Watching storms over southern IL back into Missouri
Tornado watches for the whole area
Storms will continue into the early morning hours
Monitor NOAA Weather Radio for warnings - and local media.
Radar
http://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
February 27, 2011
4 PM Update
Now we are just waiting...
Visible satellite shows quite a few breaks in the clouds over Arkansas and Tennessee. Instability is building. The question is whether or not thunderstorms will form over northern Arkansas and western Tennessee between now and 8 pm.
We will be watching radar.
If thunderstorms do form then they could quickly become severe.
Another round of storms will be possible later tonight and tomorrow morning.
The Storm Prediction Center has kept the region in a moderate risk for severe thunderstorms.
Radar
http://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
It is just a waiting process now to see how this unfolds.
Beau
February 27, 2011
Good morning everyone -
Severe storms may form as early as late this afternoon and evening...
Storms this morning will be along the warm front - they may produce brief heavy rain and small hail - the main concern, though, will be later today and into the overnight and early AM hours...
we will be running radars today
http://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
Remember we need severe weather reports (please compare hail size to coins)
More information on what we need to know
http://weatherobservatory.com/spotters.htm
A potentially dangerous weather situation is developing across our region later today and into Monday morning.
A warm front will pass through our local counties this morning and early afternoon. This will usher in warm and moist air into our local area. Winds will start to turn to the south beneath this warm front and by tonight will be gusting in the 20-35 mph range.
Several upper level storm systems will help trigger thunderstorms today. The first round of thunderstorms is already occurring north of the warm front over portions of the area (see radar). These storms may produce small hail. They will quickly move off to the north/northeast.
A second round of thunderstorms MAY develop early this evening over northeast Arkansas and western Tennessee. These storms may be tornadic supercells and produce damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes. They will spread into southeast Missouri, western Kentucky, and southern Illinois (if the evening storms do form).
There is some uncertainty on the supercells developing early this evening. However, if they do form then they would rapidly become severe.
The third risk time is late tonight and early Monday morning - say from 9 pm through 9 am tonight and tomorrow morning. It is this round that should be the most widespread.
The late night storms will likely produce large hail, damaging winds, heavy rain, and possibly some tornadoes. They will be moving rapidly east/northeast at 40-60 mph. This will mean there will be little warning time before the storms hit. Be ready to take action if severe weather develops.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed the entire region in a moderate risk for severe thunderstorms. Remember - they have three levels of risk Slight - Moderate - and High. A moderate risk means severe weather is likely.
A flash flood watch has been issued for the entire region, as well. Mainly because of saturated ground conditions. I remind everyone to not drive through flooded roadways. Also please tell students on Monday morning the same.
There is the potential for numerous reports of severe weather in our region from this event. Please relay all information of damage to the National Weather Service, law enforcement, or local media. I will have my Beau Dodson Weather Facebook page monitored for the event.
http://www.facebook.com/beaudodsonweather
Please share the threat for severe weather with your friends and neighbors. This event could occur after dark making it more of a concern.
I will update the blog and the Facebook page several times today.
- Beau Dodson
Latest Watches and Warnings
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php#maps
Paducah, Kentucky National Weather Service
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pah/
Here is the outlined area from the Storm Prediction Center (they will update three or four more times today and I will post new images from them)
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