September 18, 2011: Shower and storm chances increasing

September 18, 2011:
.
Showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase today into Monday.  It does not appear that we will have to worry about severe thunderstorms.  Some frequent lightning with a few of the storms.  Locally heavy rain will also be possible if any of the cells train over the same counties or if we experience more than one round of storms (which could very well be the case).
.
Rainfall totals should average in the 0.25-0.75" range (again locally higher amounts possible)
.
 This page is best viewed with Mozilla Firefox.  There could be issues with spacing on Internet Explorer



---

--
This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here
.
.Here are my current personal forecast thoughts...
.
Sunday:  Quite a few clouds today with a few showers around this morning.  Showers and thunderstorms becoming more likely this afternoon.  Near normal to below normal temperatures.
Highs:  in the 77-81 degree range.  |  Wind:  South winds at 5-10  mph.  Normal highs for this time of the year are around 82 degrees.  Precipitation probability - 70%

Sunday night:  Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.  A few storms may produce a heavy downpour.  Above normal temperatures.
Lows: around 62-65 degrees  |  Wind:  South winds at 5-10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 57 degrees.  Precipitation probability - 90%
-
Monday:  Showers and thunderstorms will once again be possible.  Near normal to below normal temperatures.
Highs:  around 76-79 degrees   |  Wind: Southwest at 5-10 mph.  Normal highs for this time of the year are around 82 degrees.   Precipitation probability - 80%
.
Monday night:  Partly cloudy.  A stray shower possible.  Normal to below normal temperatures.
Lows: around 56 degrees  |  Wind: Northwest winds at 10 mph.  Normal lows for this time of the year are around 57 degrees.  Precipitation probability - 20%
.
.
.
Started the forecast blog back up - was away for a few weeks.  Also reviewed the summer forecast.  See the previous post.


.
.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
.
..
Join me on Facebook for more frequent updates on the weather in our local area
Click Here
.


---
---- 
The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for the next 24 hours... 
.
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or 
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
 

Sunday:  
A few thunderstorms will be possible today.  Anyone out on area lakes should keep an eye on radar.  Lightning and gusty wind would be the primary concern in and near thunderstorms.  Severe weather risk is very low.
.
Sunday night:
Thunderstorms will be possible again tonight.  Anyone out on area lakes should keep an eye on radar.  Lightning and gusty wind would be the primary concern in and near thunderstorms.  Severe weather risk is very low.
.
Monday:  A few thunderstorms will be possible.  Anyone out on area lakes should keep an eye on radar.  Lightning and gusty wind would be the primary concern in and near thunderstorms.  Severe weather risk is very low.
.
Monday night:
 
Severe weather is not anticipated.
.
You can learn more about lightning safety by clicking here.
.
You can view the most up to date graphics - clicking here.
.

To view all watches and warnings in IL -  Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
---
All other states- Click Here
.
The map you see below can be viewed by clicking on the watch and warnings map links above.  The maps are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States - again this map is a sample map.  To view the actual interactive map - click here.
.

.

HEADLINE:   Lots of clouds around for your Sunday morning church commute.  Showers and thunderstorms will be possible into Monday across our region.  The good news is that we are not expecting widespread severe weather.  If you have plans on area lakes then check radar before heading out.

.

We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more!  Click here 

.
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.


.
.



Campers will have to watch for a few thunderstorms today through Monday.
.

-----------------------------

.
.
.
Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours.  This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.  Remember that thunderstorms can produce locally heavy rainfall totals that could exceed the forecast values on the map below.
.
If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour maps then click here.
.
 
I have added thunderstorm probabilities to the web-site - you can click hour by hour and see where the best chances for thunderstorms will exist.  Here is the link - you can also choose your own region by clicking on a state.


ALSO NOW AVAILABLE - Six hour probability precipitation maps.
.
You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time.  Those maps can be viewed here.
.
You can view the upcoming days high temperatures and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in - LINK

Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here


We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
---
We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars.  We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.

http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
---
--------------------

.



.
Drought continues across a large chunk of real estate.  This has been a concern for quite some time now.  Droughts tend to creep.  Many of you have witnessed the extreme fire conditions over portions of Texas and Oklahoma on the different news outlets.  I have been watching this drought slowly creep north and east over the last few months.  This will need to be monitored as we move into the fall and winter months.

.
Here is the latest Palmer Drought Index map.  Severe drought continues over Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and parts of Arkansas.  The areas in green are moist regions - the areas in orange and yellow are in need of rain.
.

 


.
You can view these and more drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here
.
You can learn more about the current drought by visiting this Climate Prediction Center website - click here.
.

---

-


1.  An unsettled pattern for the next few weeks with a few rain chances.  Don't forget that September is preparedness month.  For more information on the different types of severe weather that can impact our region - click here.




To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here

---
All other states- Click Here
.
For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php

No comments:

Post a Comment