February 20, 2011
6 PM Update
A storm system will approach the region on Thursday and Friday (February 24th/25th) .
This system has the potential to produce widespread rain across the region. Some of this rain may be heavy at times.
There will be a risk for thunderstorms with severe weather if the area of low pressure tracks through or to the north of Kentucky.
The potential exists for several inches of rain on Thursday through Friday. This may cause flash flooding and/or general flooding.
Now is the time to review severe weather awareness information and remind everyone of the dangers of crossing flooded roadways.
- Beau Dodson
February 20, 2011
Good afternoon everyone!
Warm! Temperatures have risen into the upper 60s and lower 70s over the region. Winds are gusting in the 20-30 mph range. Higher gusts will occur over the coming hours. Main concern would be those out on area lakes. Use some caution.
Here is one of the high resolution models that I use - this is wind gust map - for the coming hours. You can see some 30+ colors in there (scale is at the bottom of the map) - click map for full image (again this is all best viewed with Mozilla Firefox)
Strongest winds should be between 2 pm and 5 pm.
Rain likely on Monday - rainfall totals of 0.10-0.30"
Our big storm that we have been talking about is starting to take shape for THU and FRI. A severe weather event is likely over portions of the Ohio Valley and Mississippi Valley. Exact track of the storm will be key.
The Storm Prediction Center is already talking about a potential for supercells and tornadoes.
Still days away but let's all start thinking about the potential for an event later this week.
Remember that we need storm spotters! Accurate information on hail size, wind damage, flash flooding, wall cloud and funnel cloud reports, tree limb size if tree limbs fall. All of this information helps us with the warning process.
Some more information on what to report (I may work on a page for you guys - see if I can come up with something)
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/skywarn/svr-reports.html
- Beau
February 20, 2011
This blog is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox
High winds likely on Sunday across the region...
6 PM Update
A storm system will approach the region on Thursday and Friday (February 24th/25th) .
This system has the potential to produce widespread rain across the region. Some of this rain may be heavy at times.
There will be a risk for thunderstorms with severe weather if the area of low pressure tracks through or to the north of Kentucky.
The potential exists for several inches of rain on Thursday through Friday. This may cause flash flooding and/or general flooding.
Now is the time to review severe weather awareness information and remind everyone of the dangers of crossing flooded roadways.
- Beau Dodson
February 20, 2011
Good afternoon everyone!
Warm! Temperatures have risen into the upper 60s and lower 70s over the region. Winds are gusting in the 20-30 mph range. Higher gusts will occur over the coming hours. Main concern would be those out on area lakes. Use some caution.
Here is one of the high resolution models that I use - this is wind gust map - for the coming hours. You can see some 30+ colors in there (scale is at the bottom of the map) - click map for full image (again this is all best viewed with Mozilla Firefox)
Strongest winds should be between 2 pm and 5 pm.
Rain likely on Monday - rainfall totals of 0.10-0.30"
Our big storm that we have been talking about is starting to take shape for THU and FRI. A severe weather event is likely over portions of the Ohio Valley and Mississippi Valley. Exact track of the storm will be key.
The Storm Prediction Center is already talking about a potential for supercells and tornadoes.
Still days away but let's all start thinking about the potential for an event later this week.
Remember that we need storm spotters! Accurate information on hail size, wind damage, flash flooding, wall cloud and funnel cloud reports, tree limb size if tree limbs fall. All of this information helps us with the warning process.
Some more information on what to report (I may work on a page for you guys - see if I can come up with something)
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/skywarn/svr-reports.html
- Beau
February 20, 2011
This blog is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox
High winds likely on Sunday across the region...
Heavy rain threat possible late next week...
For those out on the rivers and lakes - please be aware that winds will gust between 30-40+ mph on Sunday and Sunday afternoon.
Use caution on rivers and lakes.
Remember that there are burn bans in effect - please don't burn brush or other.
You can find me on Twitter under Beau Dodson
You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page
You can find me on Facebook under Beau Dodson Weather - hit LIKE at the top of the page
Video has been posted and updated on the Weather Observatory web-site.
Bottom line it for me Beau...
For southern Illinois and far western Kentucky...
The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow: None
For southern Illinois and far western Kentucky...
The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for today, tonight, and tomorrow: None
Beau's Forecast
Sunday: Windy - warm - a mix of sun and clouds. A stray sprinkle possible.
Highs: 68-72 Wind: Southeast/south winds at 20-30 mph with gusts over 40 mph.
Sunday night: Mostly cloudy - a chance for showers. Breezy and mild. Rainfall amounts less than 0.10"
Lows: middle to upper 50s | Wind: South winds at 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with a chance for showers during the early AM hours - rain increasing during the morning and afternoon hours. Temperatures will fall during the afternoon hours into the 40s.
Highs: Upper 50s falling during the afternoon into the 40s | Wind: South at 10 mph becoming west at 10-15 mph.
Monday night: Rain ending. Colder.
Lows: Lower to middle 30s | Wind: West/northwest at 10-15 mph.
Tuesday: Cloudy. Cold.
Highs: Highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s | Wind: South/Southeast at 10-15 mph - gusts to 20 mph - winds becoming west late in the day at 15-25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.
Your up to the minute National Weather Service seven day forecast (note this may differ from my forecast from time to time) for southern Illinois and western Kentucky can be viewed by clicking here.
Your regional and local radars - including our new precipitation type radar - click here
Barometer readings can be viewed here - Barometer Readings.
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Sunday will be windy - rain chances will increase on Monday and ending Monday night. No severe weather is forecast.
MUCH above normal temperatures for your Sunday - check out these departures.
Image from Weather Nation
I am increasingly concerned about the possibility of thunderstorms and heavy rain next Thursday and Friday. Flash flooding could be a concern for portions of the Ohio Valley. This event will need to be monitored in the coming days.
It is still too early to determine whether severe thunderstorms will develop late next week - again we will need to fine tune this part of the forecast.
Here is what the GFS is showing for rainfall totals from Sunday through next Friday - image from Storm Vista
Stay tuned!
Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management--------------
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click here
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click here
Other States - Click Here
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