September 20, 2011:
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Wow - cloudy start to the work week. Plenty of clouds on Monday and scattered rain showers made for a fallish day. Rainfall totals since 6 am Monday were mostly in the 0.10-0.40" range. A bit more in some heavier showers over the eastern half of the region - and a few pop up cells during the afternoon hours.
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The overnight hours are going to bring clearing skies over the northwest part of the region and mostly cloudy skies over the central and eastern half of the region. Patches of fog and drizzle will likely occur, as well. There could be some areas of dense fog later tonight. Use caution if out and about.
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Tuesday we will see a return to partly sunny skies after the morning fog dissipates. Temperatures will be mild - in the 70s. Can't beat that!
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We will have a weak system push into the Ohio Valley on Wednesday and Thursday. This could spark a few showers. Not expecting any severe weather. It appears the rest of the week and weekend will be dry. Temperatures will be in the 70s during the day and 50s at night.
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here.
.Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Monday night: Cloudy with patches of drizzle and fog. Patches of dense fog possible. Near normal to below normal temperatures.
Lows: in the 53-57 degree range. | Wind: Northwest winds at 5 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 57 degrees. Precipitation probability - 60% .
Tuesday: Morning fog in some areas - giving way to partly sunny skies in the afternoon. Below normal temperatures.
Highs: in the 75-78 degree range. | Wind: East/southeast winds at 5-10 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 82 degrees. Precipitation probability - 0% Lows: around 54-57 degrees | Wind: Near calm winds. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 57 degrees. Precipitation probability - 0%
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Wednesday: Partly sunny and pleasant. A chance for a shower or thunderstorm during the afternoon hours - mainly over the eastern/southern half of the region. Warmer. Above normal temperatures.
Highs: around 78-83 degrees | Wind: West to northwest at 5-15 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 82 degrees. Precipitation probability - 30%.
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy with a chance for a shower or thunderstorm. Near normal temperatures.
Lows: around 59-63 degrees | Wind: Northwest winds at 10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 57 degrees. Precipitation probability - 40%.
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No big changes. Tweaked temperatures. Tweaked cloud cover.
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for the next 24 hours...
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated.
Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated.
.Tuesday night: Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Wednesday: Severe weather is not anticipated. A thunderstorm possible during the afternoon - especially over the southern and eastern counties.
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You can learn more about lightning safety by clicking here.
.You can view the most up to date graphics - clicking here.
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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The map you see below can be viewed by clicking on the watch and warnings map links above. The maps are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States - again this map is a sample map. To view the actual interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE: Some fog tonight. No big headlines or weather drama in the short term forecast. Use caution if out and about and you experience areas of fog.
We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 24 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour maps then click here.
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I have added thunderstorm probabilities to the web-site - you can click hour by hour and see where the best chances for thunderstorms will exist. Here is the link - you can also choose your own region by clicking on a state.
ALSO NOW AVAILABLE - Six hour probability precipitation maps.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view the upcoming days high temperatures and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in - LINK
Also the UV forecast for those interested - click here
We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Drought continues across a large chunk of real estate. This has been a concern for quite some time now. Droughts tend to creep. Many of you have witnessed the extreme fire conditions over portions of Texas and Oklahoma on the different news outlets. I have been watching this drought slowly creep north and east over the last few months. This will need to be monitored as we move into the fall and winter months.
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Here is the latest soil moisture capacity map. Severe drought continues over Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and parts of Arkansas. The areas in green are moist regions - the areas in orange and yellow are in need of rain..
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You can view these and more drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here
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You can learn more about the current drought by visiting this Climate Prediction Center website - click here..
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1. The weekend looks nice - right now I am leaning towards mostly sunny sky conditions and temperatures in the 70s during the day and 50s at night. I don't see any big severe weather outbreaks in the near term. We normally see an uptick during the fall months - will keep an eye. Don't forget that September is preparedness month. For more information on the different types of severe weather that can impact our region - click here.
To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-sitehttp://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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