February 28, 2011
Much of the severe weather overnight struck an area from central Missouri into Illinois and southern Indaian.
We did have a trailer with a roof torn off in Massac County - trees downed, as well.
I could say it was a significant forecast bust, though, for the moderate risk area. Bad forecast. Areas around us were not so fortunate with major damage in some counties.
Thankfully it was not as widespread as we feared it would be. Yes - there was some severe weather reports but nothing like we had forecast or expected.
Thus the nature of severe weather forecasting. The big events always have some potential to bust. The main reason for this is the "cap" or warm layer aloft. This keeps thunderstorms from becoming severe. The cap in our region didn't bust until the main line of storms moved through.
Rain will continue this morning over our area - some flash flooding is possible. You can view the latest watches and warnings by clicking here
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pah/
Severe weather threat will continue today for areas to our east...
Rain will come to an end later this morning - calm week ahead. Rain chances increase again next weekend.
Thanks for all of the reports overnight of hail size and wind damage. Much appreciated!
Glad we dodge a bullet this time around.
- Beau
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