: Mid 20s | Wind: SW 5-10
Radar
http://weatherobservatory.com/radar_grearth1.htm
Here are my morning thoughts - bumped totals up a bit and probabilities. We will see how this goes.
Again, best chances for the heaviest snow will be from the MO Bootheel into the KY/TN border counties. This is the best chance for exceeding the forecast totals. Will see how it goes.
February 9, 2011
Third call on numbers
Carbondale/Marion area - northward = dusting to maybe an inch
Cape Girardeau, MO = 1-2"
Poplar Bluff, MO = 2-4"
Missouri Bootheel = 3-6"
Paducah, KY = 2-4"
Mayfield/Murray area = 3-6" Locally higher on the KY/TN border - not out of the question.
Paris, TN = 3-6"
February 9, 2011:
1 AM Update
Sorry for the paragraph spacing problems between Internet Explorer and Firefox - can't see to get the spacing correct on these blog updates.
Note - I have changed my Facebook to BEAU DODSON WEATHER You have to click the LIKE button at the top in order to follow along with the updates. Just a simple click and you are there.
I am now doing video weather briefings
February 9th Video
http://weatherobservatory.com/weather-video.htm
Bottom line it for me Beau...
For southern Illinois and far western Kentucky...
The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow: None
For southern Illinois and far western Kentucky...
The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow: None
The forecast for freezing rain, sleet, or snow today, tonight, and tomorrow: Light snow - big story is the cold. Best chances for heaviest snow will be along the KY/TN border counties.
For Wednesday into Wednesday night - Snow Probabilities (probability of equaling or exceeding over/under certain snowfall amounts)
For far southern Illinois
Chances for less than 1" of snow 40%
Chances for 1-3" of snow 50%
Chances for 4-6" of snow 5%
Chances for greater than 6" of snow 5%
For western Kentucky
Chances for less than 1" of snow 30%
Chances for 1-3" of snow 60%
Chances for 4-6" of snow 5%
Chances for greater than 6" of snow 5%
Forecast:
Chances for less than 1" of snow 30%
Chances for 1-3" of snow 60%
Chances for 4-6" of snow 5%
Chances for greater than 6" of snow 5%
Forecast:
Wednesday - Flurries and light snow developing - cold. Light snow accumulation possible. Highs in the lower 20s. Best chance for heavier snow totals will be along the KY/TN border counties.
Wednesday Night - Cold. Flurries or light snow ending. Near record lows in the 5-10 degree range.
Thursday - A few clouds. Cold. Highs in the lower to middle 20s.
Thursday night - Cold. Near record lows in the single digits to lower teens.
Friday - Sunny with highs in the lower 30s.
Your up to the minute National Weather Service seven day forecast (note this may differ from my forecast from time to time) for southern Illinois and western Kentucky can be viewed by clicking here.
Your regional and local radars - including our new precipitation type radar - click here
Barometer readings can be viewed here - Barometer Readings.
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Light snow event possible over the area on Wednesday - the big story is the cold - not the snow. Not expecting much accumulation over northern portions of the area - Cape Girardeau to Metropolis may see a dusting to an inch or so - Missouri Bootheel into the KY/TN border area stands the best chance at seeing several inches of snow.
I will nowcast the event tomorrow morning - see how radar is shaping up. See the probability forecat above for exact forecast details. I am giving you the over/under chances. Again, as always, check back for updates in the morning - we may need to revise the numbers.
Otherwise - cold weather into Saturday. Warmer on Sunday into next week.
Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management--------------
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click here
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click here
Other States - Click Here
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