First call on numbers
Carbondale/Marion area - northward = dusting to maybe an inch
Cape Girardeau, MO = 1-2"
Poplar Bluff, MO = 2-3"
Missouri Bootheel = 2-4"
Paducah, KY = 1-2"
Mayfield/Murray area = 1-3" Locally higher on the KY/TN border - not out of the question.
Paris, TN = 2-3"
February 8, 2011:
Sorry for the paragraph spacing problems between Internet Explorer and Firefox - can't see to get the spacing correct on these blog updates.
Note - I have changed my Facebook to BEAU DODSON WEATHER You have to click the LIKE button at the top in order to follow along with the updates. Just a simple click and you are there.
I am now doing video weather briefings
February 8th Video
http://weatherobservatory.com/weather-video.htm
Bottom line it for me Beau...
For southern Illinois and far western Kentucky...
The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow: None
For southern Illinois and far western Kentucky...
The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow: None
The forecast for freezing rain, sleet, or snow today, tonight, and tomorrow: Chance of snow on Wednesday into Wednesday evening. 1-3" across the area. Possibly higher totals in the Missouri Bootheel into Western Tennessee. Storm track is fairly far south - so the heavier snow will be south of our region. As always - watch for updates.
For Wednesday into Wednesday night - Snow Probabilities (probability of equaling or exceeding over/under certain snowfall amounts)
For far southern Illinois and western Kentucky
Chances for less than 1" of snow 20%
Chances for 1-3" of snow 60%
Chances for 4-6" of snow 10%
Chances for greater than 6" of snow 10%
Forecast:
Tuesday - Mostly cloudy. A few flurries High in the middle to upper 20s.
Tuesday Night - Cloudy - a slight chance for snow late. Low around 15
Wednesday - Snow likely. Light accumulation possible. Highs in the 20s.
Wednesday Night - Cold. Snow ending. Near record lows in the 5-10 degree range.
Thursday - A few clouds. Cold. Highs in the lower to middle 20s.
Thursday night - Cold. Near record lows in the single digits.
Friday - Sunny with highs in the lower 30s.
Your up to the minute National Weather Service seven day forecast (note this may differ from my forecast from time to time) for southern Illinois and western Kentucky can be viewed by clicking here.
Your regional and local radars - including our new precipitation type radar - click here
Barometer readings can be viewed here - Barometer Readings.
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A band of snow once again set up over portions of our region on Monday - this produced a band of 4-10" of snow in areas that were expected to get 2-4 or 3-5 max. Once again mother nature put us in our place. That isn't the first time this year.
Tired of winter yet? Well - hang tight. We have some bitterly cold air coming - near record cold.
We have been talking about this storm for over a week now. The track of the storm is so far south that the heaviest snows will stay down in Arkansas and Tennessee.
A very large area of the nation will be impacted by this storm - see the video for a map of just how many areas are under warnings and advisories.
For our local region - snow will develop late Tuesday night over southeast Missouri and will spread east/southeast into parts of southern Illinois and western Kentucky.
A large chunk of the region now has anywhere from 1-10" of snow on the ground. A small part of southern Illinois has been mostly untouched by the recent snows - an area around Marion and Carbondale - Harrisburg. To the north and south of there - quite a bit of snow on the ground.
Accumulations with this event are expected to be light - this is not the same situation as what happened today.
The best potential for snow will be in the Missouri Bootheel over to the KY/TN border. However, I think most of us will see at least a little bit of snow.
Totals in the 1-3" range appear to be the best forecast. It would not surprise me if portions of the area only see a dusting. Most likely that would be the northern parts of the area.
This would be a category 1 on the Dodson Snowstorm Rating Scale - confidence is medium
This would be a category 1 on the Dodson Snowstorm Rating Scale - confidence is medium
If the storm tracks any further south then even less snow will fall than is forecast.
At this point it appears unlikely that the storm will track further north - but, as always, we will monitor the storm track.
Record cold or near record temperatures will cover the region on Thursday and Friday morning - most of us will be in the single digits and a few stations will go below zero. Quite impressive winter!
Temperatures this weekend will begin to moderate and I expect at least 50s next week and would not be surprised to see 60s.
Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management--------------
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click here
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click here
Other States - Click Here
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