September 26, 2011:
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This forecast covers far southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee - for your local town/area - click here.
Here are my current personal forecast thoughts for far southern Illinois and western Kentucky...
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Sunday night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2 am. Then a chance for a few showers coming to an end from west to east. Locally heavy rain and isolated severe storms possible - mainly over Kentucky into Tennessee. Below normal temperatures.
Lows: in the 49-54 degree range. | Wind: South winds early becoming westerly at 5-10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 57 degrees. Precipitation probability - 100% .
Monday: Becoming partly cloudy. Cooler. Pleasant. Below normal temperatures.
Highs: in the 67-72 degree range. | Wind: West winds at 5-15 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 82 degrees. Precipitation probability - 10%.
Monday night: A few clouds. Below normal temperatures.
Lows: around 49-55 degrees | Wind: Southwest winds at 5-10 mph. Normal lows for this time of the year are around 57 degrees. Precipitation probability - 0%.
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Tuesday: A few clouds - otherwise sunny. Below normal temperatures.
Highs: around 75 degrees. | Wind: West winds at 5-10 mph. Normal highs for this time of the year are around 82 degrees. Precipitation probability - 0%.
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Tweaked temperatures and wind. Otherwise no changes in ongoing forecast.
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Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather risk for the next 24 hours...
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For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
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Sunday night: A few thunderstorms may be severe this evening mainly over Kentucky into Tennessee. Large hail and damaging winds are possible. An isolated tornado can not be ruled out. Locally heavy rain likely.
Sunday night: A few thunderstorms may be severe this evening mainly over Kentucky into Tennessee. Large hail and damaging winds are possible. An isolated tornado can not be ruled out. Locally heavy rain likely.
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Monday: Severe weather is not anticipated.
.Monday night: Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Tuesday: Severe weather is not anticipated.
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You can learn more about lightning safety by clicking here.
.You can view the most up to date graphics - clicking here.
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
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The map you see below can be viewed by clicking on the watch and warnings map links above. The maps are interactive and you can move around the United States by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down menu where it says regions and US States - again this map is a sample map. To view the actual interactive map - click here.
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HEADLINE: Wow has it rained. Portions of the area have picked up over 5" of rain since Friday night - a few pockets of 6-7" have occurred over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. The rest of the area has picked up 1/2-2" of rain.
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Thankfully ground conditions were dry enough to prevent any significant flooding.
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The main concern for the evening hours will be the risk for a few severe thunderstorms. The highest chances for severe weather will be over eastern Arkansas into western Tennessee. Some of these storms will likely push into western Kentucky, as well. Wind wind shear being so strong there will be a risk for an isolated tornado or two. Listen to NOAA Weather Radio for updates.
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Monday will bring a mix of sun and clouds with below normal temperatures. The longer range appears dry. Will monitor
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We have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site - these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index, barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here .
The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds you that owning a NOAA Weather Radio is the best way to receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Showers and thunderstorms will continue into this evening and the early AM hours. Locally heavy rain will be possible. A few storms could become severe over parts of the area - mainly the southern and eastern portions. Lightning is, of course, a concern with any of the thunderstorms. If you are camping then just be aware of changing weather conditions.
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Let's check out the how much rain is forecast to fall over the next 48 hours. This map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected.
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If you would like to view the most up to date 24, 48, 72, and 120 hour maps then click here.
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I have added thunderstorm probabilities to the web-site - you can click hour by hour and see where the best chances for thunderstorms will exist. Here is the link - you can also choose your own region by clicking on a state.
ALSO NOW AVAILABLE - Six hour probability precipitation maps.
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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You can view the upcoming days high temperatures and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in - LINK
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We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site!
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
http://www.weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Drought continues across a large chunk of real estate. This has been a concern for quite some time now. Droughts tend to creep. Many of you have witnessed the extreme fire conditions over portions of Texas and Oklahoma on the different news outlets. I have been watching this drought slowly creep north and east over the last few months. This will need to be monitored as we move into the fall and winter months.
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Here is the latest Palmer Drought Index. Severe drought continues over Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and parts of Arkansas. The areas in green are moist regions - the areas in orange and yellow are in need of rain. You can see that the dry area has spread over the last few weeks.
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You can view these and more drought maps on the Weather Observatory web-site by clicking here
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1. Longer range pattern is indicating near normal temperatures. No big severe weather outbreaks are forecast. Some good news. I also looked ahead for the next two weeks and conditions appear to favor dry weather. Will monitor and update accordingly. I know a lot of farmers are working on getting their crops in from the fields.
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We normally see an uptick during the fall months - will keep an eye. Don't forget that September is preparedness month. For more information on the different types of severe weather that can impact our region - click here.
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Now is a GREAT time to buy a NOAA Weather Radio. Better to have one before storms strike than to be without one during an event.
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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All other states- Click Here
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-sitehttp://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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