September 28, 2011: A few clouds - cool weekend ahead of us

September 28, 2011:
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DAILY VIDEOS are back - you can view them on my Facebook page each morning or on the Weather Observatory web-site - click here
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This page is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox.  There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
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Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Tuesday night:  A few clouds.  Below normal temperatures.
Lows:  in the 50-55 degree range.  |  Wind: Westerly winds at 5-10 mph.  Normal lows for this time of the year are around 57 degrees.  Precipitation probability - 0%
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Wednesday:  A mix of sun and clouds as the upper level low spins to our north - a slight chance for a shower.  Below normal temperatures.
Highs:  in the 68-74 degree range.  |  Wind:  West winds at 5-10 mph.  Normal highs for this time of the year are around 82 degreesPrecipitation probability - 20%
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Wednesday night:  Partly cloudy with a slight chance for a shower.  Below normal temperatures.
Lows: around 50-55 degrees  |  Wind:  West winds at 5-10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 57 degrees.  Precipitation probability - 20%.
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Thursday: A few clouds.  Below normal temperatures.
Highs:  around 76-82 degrees. |  Wind: West winds at 5-10 mph - gusty late in the day (especially over our northern counties).  Normal highs for this time of the year are around 82 degrees.   Precipitation probability - 10%
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Tweaked temperatures  little bit - added a shower risk for Wednesday and Wednesday night  Video's are being posted again (each morning - blog is evening and video is morning)
Link:  http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-video.htm


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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local area
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for the next 24 hours... 

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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
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Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
 
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Tuesday night:
  Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Wednesday:  Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Wednesday night:
  Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Thursday:   Severe weather is not anticipated
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You can learn more about lightning safety by clicking here.
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You can view the most up to date graphics - clicking here.
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To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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The map you see below can be viewed by clicking on the watch and warnings map links above.  The maps are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States - again this map is a sample map.  To view the actual interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE:  Clouds lingered on Tuesday - these clouds continue to form and swirl around a big upper level low pressure area centered over northern Illinois and the Great Lakes region.  This is the same system that has been there since last Friday.  Quite amazing.  You can see the giant counter-clockwise circulation on the satellite imagery.  You can view these yourself by clicking here.
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I put showers back into the forecast for Wednesday and Wednesday night.  Scattered in nature.  I expect whatever showers to develop to be light.  The best chance for measurable rainfall will likely be over southern Illinois, southern Indiana, and parts of Kentucky.  The chances are fairly low - but will monitor.  Again, not a big deal - more of a nuisance - if they develop.
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Let's take a look at the upper level low on today's satellite imagery.  I posted a view image grabs yesterday.  Impressive system.  First image is today's weather map so that you can get a feel for the low pressure area and its placement to our north. The last two images you can click for a larger view.
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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A small chance for showers on Wednesday into Wednesday night.  Otherwise a mix of sun and clouds the next few days.  Below normal temperatures.  Cooler for the upcoming weekend (lows in the 40s and highs in the 60s).  Jacket weather?

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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour maps then click here.
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I have added thunderstorm probabilities to the web-site - you can click hour by hour and see where the best chances for thunderstorms will exist.  Here is the link - you can also choose your own region by clicking on a state.


ALSO NOW AVAILABLE - Six hour probability precipitation maps.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperatures and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in - LINK
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Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here


We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We  also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
Want to learn more about how to use our radars?  I made a how to video with more information
Click here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfLa0hI3adU
 
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Drought continues across a large chunk of real estate.  This has been a concern for quite some time now.  Droughts tend to creep.  Many of you have witnessed the extreme fire conditions over portions of Texas and Oklahoma on the different news outlets.  I have been watching this drought slowly creep north and east over the last few months.  This will need to be monitored as we move into the fall and winter months.
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Here is the latest crop moisture index map.  Severe drought continues over Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and parts of Arkansas.  The areas in green are moist regions - the areas in orange and yellow are in need of rain.  The recent rains in our area have helped our cause to push back the drought to our south and west.
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You can view these and more drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here

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You can learn more about the current drought by visiting this Climate Prediction Center website - click here.
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1.  The big story of the week continues to be the Canadian High Pressure that will move into the Ohio Valley this weekend.  This will help usher in some cool air for Saturday and Sunday.  Highs may struggle to reach 70 degrees.  Lows will likely dip into the 40s.  Not bad for the end of September.  I guess this will put everyone in a fall mood. 
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Here is the latest six to ten day outlook for temperatures.  Below normal temperatures will continue.
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We normally see an uptick during the fall months - will keep an eye.  Don't forget that September is preparedness month.  For more information on the different types of severe weather that can impact our region - click here.
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA Weather Radio.  Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.
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Meteorologist Beau Dodson
McCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here

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All other states- Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php

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